WGC - FedEx St. Jude Invitational - Predictions, Odds & Picks
- Patrick Reed loves the big events and can secure a third WGC win at +3500 with DraftKings/bet365.
- Xander Schauffele boasts plenty of high-class consistency at the top level and is primed to gun down Hideki Matsuyama in a 72-hole match.
- Matt Wallace has bounced back to form since the restart and is a value bet at +350 to finish in the top 20.
FedEx St. Jude Invitational Odds
Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.
FedEx St. Jude Invitational Predictions and Picks
In the outright market, take Patrick Reed at +3500 with DraftKings/bet365 while Xander Schauffele (-138) can enjoy a better finishing position than Hideki Matsuyama in bet365’s matchups. Finally, England’s Matt Wallace can make the top 20 at +350 (DraftKings/bet365).
How to Watch FedEx St. Jude Invitational
|Where||TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee|
|When||Thursday, 30 July – Sunday, 02 August|
|How to Watch||Thursday-Friday, 2pm-7pm ET (Golf Channel). Saturday 12pm-2pm (Golf Channel), 2pm-6pm (CBS), Sunday, 1pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-7pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
The first of two huge weeks on the PGA Tour tees off at TPC Southwind in Tennessee for the penultimate World Golf Championship event of 2020. It’s followed by the long-awaited first major of the year: the PGA Championship at Harding Park in San Francisco.
TPC Southwind has been a regular stop on the PGA Tour since the late 1980s but last year the St. Jude was elevated to WGC status, producing a classy 1-2 as Brooks Koepka took home the title, with fellow major winner Webb Simpson in second.
Those two return in a select 78-man field although the dynamic this time is different. Last year the tournament was played the week after the Open Championship at Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland so jet-lag kicked in with some. By contrast, having an eye on next week’s major is the factor that could have an impact.
TPC Southwind is a tough par 70 although Koepka took control of it in 2019 by shooting 64-65 on the weekend to win by three.
Interviewed on Tuesday, second-favorite Justin Thomas noted: “I find this place very similar to East Lake to where if you drive it well if you hit the fairways, it’s not a very difficult course. It’s a place I think off the tee is extremely important because from there you can manage the course pretty well.
“When you get out of position, you’re really just trying to minimize your damage and not make a big number.” After his dominant victory at the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago, new World No.1 Jon Rahm fronts the betting. He opened with a superb 62 here last year to lead by three after the opening lap but had to settle for seventh place. The Spaniard is still seeking a first WGC win.
Tiger Woods leads the all-time list for WGC wins (18) since these tournaments were first contested in 1999 although he’s not in the field this week.
Dustin Johnson is next best with six WGC victories although he had to pull out of the 3M Open last week with back trouble and the week before that he fired a pair of 80s to miss the cut at Memorial.
Rory McIlroy owns three World Golf Championship trophies, the latest coming in the 2019 WGC-HSBC Champions in China. The Northern Irishman had the 54-hole lead here last year after a sparkling Saturday 62 but fell back to tied fourth after a closing one-over 71.
Defender Koepka is +3000 – a reflection of some poor recent form which continued with a missed cut at the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago.
Reed Ready to Win Again
Only 15 players have won multiple World Golf Championships events and Patrick Reed is on that select list having landed the WGC-Cadillac Championship in 2014 and this year’s WGC-Mexico Championship in February.
It’s a further sign that ‘Captain America’ thrives in the biggest events, something we’ve seen in Ryder Cups and, of course, when he held his nerve down the stretch to land the 2018 Masters at Augusta National.
The 29-year-old, now ranked World No. 8, emerged from the break-in play to take tied seventh in the Charles Schwab Challenge last month and, after some mixed results, flexed his muscles again with tied 10th in the Memorial Tournament last time.
Backing up Thomas’s quotes above, the last four winners here have ranked in the top five for Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and Reed was sixth in that category at Memorial. That strong driving was a big asset in the tough Sunday conditions at Muirfield Village while he was 9th for SG: Off The Tee, at this venue last year so the course suits his eye.
Schauffele Can Sink Matsuyama Over 72 Holes
We’re now on a 5-for-5 run in 72-hole match bets after last week’s easy win for Matthew Wolff (T12) over Bubba Watson (MC) so let’s try and extend the sequence here.
The man to get onside this week is Xander Schauffele, who is -138 with bet365 to finish higher than Hideki Matsuyama.
The San Diego State product only started playing in WGC events and majors in 2017 but he’s been an instant hit at the top level, showing high-class consistency.
Schauffele already has five top sixes in the majors while the 26-year-old has a victory, a second, and five other top 20s in WGCs. He heads to TPC Southwind in fine form after a trio of top 20s and at Memorial, his long game looked in excellent shape as he ranked 1st for SG: Off The Tee and 3rd Tee To Green.
Matsuyama, meanwhile, hasn’t managed a top 20 in five PGA Tour starts and his putting has been abysmal. Only T43 here last year, Matsuyama looks vulnerable and the consistent Schauffele is an ideal man to take him on with.
Wallace Value for Top 20 Finish
Five English players made the top 12 in this event last year and Matt Wallace was all set to make it six before stuttering over the final five holes, dropping to T27. But he certainly enjoyed his first look at TPC Southwind and twirled 69 and 65 in his middle two rounds.
He was World No. 25 at the time and, after a dip which threatened to knock him out of the top 50, Wallace is on the up again.
Now 41st in the OWGR, Wallace flashed some form with T12 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and stepped it up with an excellent tied fourth at Memorial two weeks ago. That impressive performance combined with last year’s good showing makes him a good bet at +350 to finish in the top 20.
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.