Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown Predictions, Odds & Picks

Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown 2020

  • The Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown is a brand new tournament on the European Tour
  • Aphrodite Hills will play host for the second week in succession
  • A new format features strokeplay scores being reset after rounds two and three

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Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown Odds

Player Odds
Thomas Detry +2800
Robert MacIntyre +3000
Sami Valimaki +3000
Matthias Schwab +3300
Garrick Higgo +3300
Rasmus Hojgaard +3300
Joost Luiten +4000
Matthew Jordan +4000
Marcus Kinhult +4000
Gavin Green +4000
Antoine Rozner +4000


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Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown Odds Picks and Predictions

Joakim Lagergren finished strongly at this venue last week and the forecast windier conditions should go in his favor. Take him each-way (¼ 1-2-3-4-5) +4500 at bet365.

Mikko Korhonen cracked the top 20 last week and already has a European Tour win under a different format. He’s also worth an each-way bet +4500 at bet365

Jordan Smith has been 1st Round Leader in two of his last eight events and can repeat the trick from his early Thursday tee-time. Take him e/w for R1 +4500 at bet365.


Joakim Lagergren +4500 (e/w ¼ 1-2-3-4-5) at bet365

Mikko Korhonen +4500 (e/w ¼ 1-2-3-4-5) at bet365

Jordan Smith +4500 (e/w ¼ 1-2-3-4-5) to be 1st Round Leader at bet365


How to Watch the Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown

Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown Information
What Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Showdown
Where Aphrodite Hills Resort, Paphos, Cyprus
When Thursday, November 05 – Sunday, November 08
How to Watch Thursday & Friday 6.00am-9.30am ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 6.00am-9.30am (Golf Channel), Sunday 6.00am-9.00am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

Aphrodite Hills Cyprus Open Profile

The European Tour stages the second of its back-to-back events at Aphrodite Hills in Cyprus although we can guarantee that this week will be very different to last.

Why? Whereas last week’s tournament – the Cyprus Open – was played as a traditional 72-hole strokeplay event, it’s a very different deal this time. The European Tour has been keen to experiment with a variety of formats in recent years with the World Super 6 Perth, the GolfSixes, the Belgian Knockout, and the Shot Clock Masters. And there’s a brand new twist this week. Basically, this is an event played in three parts.

To start, the 105-man field is reduced after 36 holes to the top 32 and ties. They advance to Saturday. However, scores are then reset, with day three seeing the field whittled down from 32 and ties to the top 16 and ties. For Sunday’s closer, the scores are reset once more so everyone – the top 16 and ties – starts at even par. It’s then an 18-hole sprint to the finish. That makes it a tough puzzle for bettors although at least we have the advantage of last week’s course form given that it was played on the same course.

That Cyprus Open event was won by England’s Callum Shinkwin after both he and Finland’s Kalle Samooja had fired 20-under in regulation play. They came home two in front of Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre, Welshman Jamie Donaldson, and South African Garrick Higgo. With tougher winds this week, scoring could be a little tougher.

However, it’s dangerous to presume the leaderboard from last week will replicate and not just because of the different format. Earlier this season on the European Tour, Celtic Manor staged back-to-back events and, despite a very similar field, there were plenty of differences inside the top ten.

Lagergren Can Step Up

With the wind set to blow harder, that could help the bid of Sweden’s Joakim Lagergren.

Last week the Swede had to settle for tied 47th although rounds of 67 on day two and 66 on day four showed he could score at Aphrodite Hills. We picked him to win his match bet with Nicolas Colsaerts and he did so by seven shots. Now, he could use that as a stepping stone to take the victory.

Part of his appeal for the first event was an impressive record by the coast and that includes three top-four finishes in often blustery conditions at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in Scotland. More recently, the 28-year-old from Stockholm took third place by the coast in Portugal and followed it up with a top-five in the Irish Open. With scores reset in rounds three and four, it’s encouraging to see that Lagergren has posted Sunday laps of 65 (Portugal Masters) and 66 (here last week) in his last five starts. If he can make it through to the final day, he’s capable of the low one that could bring victory.

Take him each-way (¼ 1-2-3-4-5) +4500 at bet365.

Korhonen Can Flourish Under New Format

With a different format this week, there are no match bets on offer so let’s pick another player in the main outright market. Finnish players were prominent last week, with Samooja finishing runner-up after losing a playoff and Sami Valimaki holding a two-shot lead in round four before slipping to tied sixth.

Also in the top 20 was Mikko Korhonen and he could be the one to watch here.

Firstly, breaking down his scorecard, he did his best work on the weekend when shooting 66-68. Given the format, that’s the ideal scoring pattern this week. Talking of quirky formats, let’s rewind to the 2018 Shot Clock Masters in Austria when players were timed on every shot. That added a new dimension and the man who coped best was Korhonen, who shot 16-under to score a convincing six-shot win. He’s since added a second European Tour win at the 2019 Volvo China Open so the Finn knows how to get it done.

It’s a tricky event to land the winner but Korhonen at +4500 looks the decent business.

Smith Can Start Fast Again

The weather forecast points to the early Thursday starters having to fight less wind. So I’ll also have a first-round leader bet on one of the morning waves. The player I like is Jordan Smith and he completes a trio of +4500 shots this week.

Smith has ended day one on top of the leaderboard in two of his last eight events. That was thanks to a 66 at the Wales Open and a 65 at the Irish Open. Rewind a little further and Smith has been R1 leader at the 2018 DP World Tour Championship and the 2019 Trophee Hassan II. In other words, he’s a proven fast starter.

He opened 67-66 at this course last week and an 08:35 tee-time in what should be calmer conditions gives him another opportunity to burst out of the gate.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.

Email: [email protected]