Portugal Masters Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- European Tour moves from Spain for back-to-back events in Portugal
- Tournament takes place at Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course in Vilamoura
- World No.16 Tommy Fleetwood is the star name in modest field
Portugal Masters Odds
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Portugal Masters Odds Our Picks
George Coetzee is a course horse at Dom Pedro Victoria and comes in off a victory in his native South Africa. Back him at +1500 with DraftKings for the win.
Sweden’s Sebastian Soderberg boasts course and current form and can outscore Kalle Samooja in a 72-hole Scandinavian matchup -120 Draftkings.
Ashun Wu has some notable course form and returned to action with a solid display at Valderrama. The Chinese golfer can make the top 20 at +400 with bet365.
George Coetzee to win +1500 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Sebastian Soderberg to beat Kalle Samooja in a match-bet -120 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Ashun Wu to land a top 20 +400 at bet365
How to Watch the Portugal Masters
|Portugal Masters Information|
|Where||Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course, Vilamoura, Portugal|
|When||Thursday, September 10 – Sunday, September 13|
|How to Watch||Thursday & Friday 6 am-8 am ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 8.30 am-1 pm (Golf Channel), Sunday 8.30 am-1 pm (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
Portugal Masters Profile
Continuing the policy of playing events in regional clusters, the European Tour heads from Spain to Portugal this week for leg two of the ‘Iberian Swing’. The Portugal Masters is the first of back-to-back events in the country and is followed by the Open de Portugal at Royal Obidos next week. Although it’s only a short hop over the border from Spain to Portugal, the contrast from last week couldn’t be greater.
While the Andalucia Masters at Valderrama provided one of the toughest tests in years – American John Catlin won with 2-over – the winning score this week is likely to be 20-under or better.
Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course in the tourist hotspot of Vilamoura is set up for easy scoring and the Arnold Palmer-designed par 71 has witnessed winning scores of -17, -22, -20, -23, and -23 the last five years. This easy resort course has produced three English winners in the last five years and an Englishman fronts the betting again.
It’s a slightly strange place for Tommy Fleetwood to warm up for next week’s US Open but perhaps making lots of birdies will at least fuel some confidence ahead of what should be a grueling test at Winged Foot in New York.
In a much weaker field than we witnessed on the six-week ‘UK Swing’, Fleetwood is just +500 but it’s worth noting that he didn’t manage a top ten at this week’s course in five appearances between 2012 and 2016.
He’s a class act but at risk from anyone with a hotter putter on a course like this.
Coetzee Can Claim Title
George Coetzee carries the title of course horse this week. The South African has been a regular at Dom Pedro Victoria and his 7-for-7 slate includes finishes of third, sixth, seventh, two other top 20s, and nothing worse than T31. While all seems clear on that front, regular European Tour watchers will be aware of an obvious minus: Coetzee hasn’t played on the ET since tied seventh at the Qatar Masters in March.
However, it’s not as if Coetzee has downed tools. Instead, he’s spent lockdown back home in South Africa and in the last three weeks has regained his sharpness in eye-catching style.
The four-time European Tour winner showed rust when missing the cut at the Betway Championship but in his next two local Sunshine Tour events, he finished runner-up at the African Bank Sunshine Tour Championship before following it with victory at the Titleist Championship.
Although this is a step up, Coetzee has a history of gaining confidence back home and carrying it across continents to make his mark on the European Tour.
So this is all very familiar to him. He knows Dom Pedro as well as anyone in the field and looks well worth a punt at +1500 with DraftKings Sportsbook to hoist the trophy.
Soderberg Can See Off Samooja
It’s Sweden v Finland in this 72-hole match bet from DraftKings which features Sebastian Soderberg and Kalle Samooja. And it’s Swede Soderberg who appears to hold most of the aces. Despite missing the cut at Valderrama last week, he again produced some good numbers around the green and that’s an important skill at this week’s course.
Before his early exit in Spain, Soderberg had recorded back-to-back top tens at the Celtic Classic (T10) and Wales Open (T5). Prior to that, he’d contested the WGC-St. Jude Invitational in Tennessee and mixing it with the big guns must clearly have given him a good feeling.
While shooting 69-74 to miss the cut here on his last visit isn’t ideal, Soderberg fired 68-71-64-68 to finish tied seventh at Dom Pedro Victoria in his only other start at the course in 2017.
Finland’s Samooja was a decent tied 21st on his first look at Dom Pedro last year but he returns with his game in a funk. Missing the cut at Valderrama can be excused but that was his third MC in five starts and the other two were T34 and T65. He’s struggled with the putter in the last two events and nothing looks strong enough in his stats to suggest he’ll get the better of his more consistent rival.
Back Soderberg at -120 with DraftKings Sportsbook to secure the best finishing position.
Wu Worth Chancing For Top 20
Ashun Wu overcame a horror start to battle away and finish tied 31st in last week’s Andalucia Masters at Valderrama. And now he has the chance to paint some low numbers at Dom Pedro Victoria – a course where he’s shown he can go low. The Chinese golfer posted 65-67-67-69 to finish tied seventh on debut in 2017. And in 2018 he thrashed a second-round 64 to sit tied 12th at the midpoint before falling away on the weekend – perhaps a result of mental fatigue having won the previous week’s KLM Open.
Looking at his last eight worldwide starts, Wu has finished in the top 20 in four of them. Having got the competitive juices flowing again in Spain last week, the 35-year-old can kick on here and make the top 20.
His price of +400 at bet365 looks generous
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.