Barracuda Championship PGA Tour - Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Great chance for Alex Noren to bounce back to top form
  • Opportunity for rising stars to shine
  • Modified Stableford scoring promotes attacking play

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Barracuda Championship Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by BetMGM. Click on the odds below to head to BetMGM and place a bet.

Player Odds
Ryan Moore +1800
Russell Henley +2000
Alex Noren +2200
Brendan Steele +2200
Patrick Rodgers +2500
Sam Burns +2500
Jhonattan Vegas +2800
Matthias Schwab +2800
Emiliano Grillo +3000
Talor Gooch +3000

Barracuda Championship Our Picks

  • In the outright market take Alex Noren’s desire and aptitude at altitude – he’s +2800 for the win (plus +600 top five) with DraftKings.
  • Kyle Stanley looks set to fire and can again prove his competence on Nicklaus course with a top ten at +500 with bet365.
  • Maverick McNealy can continue his season-long dominance over Aaron Wise at +100 with DraftKings.

How to Watch the Barracuda Championship

Event Information
What Barracuda Championship
Where Tahoe Mountain Club, Truckee, California
When Thursday July 30 – Sunday August 2
How to watch Thursday & Friday 7-9.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 7-10pm ET (Golf Channel)

Barracuda Championship Profile

Whilst the top stars in the world of golf head to TPC Southwind this week for the second World Golf Championship event of the year, the rest of the circuit has the golden opportunity to ignite or revive their careers.

Twelve months ago Collin Morikawa won this tournament, a first step on his remarkable rise up the golfing ladder, but don’t discount a victory by a player needing to breathe life into a flagging career – 2014 champion Geoff Ogilvy did just that.

The event moves this season from its long term home of Montreux GC to the Tahoe Mountain Club but two important factors remain constant.

The first is that both layouts were created by Jack Nicklaus who has distinct design principles, demanding quality approach play.

And the second is the unique Modified Stableford scoring system which rewards attacking play. Eight points are on offer for an albatross, five for an eagle, two for a birdie, zero for par, minus one for bogey and minus two for double bogey or worse.

Swede Can Sweep Success

Two years ago this week Alex Noren was ranked a career-high 12th in the world, the consequence of finishing sixth in the Open at Royal Birkdale, his best-ever major championship performance.

Earlier that year the ten-time winner on the European Tour had finished third in the World Golf Championship Match Play (another personal best) and he would end the year as part of the triumphant European Ryder Cup team.

It seemed the future was rosy when he committed to the PGA Tour for 2019, but in fact, his form spiraled out of control.

In fact he went 18 months with just one top ten anywhere in the world, when T10th at the RSM Classic late last year.

His breaking of that horrid spell with tied third in last week’s 3M Open is worthy of note for a man who will be hurting that he is playing this event and not the WGC tournament in Memphis.

Noren will be a proud golfer, but not in a negative fashion because he played a similar opposite event late last year and finished a decent T15th in Bermuda.

Above and beyond his return to form there is a further key factor worth noting about the 38-year-old and that is his fondness for playing golf at altitude.

Truckee, host town this week, sits at 5,817 feet above sea level which means the ball flies further and club selection becomes imperative.

Noren has plenty of experience of such conditions from his time on the European Tour and, what’s more, he always excelled when faced with them.

He’s a double winner of the European Masters in the Swiss Alps and has also claimed the Nedbank Challenge on the high veld in South Africa.

The DraftKings Sportsbook price of +2800 for the win and +600 for a top-five is well worth taking in the outright market.

Stanley Sniffing a Top Ten

Twice since the return to action post-lockdown, Kyle Stanley has left a tournament rueing two ordinary rounds which have somewhat wasted a couple of very fine ones.

He posted a pair of 65s on his way to T24th in June’s Travelers Championship and last week he carded a 66 and a 65 on his way to T32nd in the 3M Open.

The results suggested a golfer who has been rubbing the rust away and is now ready to return to the top ten, a place he last found in February in circumstances much like this week.

That event was the Puerto Rico Open and it was another alternate event, played whilst the WGC stars were competing in the Mexico Championship.

Stanley was tied third, having led for the first 36 holes.

He’s played this tournament three times, was tied eighth on debut and it fits with a pattern of his enjoyment of Jack Nicklaus tracks.

He lost a play-off at Muirfield Village in 2018, has another two top six finishes there and he has also contended at Glen Abbey in the Canadian Open.

bet365’s +500 is pick of the top ten options.

Maverick Suited to Stableford?

If you were to believe in the concept of nominative determinism – that a person gravitates towards work that fits his or her name – the idea of a golfer called Maverick might suggest the perfect approach for this week’s more attacking contest.

Alas, Maverick McNealy, despite his parents’ best intentions, appears to be a somewhat conservative golfer, as evidenced by the fact he languishes at 132nd in the Going for the Green stats, which determines how often a player takes the aggressive option on short par-4s and attackable par-5s.

On the other hand, the 24-year-old Californian has turned a corner this season after some initial struggles in the professional game.

In among a slew of consistent efforts he has made top tens at Pebble Beach and, more recently, in Detroit.

And his match-up at DraftKings with Aaron Wise is intriguing because for the most part McNealy has his number in 2020.

Over their careers, McNealy leads 11-7, but this season alone the advantage is 8-3.

Nor is it just McNealy’s solidity which prompts the pick because Wise is showing very little form at the moment.

Indeed, he’s made just three cuts in his last 13 starts and has no top 30 in that period.

Grab McNealy at +100.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]