Hero Open 2020 European Tour - Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- Pablo Larrazabal has consistently thrived when playing modern parkland designs and that makes him the outright and top five call at +4000/+800.
- David Drysdale will be teeing it up for a 500th time on the European Tour this week and can celebrate with a top 20 on a favorite course priced +1000.
- Local man Robert Rock displayed nice form last week at Close House and he can ride the wave with victory in a matchbet over Jeff Winther at -110.
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Hero Open 2020 Odds
The odds for this match are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to BetMGM and place a bet.
|Joost Luiten||+1400 |
|Andy Sullivan||+2000 |
|Thomas Detry||+2000 |
|Ryan Fox||+2200 |
|Eddie Pepperell||+2500 |
|Justin Harding||+2500 |
|Renato Paratore||+2500 |
|Rasmus Hojgaard||+2800 |
|Sam Horsfield||+3000 |
|Jordan Smith||+3300 |
Hero Open Predictions and Picks
In the outright market, Pablo Larrazabal makes great appeal with a quote of +4000 at DraftKings (+800 for the top five). David Drysdale’s course form is worth supporting at +1000 for a top 20 with DraftKings whilst bet365’s -110 should be taken for Robert Rock to win his match bet against Jeff Winther.
How to Watch Hero Open
|Hero Open Information|
|Where||Marriott Forest of Arden, England|
|When||Thursday 30 July – Sunday 2 August|
|How to watch||Thursday and Friday 7-9am and 10am-1pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 7.30-9am ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 7-9am ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sports.|
The European Tour’s UK Swing kicked off in fine style last week at Close House with Italian Renato Paratore claiming an impressive three-shot victory in the British Masters.
The 23-year-old Italian made just the two bogeys all week as he claimed a second win on the circuit and was greeted to a socially distanced guard of honor as he walked off the final green.
This week the tour returns to the Forest of Arden in the English Midlands, last visited in 2005, for the Hero Open. It’s a modern design that features plenty of ancient woodlands and gently undulating terrain.
For the third week in four Dutchman Joost Luiten heads the betting and he’ll be hoping to break the post-lockdown curse of the favorite. He’s yet to find the win in this period and last week’s top man Lee Westwood also struggled, eventually finishing T70th.
Midlander Andy Sullivan has proved popular with punters ahead of Thursday’s first round, impressed by his local connections and a solid tied fourth last week – he’s +2000 with BetMGM but as low as +1400 elsewhere.
Belgium’s Thomas Detry (+2000) continues to be popular as he chases a first win at this level, as does Eddie Pepperell (+2500), another Englishman who is playing close to home.
Pablo Hoping For Heroics
At the end of the 20th century and beginning of this Darren Clarke’s fondness for the Forest of Arden course was little short of extraordinary.In just 11 starts there he claimed ten top 20s, eight of the top tens, a tally that included two victories.
It was not entirely surprising because, although he is most famous for his linksland prowess, the Northern Irishman also thrived when playing modern resort designs in north European parkland settings.
Spain’s Pablo Larrazabal is another golfer who thrives when setting such examinations. The 37-year-old is a two-time winner at Eichenried in Germany and has multiple top-ten finishes at other German modern parkland courses. In Ireland he has featured at Adare Manor and very nearly won at Carton House, in Wales he regularly contended at Celtic Manor, and in Scotland, he made a play-off at Gleneagles.
Whilst Le Golf National and Abu Dhabi do not feature many trees, they are modern layouts and he’s triumphed on both. A winner earlier this season at Leopard Creek, he headed into the final round before lockdown in contention for a second 2020 success before stalling on Sunday at the Qatar Masters. He played nicely last week in the British Masters, ending the week T21st, and can make a bold bid for a sixth European Tour title this week. He’s worth following at DraftKings where you can split the stake, taking the +4000 for the win and +800 for the top-five finish.
Nearly Man Can Go Close
Just prior to lockdown at the Qatar Masters Scot David Drysdale wobbled when on the brink of winning a first European Tour title in his 498th start, but then displayed nerves of steel in a high quality play-off against Jorge Campillo.
Alas, despite the stellar effort, the 45-year-old couldn’t convert the win and, if you add in the complications of no competitive golf for four months, his return to action with an opening lap of 78 at Close House last week was maybe no great surprise. However he responded with an error-free 69 on the second day, not good enough to make the cut, but a reminder of that early season form and a boost to the confidence as he heads south to a happy hunting ground.
Back when Forest of Arden was a regular haunt of the circuit Drysdale landed T10th and T16th in his only two completed starts (he also retired after a first-round 83 in 2003).
Now set for his 500th start on the tour he has a strong chance of celebrating with another top 20. His difficulty with winning is clear, but he has always been a horses-for-courses type who when he likes a track will often rack up the top 20 finishes there. DraftKings go +1000 about him adding a third at this week’s venue and that’s worth snapping up.
Time To Rock And Roll
Tour veteran Robert Rock first burst to prominence on home soil, contending on this course and at Wentworth whilst still a club professional on television screens back in 2003. His record in England has remained exceptionally consistent ever since, allowing him to collect 22 top 50 finishes in 37 starts, and on modern parkland layouts that record is nine from 15.
He lives no more than a short journey from the course and his record book there includes tied fourth. Last week he calmly ticked off four rounds in the 60s to collect another tied fourth and Bet365 have matched him up against Jeff Winther. In the last 18 months, the Dane holds an advantage over Rock in head-to-heads of 13-6, but over their career, the Englishman leads 32-22. The clincher in this match-up is location form: Rock leads Winther 4-0 in England and 9-2 in Britain and Ireland.
Take the -110 on offer.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
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