Bayern Munich vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Predictions, Odds & Live Stream

  • Bayern is closing in on its 30th Bundesliga title after a splendid run of form
  • Gladbach has struggled to string wins together as it chases a top-four place
  • Bayern will march on with another victory here, but Gladbach should at least get on the scoresheet
What Bayern Munich vs Borussia Monchengladbach
Where Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
When Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:30 PM EST
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Bayern Munich is almost there. A 4-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen last weekend maintained its seven-point advantage at the top of the Bundesliga with just four rounds of matches still to play. It is now a matter of when, rather than if, Bayern will be crowned champion of Germany for a record-extending 30th time.

That is not really a surprise. Bayern begins every season as the heavy favorite to lift the trophy at the end of it. It generates significantly more money than its domestic rivals, allowing it to attract some of the world’s top players. Borussia Dortmund has had great success in signing up-and-coming stars, but it struggles to compete with Bayern for the acquisition of world-class players in their prime years.

Despite its considerable off-field advantages, it is hard not to be impressed with how single-minded Bayern has been in recent months. Since a goalless draw with RB Leipzig in February, Hansi Flick’s side has won nine games on the bounce by an aggregate scoreline of 32-10.

Such consistency has eluded Borussia Monchengladbach, which remains locked in a tight top-four race. Its hopes of a Champions League spot are likely to be damaged – but by no means dashed – at the Allianz Arena this weekend.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Monchengladbach Odds

Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score Odds
Yes +133
No -195

Odds taken from DraftKings.

Leaving aside the narrow 1-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund, Bayern’s recent surge has been built on attack rather than defense. It has scored more than one goal in eight of its last nine matches, and at least three goals in 11 of its most recent 16. Bayern has now found the back of the net 90 times this term, and needs just 10 more goals in four games to rack up a century.

Bayern may have kept three clean sheets in its last five outings, but Gladbach will believe it can get at the host’s backline here. It is difficult to look past a comfortable home win, but the odds available on both teams to score are favorable.

Flick’s Turnaround Job at Bayern Cannot Be Overstated

It is no surprise to see Bayern at the summit of the standings with the finish line in sight. As mentioned above, its structural advantages run deep and winning the title every season is merely par for the course.

Yet that does not diminish the magnitude of the job Flick has done since he was handed the reins, initially on nothing more than an interim basis, in November. A 5-1 demolition by Eintracht Frankfurt was the nail in the coffin of Niko Kovac’s Bayern career, and the Croatian was duly sacked the day after that nadir.

Flick oversaw a 4-0 triumph over Borussia Dortmund in his first appearance in the Allianz Arena dugout, but Bayern then lost two of its next three encounters (including to Gladbach) – and slipped to seventh in the standings as a result.

Since then, though, Bayern has been virtually unstoppable, winning 15 of 16 matches to retake top spot. Flick may have world-class performers to call upon but so did Kovac. Bayern’s current boss has succeeded in fashioning a team that is equal to the sum of its parts – or perhaps even more.

Gladbach Still Undermined By Inconsistency in Champions League Race

Gladbach could have moved level on points with RB Leipzig last weekend, but it suffered a disappointing 1-0 loss to a Freiburg team that had not won any of its four previous games. That was a major blow and a result that is emblematic of the team’s fortunes in recent months.

Even the club’s most optimistic supporters would not have expected Gladbach to maintain its place at the summit of the standings, a position the club occupied in the middle of December. But Gladbach’s lack of consistency in the months since then means it now faces an uphill battle to qualify for the Champions League.

Marco Rose’s men still have to face European contenders Wolfsburg and Hertha Berlin, and defeat by Bayern on Saturday would likely see them fall to fifth. A poor defensive record – Gladbach has kept one clean sheet in its last 13 games – does not bode well ahead of a clash with one of Europe’s most lethal attacks.

Gladbach Should Score but Bayern Will Prove Too Strong

Yet although Gladbach has struggled to keep the back door shut, it has remained adept at putting the ball in the opposing team’s net. That, of course, was not the case in the loss to Freiburg, but the statistics suggest Gladbach was a little unfortunate not to score – its Expected Goals rate for the game was 2.15. And it has only been shut out twice in its last 12 fixtures.

Victory here could see Bayern crowned champion if Dortmund slips up against Fortuna Dusseldorf. Even if the party cannot start this weekend, Bayern should move a step closer to the title with another victory.

Our Pick

Take the Yes option here – Gladbach has the ability to breach Bayern’s backline but not to beat the champion-elect.

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