Scottish Championship Predictions, Odds & Picks
- The Scottish Championship is a brand-new event on the European Tour
- It takes place at the Torrance Course at Fairmont St Andrews in Fife
- English duo Matt Wallace and Lee Westwood head the betting
Scottish Championship Odds
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Scottish Championship Picks and Predictions
England’s Matthew Southgate is a specialist on the links and has a great record in Scotland. Take him each-way (¼ 1-2-3-4-5) +3300 at bet365.
Eddie Pepperell repeatedly shines in Scotland and has bounced back to top form in the last two weeks. He can outscore Aaron Rai in a 72-hole match -120 bet365
Callum Shinkwin has a bunch of good form on Scottish links and can land a top 20 at +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Matthew Southgate +3300 at bet365
Eddie Pepperell to beat Aaron Rai in a match-bet -120 at bet365
Callum Shinkwin to land a top 20 +300 at DraftKings Sportsbook
How to Watch the Scottish Championship
|Scottish Championship Event Information|
|Where||Fairmont St Andrews, St Andrews, Fife, Scotland|
|When||Thursday October 15 – Sunday October 18|
|How to Watch||Thursday & Friday 7.30am-12.30am ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 8.00am-12.30pm (Golf Channel), Sunday 7.00am-11.30am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
Scottish Championship Profile
After back-to-back Rolex Series events which included Tyrrell Hatton scoring a brilliant win in the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth, we’re in for a quieter week on the European Tour. Still, any tournament that takes place in Scotland always gets the juices flowing for golf fans, especially when it’s at St Andrew’s. Well, kind of. This isn’t the famous and iconic Old Course at St Andrew’s; it’s a new venue built less than 20 years ago.
Nevertheless, designer Denis Griffiths (aided by Sam Torrance and the late Gene Sarazen) still created an impressive piece of property. It offers some glorious views of the historic old town of St Andrews and also across to the Angus coast where another great venue, Carnoustie, is located.
The course is very much a links test so the wind is in play and it tests the imagination. The holes vary in direction and the greens are described as some of the best in Scotland.
On the card, it’s a 7,230-yard par 72 and we also have some past form to peruse as it staged the Scottish Senior Open between 2009 and 2014. Those events were played over 54 holes and were won with scores ranging from -4 to -17, a reflection on how wind can have such an impact in this part of the world.
Across those six tournaments, there were four English winners and a Swede, perhaps offering a hint that northern Europeans handle the weather better. Course designer Torrance was runner-up in 2013.
While the field quality isn’t what it was at Wentworth, there are still some strong names on show.
Scotland in October requires plenty of warm weather clothing and the forecast predicts some testing winds too – especially in Saturday’s third round.
Southgate Can Secure First Win
It’s obviously a tricky week given that the event debuts on the European Tour. In that sense, an outright bet on any of the market leaders at short prices is a little too risky. So let’s jump down to 33/1 and put our trust in a proven links specialist.
Matthew Southgate has shown his ability to thrive in such conditions with back-to-back finishes of tied 12th and tied sixth in the Open Championship – the first at Royal Troon (Scotland) in 2016 and the second at Royal Birkdale (England) a year later.
He encountered a real mix of challenging weather in both those events so whatever the elements throw at him this week he’ll be in his comfort zone.
Talking of Opens, the Englishman is a member at Carnoustie and, drilling down to this specific area, he has some nice history with St Andrews. First, he won the St Andrews Links Trophy in 2013. Second, Southgate was runner-up at last year’s Alfred Dunhill Links Championship – a tournament played at Kingsbarns, Carnoustie, and the Old Course.
He had a golden chance to win and must have carried some regrets but the 32-year-old returned to Scotland a couple of weeks ago to post tied ninth in the Scottish Open. A links specialist with some extremely impressive Strokes Gained: Tee To Green numbers in his last couple of events, Southgate can make a big impression at +3300 with bet365.
Pepperell To Outscore Rai
After another 72-hole match-winner last week (that’s 13 out of the last 15), I’m going to put my money on Eddie Pepperell to outscore Aaron Rai. Pepperrell had slipped down to 137th in the world rankings after some poor form since lockdown but he’s back inside the top 100 again after two fine weeks.
The erudite Englishman was tied ninth in the Scottish Open a couple of weeks ago and built on that to take sixth place in the BMW PGA Championship last time.
Looking at Pepperell’s record in Scotland, he’s 7-for-7 since 2017 and has pieced together a superb run of 7-2-6-44-43-15-9 over the last three years. He loves links and some beautiful ball-striking last week suggests he can hit page one of the leaderboard again.
Rai, of course, won the Scottish Open two weeks ago, a mighty effort after he’d lost out on the 72nd hole at the previous week’s Irish Open.
But those two weeks under the gun may have taken a toll and he looked weary when missing the cut with a second-round 77 at Wentworth last Friday.
Pepperell has the momentum and can outscore his compatriot. Take the -120 at bet365.
Bjork Shinkwin To Land In Top 20
I’ll again turn to an Englishman for this week’s Top 20 pick.
Callum Shinkwin famously lost the 2017 Scottish Open in a play-off to Rafa Cabrera-Bello at Dundonald when a five at the final hole of regulation play would have secured victory.
Perhaps, as a reaction, he missed the cut on his next three visits to Scotland but Shinkwin looks to be over it now.
The 27-year-old was 10th in last year’s Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and tied 30th in the recent Scottish Open. However, note that he was again inside the top 10 after 54 holes.
Add in T8 from the 2016 Scottish Open and he has plenty of strong form in the region and a clear ability to play links golf.
Take him to finish in the top 20 at +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
More Golf Predictions & Odds
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.