English Championship 2020 European Tour Predictions, Odds & Picks
- European Tour’s UK Swing moves into the third week
- Returns to venue where last week’s form should hold strong
- Great chance for Max Kieffer to claim maiden win
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English Championship Odds
|Thomas Detry||+1100 |
|Lee Westwood||+1400 |
|Rasmus Hojgaard||+1400 |
|Sam Horsfield||+1600 |
|Andy Sullivan||+2000 |
|Renato Paratore||+2500 |
|Ryan Fox||+2500 |
|Gavin Green||+2800 |
|Justin Harding||+3000 |
|Matthieu Pavon||+3300 |
|Chris Paisley||+3500 |
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English Championship Picks
Max Kieffer landed sixth last week and his fifth place at the K Club hints that he’ll be a good fit for this week’s test at +9000 each way with Bet365.
Alejandro Canizares was a winner at Moscow Country Club, a course which is another strong match with this week’s test – he can land a top 20 at +500 with DraftKings.
The stats say that among the trees, on a modern parkland course and in England, Andy Sullivan can claim his matchbet with Ryan Fox at +100 with DraftKings.
How to Watch the English Championship
|English Championship Information|
|Where||Marriott Hanbury Manor, England|
|When||Thursday August 6 – Sunday August 9|
|How to Watch||Thursday & Friday 6.30-8am & 10am-1pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 8.30-9am & 2-3pm ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 8.30am-1pm ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sport.|
English Championship Profile
There was more success for the youngsters last week with 23-year-old Englishman Sam Horsfield riding the wave of shooting a dazzling 61 in week one of the UK Swing to claim his first European Tour win at the Hero Open.
The circuit now moves south to Hanbury Manor which, like last week’s venue Forest of Arden, is a parkland set-up with plenty of trees, ponds and lakes.
Originally a nine-hole layout it was extended by Jack Nicklaus II who also adapted the existing holes to create a modern examination.
We’re now four weeks into Europe’s return to action and the favorites are still struggling.
Last week’s runner-up Thomas Detry has acquired that poisoned chalice this week and his continuing difficulty with finding a first win will put many off at +1100.
Veteran Lee Westwood holds fond memories of Hanbury Manor, having claimed a victory there in 1998, and he chases a second title of the season at +1400.
Rasmus Hojgaard has taken Route 66 in the last two weeks, carding four rounds of that number in collecting second and sixth – like Westwood the in-form Dane is rated +1400.
Kieffer Can Land the Max
Having played eight consecutive years on the European Tour and remained more or less unknown in the process Germany’s Maximilian Kieffer has defined the golfing notion of flying under the radar.
However, the punting antennae should be flashing after he grabbed sixth place last week at the Forest of Arden.
On the one hand, as already noted, this week’s test is very similar – both are in the English countryside, with matching backdrops and modern greens.
On the other hand, a glance at Kieffer’s career shows that he typically fires off little bursts of form that reap multiple good finishes.
For the most part, the others who made the top ten last week have been well-regarded by the bookmakers and yet Kieffer’s price has remained attractive for punters.
That alone would prompt interest, but we’d still need more and it comes in an interesting link between past champions at Hanbury Manor, which hosted the English Open in the late 1990s.
The first and second of those events were won by Per-Ulrik Johansson and Lee Westwood, both double winners at the K Club in Ireland, and the third saw Darren Clarke, another K Club past champion, emerge triumphant.
That’s all good news for Kieffer who, when the tour last visited the K Club, got off to a slow start with a 77 that left him T126th.
However, laps of 68-70-67 saw him race through the field to claim fifth and that makes the 30-year-old this week’s outright play at odds of +9000 each way with Bet365.
Go Gaga For Alejandro
The K Club is not the only course that holds strong connections with Hanbury Manor.
Earlier this century the tour had a regular stop at Moscow Country Club and whilst Clarke and Westwood had no need to ever visit, Johansson did and, what’s more, he won there.
In more recent times Moscow and Hanbury Manor have featured on the European Senior Tour, with David Shacklady also completing the double, whilst another player on that circuit, Gary Emerson, nearly repeated that trick, winning in Russia and holding a third-round lead in the 1997 English Open.
Even the man who finished second to Shacklady on this week’s course, Markus Brier, can claim Moscow success – he has three top-fives there.
And where does the Moscow Connection lead us? To Alejandro Canizares, winner of the 2006 Russian Open.
The Spaniard’s had a tough couple of years, but after regaining his card at Q School he made a decent start to the season, getting onto the front page of the leaderboards in four events before lockdown.
In the last two weeks he’s struggled in round one, but a 69 last Friday hinted that better form is around the corner and with five career top 20s in 18 starts on English courses similar to this week’s test the +500 for another at DraftKings Sportsbook makes plenty of appeals.
Sully Can Outwit the Fox
At first glance, the pairing up of Englishman Andy Sullivan and New Zealander Ryan Fox is a smart one by Bet365.
Because when they’ve played the same tournaments it’s exceptionally hard to split them: Sullivan leads 31-30 throughout their careers whilst Fox holds a narrow 11-10 advantage since the start of 2019.
But peer closer at the record books and there might be a good reason to favor Sullivan this week.
The first option is to look at their records on Sullivan’s home soil and there is an immediate change in perspective: he suddenly leads 6-2.
What about modern parkland venues in northern Europe? This time he holds a 7-2 advantage.
For final confirmation let’s consider tree-lined layouts: Sullivan wins out once more, this time 12-4.
There’s no doubt that Kiwi Fox is a fine player and well capable of good golf on any track, indeed his first European Tour win came on a tree-lined track in Australia.
It’s also true that they are 1-1 on the UK Swing this summer, but the long-term numbers are on our side so take Sullivan as the outsider at +100.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
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