Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich: Predictions, Picks & Odds

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  • Der Klassiker, the biggest game in German soccer, will be held behind closed doors for the first time
  • Dortmund must emerge victorious to realistically keep its title hopes alive
  • A draw would be a good result for Bayern but that makes for a tricky situation

WhatBorussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
WhereSignal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
WhenTuesday, 26 May 2020, 12:30 PM EST
How to watchStream live on DraftKings, Fox Sports, Fox Deportes

Even in normal times, the world gathers to watch whenever Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich lock horns. That will be particularly true for Tuesday’s tussle between the pair, with the Bundesliga the only major European soccer competition in action right now.

German’s top flight has now successfully held two matchdays after a three-month absence between mid-March and mid-May. Dortmund and Bayern have both picked up where they left off, amassing six points from six as they prepare to go head-to-head for the Bundesliga crown once more.

Before the action resumed earlier this month, the race for the title looked to feature more than two horses. But RB Leipzig has stumbled since then, dropping valuable points against both Wolfsburg and Freiburg. And Borussia Monchengladbach, which only had an outside chance at best, slipped to fourth in the table following a 3-1 defeat by Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday.

Bayer moved into third as a result of that impressive victory away from home, but an eight-point gap to Bayern will surely prove insurmountable with just seven games remaining. It is no exaggeration, then, to say that Tuesday’s match at Signal Iduna Park is the most pivotal contest in this season’s title race.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Odds

Match winnerOdds
Borussia Dortmund+260
Bayern Munich-121

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook, May 26

Dortmund and Bayern have each lost four of 27 Bundesliga games this season. Defeat is not an experience either team is used to, but it is worth backing Bayern to suffer one this midweek.

Dortmund is four points behind its rival and knows that it probably has to win this match if it is to overhaul Bayern at the summit of the standings. That could work to the host’s advantage, with the league leader unsure whether to stick or twist when a draw would represent a positive result.

These two teams are pretty evenly matched but Dortmund looks particularly menacing right now. With tantalizingly (and surprisingly) long odds available, it is worth putting your money on a home win here.

Dortmund Has the Attacking Prowess to Hurt Bayern

Dortmund’s 2-0 win against Wolfsburg on Saturday may not have been emphatic, but it was nonetheless a hugely impressive result. Wolfsburg has one of the best defenses in German soccer, but even its stingy backline was powerless to resist Dortmund’s incisive attack.

Jadon Sancho again began the game on the bench, with Thorgan Hazard and Julian Brandt providing the support for center-forward Erling Haaland. An additional threat came from wing-backs Raphael Guerreiro and Achraf Hakimi, the two goalscorers at the Volkswagen Arena.

Sancho is likely to return to the starting line-up on Tuesday, with Hazard the man to make way. That represents bad news for Bayern, whose defense could be overwhelmed if Dortmund’s attack clicks in the manner it did in the 4-0 thrashing of Schalke the weekend before last.

Dortmund boss Lucien Favre was probably more pleased with his side’s second consecutive clean sheet against Wolfsburg. The key takeaway, though, was BVB’s ability to score twice against one of the Bundesliga’s meanest backlines. Favre’s team has now netted at least two goals in 21 of its 27 league encounters this term.

Bayern Could Be Stuck in Two Minds if Scores Level in the Second Half

A team of Bayern’s experience will not be daunted by Tuesday’s trip to Signal Iduna Park, particularly as no fans will be present at the 80,000-capacity arena.

The fact that Bayern only needs a draw to stay in control of the title race may look like an advantage, but it could work against them. If the scores are level in the second half, Hans-Dieter Flick’s men might not know whether to stick or twist.

Bayern’s 5-2 thrashing of Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday demonstrated the champion’s own attacking excellence. But its concession of two goals will give Dortmund confidence, particularly as Bayern could be caught in two minds against its chief challenger for the championship crown.

Match May Be Lower Scoring than Many Expect Due to Tense Situation

As this preview has illustrated, Dortmund and Bayern are two superb attacking forces. In 54 games between them this season, they have scored 154 goals – a remarkable 2.85 per game on average.

Expectations of a high-scoring thriller should be tempered, however. For a start, both teams are generally defensively sound: Dortmund has kept five clean sheets in its last six outings, while Bayern’s last 11 games have featured just six opposition goals.

Equally significant is the nature of the match. Dortmund cannot afford to lose and Bayern knows that avoiding defeat would move it closer to an eighth consecutive title. Moreover, both teams are aware of the threat posed by the other’s counter-attack, so do not expect a gung-ho game plan from either.

Our Pick

Take Dortmund to win here – Favre’s side has the quality to beat Bayern and knows that three points would blow the title race wide open.

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