Houston Open Predictions, Odds & Picks
- Final warm-up event before next week’s Masters
- World No. 1 Dustin Johnson is back in action
- PGA Tour returns to Memorial Park GC for first time since 1963
Houston Open Odds
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Houston Open Picks and Predictions
Korea’s Si-Woo Kim is an excellent each-way prospect at +4000 with bet365.
Aaron Wise looks a good course fit and can land a top 20 at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Back Kevin Streelman to beat Emiliano Grillo in their BetMGM match bet at -125.
Si-Woo Kim outright +4000 at bet365
Aaron Wise to make the top 20 +350 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Kevin Streelman to beat Emiliano Grillo in a match-bet -125 at BetMGM
How to Watch the Houston Open
|Houston Open Information|
|Where||Memorial Park GC, Houston|
|When||Thursday, November 5 – Sunday, November 8|
|How to watch||Thursday 2pm & 5pm ET (Golf Channel), Friday, Saturday & Sunday 1pm & 7.30pm ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sports.|
Houston Open Profile
It’s not long now! Less than seven days until the finest golfers in the world make their way up Magnolia Lane, ready to tee it up in the long-delayed and hotly-anticipated 2020 Masters. Like students last-minute cramming ahead of a tough examination, a handful of next week’s contenders are tweaking their game or grabbing some last-minute competitive action at Houston Open venue Memorial Park GC.
Chief among them is the +700 tournament favorite Dustin Johnson who is still on the recovery route from his positive test for Covid-19 and hasn’t been seen since finishing sixth at the US Open, a fifth top six on the bounce. He’s followed in the betting by in-form Englishman Tyrrell Hatton who recently won the BMW PGA Championship on home soil and was a maiden winner on the PGA Tour at Bay Hill in March.
Others keen to blow away a few cobwebs are past Masters winners Adam Scott, Sergio Garcia (a winner last month in California), and Phil Mickelson (who has always liked to play the week before he travels to Augusta National). Jordan Spieth is also in the field and is desperate to rediscover a glimmer of form; the four-time top-three finishers in the Masters hasn’t made a top ten since the first start out of lockdown way back in June.
Let the preparation begin – and hopefully, we can continue on from last week’s good tipping form.
Kim a Texas Ranger
We’re a little in the dark about the nature of the test this week because the tournament hasn’t been hosted by Memorial Park since 1963 and the course has witnessed a renovation in preparation for the return. What we do know is that the greens have Bermuda grass and that the layout looks likely to yield some low scoring.
Both of those factors could play into the hands of 25-year-old Si-Woo Kim, the Korean who has achieved quite a lot in his PGA Tour career whilst also remaining under the radar.
He first announced himself with victory in the 2016 Wyndham Championship – a low-scoring tournament on Bermuda greens at Sedgefield – and he backed it up with a stunning triumph in the following year’s Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass, yet another Bermuda grass examination.
A third win has remained elusive, but the venues where he has threatened to add to his tally hints that this week will suit: in short, more Bermuda putting surfaces at El Camaleon (third in 2017), Harbour Town (second in 2018), two more top-fives at Sedgefield and fourth in the 2019 Texas Open at TPC San Antonio.
He’s been in really consistent form since the return to action from lockdown, landing 13 weekends in his last 14 starts. Among that tally, he has made six top 20s and two of them have been in his last couple of starts, when tied eighth in Shriners Hospitals Open and T17th at the CJ Cup, both in Las Vegas. He looks to be closing in on that third win at this level and is well worth backing at +4000 each way with bet365.
Hopefully he earn more spoils after last week’s pick Wyndham Clark made the play-off.
Aaron the Wise Choice
A quirk of this week’s test is that it has five par-3s and also five par-5s – an unusual combination that might play into the hands of 24-year-old American Aaron Wise. In the field, he ranks eighth in Par-5 Scoring over the last 12 months and also fifth for Par-3 Scoring (he’s also a solid tenth for the Par-4s).
Nor is it the only reason he’d be looking forward to a return to Texas, the state where he picked up his first victory on the PGA Tour, an impressive three-shot triumph in the 2018 Byron Nelson Championship.
In recent weeks his form has been a little boom or bust as he recorded two top 20s and three missed cuts ahead of his return last week to the Bermuda Championship, where he was third last year. His hopes might have been high of another week of contending, but perhaps a little too high as he had a not-quite week that ended with T26th. I like backing a player who’s shown form and just had a little corrective in expectations.
He’s a solid top 20 bet at +350 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Take Streelman over Grillo
Last week’s match-bet could hardly have gone better as our pick Denny McCarthy finished 12-under for the week in fourth whilst his opponent Charley Hoffman missed the cut on 15-over – if only it were that plain-sailing every week! This week’s selection is the solid American Kevin Streelman who has been paired with Argentina’s Emiliano Grillo who he has had the wood over in recent times.
Since the start of 2019 Streelman leads the head-to-head count 17-12. But in 2020 the advantage is a whopping 10-3.
Is there something the odds compiler knows which we don’t?
Well, Grillo has won two of the last three, but Streelman was never far away in those contests so I’m more than happy to take him to re-assert his authority. Take BetMGM’s -125.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
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