Tournament of Champions Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

  • The PGA Tour kicks off its action for the year with a high-quality field
  • World No. 1 Dustin Johnson leads the betting
  • Justin Thomas chasing a third tournament win

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Tournament of Champions Odds

Player Odds
Dustin Johnson +600
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Justin Thomas +700
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Jon Rahm +750
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Bryson DeChambeau +1000
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Xander Schauffele +1000
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Patrick Reed +1600
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Hideki Matsuyama +1800
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Patrick Cantlay +1800
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Webb Simpson +1800
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Viktor Hovland +2000
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Tournament of Champions Picks and Predictions

Patrick Cantlay’s strong course form makes him the outright pick at +1800 with bet365

Martin Laird can land a third tournament top ten priced +1100 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Back Webb Simpson to beat Hideki Matsuyama in their BetMGM match bet at -111

Picks:

Patrick Cantlay each way in the outright +1800 at bet365

Martin Laird to make the top ten +1100 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Webb Simpson to beat Hideki Matsuyama at -111 with BetMGM

How to Watch the Tournament of Champions

Tournament of Champions Information
What Sentry Tournament of Champions
Where Plantation Course at Kapalua, Hawaii
When Thursday, January 7 – Sunday, January 10
How to watch Thursday & Friday 6pm & 11pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 6pm & 9pm ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 6pm & 11pm ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sports.

Tournament of Champions Profile

The PGA Tour’s traditional Hawaiian fortnight begins in Kapalua and, whilst it is no longer the opening event of the season, it remains the introduction to a New Year.

In another change from the past, albeit one short-term in nature, there are more than just champions in the field – everyone who finished in the top 30 of last year’s rankings has also been invited (Rory McIlroy and Tyrrell Hatton are the most notable of those who have passed on the opportunity).

The reason is simple: because of the Covid 19-influenced hiatus midway through last season, the field would be somewhat lacking in numbers if it remained consistent with past criteria. It’s a minor detail and one which only the truly pedantic could be bothered by. Most important is the fact that the field is an extremely strong one and promises to provide an explosive start to 2021.

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson heads the betting, chased by Justin Thomas with Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau not far behind. The first two of those have extra-strong claims this week because both are past winners on the course. Johnson claimed his victories in 2013 and 2018, whilst Thomas did so more recently in 2017 and 2020.

Multiple course winners have always been a feature of the tournament’s spell at Kapalua with Australia’s Stuart Appleby landing a hat-trick from 2004 and his compatriot Geoff Ogilvy winning in both 2009 and 2010.

Choose Cantlay in Kapalua

It’s not so long ago that 28-year-old Californian Patrick Cantlay was carding a final round 65 at the Zozo Championship to overhaul Justin Thomas and Jon Rahm. It was a superb effort, prompting memories of another stellar Sunday effort when he blasted a 64 to trump the high-class quartet of Martin Kaymer, Adam Scott, Jordan Spieth, and Hideki Matsuyama at the 2019 Memorial Tournament.

Both performances were reminders of his undoubted class and he traveled to Augusta National for the Masters with expectations further heightened by his bold bid to win there in 2019, when he led late in the final round.

A second-round 66 had him tied sixth heading into the weekend at last month’s delayed 2020 renewal before he stalled and drifted to T17th. There is, however, no worse place to compete with too high expectations than Augusta, a course with the ability to chew up and spit out inflated hopes with impunity.

Nonetheless, the fact that Cantlay has contended at the Masters is a real plus point ahead of this week because five of the last eight winners on the Plantation Course have won Green Jackets, a sixth (Xander Schauffele) has been second there and the exception Justin Thomas was fourth there this year.

The reason for that? Augusta demands that players make bold decisions and execute them with daring. The pressure is nowhere near so great in this tournament, but there is a similar call for aggression on short par-4s and reachable par-5s – both venues are also very undulating.

Moreover, Cantlay has already proved himself a good fit for Kapalua. He spent much of his 2018 debut in the top ten before finishing T15th and backed that up with fourth in 2020.

He can sneak his way past the favorites again and is each-way play at +1800 with bet365.

Laird a Lively Outsider

Scotland’s Martin Laird is a four-time winner on the PGA Tour, most recently at TPC Summerlin towards the end of last year, and yet the books have little time for the idea that he might win this week. He’s rated one of the wild outsiders and, whilst lifting the trophy might prove too big an ask, there’s no reason why he can’t contend and land a top ten punt.

The first reason we should have some faith in the 38-year-old is his course form. Back in 2010, he spent the entire week inside the top four, ending it tied fourth. Two years later he returned for a second time and once again never ended a round outside the top four, this time finishing second. He couldn’t repeat the feat in 2014, registering T20th, but in going eight rounds on the course without ever ending a day outside the top four he more than indicated his suitability for the test.

Don’t overlook, either, the fact he won at Summerlin because Stuart Appleby and Jonathan Byrd both won there before doing ao again at Plantation, whilst he himself prefaced his 2010 debut here with a win at Summerlin in 2009.

Take the +1100 with DraftKings Sportsbook that he lands a third top ten at the course.

Simpson Got Matsuyama in a Webb

At first glance the BetMGM match-up between Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama is a tough one to call, looking like a simple battle between two-course specialists.

Simpson has twice finished third, once eight, and also 11th in four visits, whilst Matsuyama has logged second, third, and fourth.

A glance at the current form, however, suggests a split.

In the last 25 instances of them playing the same tournament Simpson leads 19-5 and since the start of 2020, the advantage to the American is a whopping 11-2.

Take the -111 that Simpson maintains his hold in this particular head-to-head.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]