Borussia Monchengladbach vs Wolfsburg - Predictions, Odds & Live Stream
- Gladbach has lost form at the wrong time and could pay for it
- Wolfsburg has its Europa League fate in its own hands with three games left
- Wolfsburg’s away form is excellent and it could record another victory on the road here
|What to watch||Borussia Monchengladbach vs Wolfsburg|
|Where||Borussia Park, Monchengladbach, Germany|
|When||Tuesday, 16 June 2020, 12.30 PM EST|
|How to watch||Stream Live with DraftKings!|
|Best Betting Bonus||$1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings (NJ, PA, WV, IN, IA only)|
Both Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg are on course to qualify for the Europa League this season. The latter would greet that with celebration; the former would react with disappointment.
For Gladbach, a top-four finish has been the goal for the entire campaign. The Foals even led the Bundesliga in the first half of the season, taking advantage of Bayern Munich’s difficulties under the leadership of Niko Kovac. Gladbach remained in the top two until the midway point of the campaign but has fallen back this calendar year, winning only six of its 14 encounters to date in 2020.
All is not yet lost. Gladbach was only beaten by Bayern on Saturday by a late goal from Leon Goretzka. The champion-elect was the better team at the Allianz Arena, but the visitor did not give a bad account of itself against one of the best sides in European soccer. Gladbach remains just one point behind Bayer Leverkusen and still has to play Paderborn, the club that is propping up the Bundesliga table.
This midweek meeting with Wolfsburg is crucial, though. Oliver Glasner’s side are just one place but 10 points behind its upcoming opponent, yet Wolfsburg will not fear its trip to Borussia Park – particularly after its stunning 4-1 triumph at the home of Bayer Leverkusen at the end of last month.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Wolfsburg Odds
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Wolfsburg has won each of its last three games away from home, while it is without defeat on its last six matches on its travels. In that time the Wolves have collected 16 points from a possible 18, which is the sort of return that even Bayern Munich would be pleased with.
Gladbach has plenty of quality within its ranks but has lost momentum in recent weeks. Champions League qualification is still possible, but a failure to win here would put Leverkusen in pole position to finish fourth. Wolfsburg can take advantage of that situation, particularly on the counter-attack.
Gladbach’s Champions League Bid Could Be Slipping Away
Before its 2-1 loss to Bayern Munich, Gladbach was beaten 1-0 by Freiburg. Marco Rose’s team has now won just one of its last five Bundesliga encounters, a stretch which has unsurprisingly seen it fall out of the top four.
The problems have come at both ends of the field. Gladbach has conceded at least one goal in 13 of its last 14 games, and the lack of clean sheets has proved costly. A failure to shut out its opponents means Gladbach has been required to score at least twice in order to emerge triumphant, something it has failed to do against Bayern, Freiburg, Werder Bremen, Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, Hoffenheim and Schalke this calendar year.
Having been top of the league earlier in the campaign, it would be a huge blow to Gladbach if it failed to finish in the Champions League spots. Unfortunately for Rose, there is little time to fix his team’s struggles in defense and attack.
Wolfsburg Has Held the Sixth Spot Since the Restart Despite Mixed Results
Home advantage has been significantly reduced in the Bundesliga since the resumption of the season in May. The absence of supporters seems to have provided a boost to visiting sides, which have recorded wins at a higher rate than usual. It is worth noting, though, that this has not been the case in the second tier of German soccer, which suggests that the sample size in the Bundesliga is still too small to draw concrete conclusions.
Either way, there is little doubt that Wolfsburg has performed better on the road than at the Volkswagen Arena this term. It sits fifth in the away table and a lowly 12th in the home equivalent. Glasner’s men have accumulated 58.7 per cent of their points this season at opposition stadiums.
Wolfsburg ranks sixth in the division for average ball possession, which does not indicate it is a particularly counter-attacking team. However, it drops to eighth in the same table when only away games are taken into account, and having a lesser share of the ball seems to have served Wolfsburg well of late.
Wolfsburg Could Take Advantage of Gladbach’s Desperation for Points
Gladbach’s need for all three points could make it more vulnerable to Wolfsburg’s quick transitions. The host will feel it has to take the initiative; the visitor, by contrast, is a comfortable four points clear of eighth place with three games remaining – and seventh will now be enough for Europa League qualification after Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen reached the DFB-Pokal final last week.
Only Bayern has a better away record than Wolfsburg over the last six games. That is bad news for Gladbach, whose desperation to avoid a third successive loss could actually play into the hands of its opponents.
Our Pick: Back Wolfsburg here – its away form is terrific and Gladbach has been wobbling in the closing weeks.