Bing Crosby Stakes (Del Mar) Predictions, Odds & Picks

Bing Crosby Stakes 2020

If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick, Collusion Illusion (9/2)

Post Position and Odds Bing Crosby Stakes

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Bing Crosby Stakes at Del Mar!

PPHorseOddsJockeyTrainer
1LEXITONIAN8/1
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D Van DykeJ Sisterson
2ANYPORTINASTORM15/1
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J J HernandezB Wright
3DESERT LAW10/1
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V EspinozaC Gaines
4MCKINZIE1/1
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M SmithB Baffert
5P R RADIO STAR20/1
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M GutierrezP D’Amato
6FASHIONABLY FAST10/1
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T J PereiraD Pederson
7LAW ABIDIN CITIZEN15/1
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A CedilloM Glatt
8WILDMAN JACK15/1
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U RispoliD O’Neill
9COLLUSION ILLUSION9/2
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F PratM Glatt
10HEARTWOOD20/1
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E MaldonadoJ K Chapman

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Best Bets for the Bing Crosby Stakes

Here are my plays ($35 in total)

  • $20 Exacta – Collusion Illusion over McKinzie = $20
  • $5 Exacta part wheel – Collusion Illusion over Desert Law, Lexitonian and Wildman Jack = $15
  • If you’re playing only to win, go with my top pick, Collusion Illusion (9/2).

How to watch the Bing Crosby Stakes

Bing Crosby Stakes Information

WhatBing Crosby Stakes (G1)
WhereDel Mar
WhenSaturday, August 1 — 6:30 pm Pacific time
How to WatchWatch on TVG here!
Purse$250,000

McKinzie, one of the top older males in the nation, will cut back to the unfamiliar distance of 6 furlongs when he tops a field of ten for Saturday’s Grade 1 Bing Crosby Stakes at Del Mar.

The four-time grade 1 winner has never before run in such a short sprint but has fared well before when cutting back to 7 furlongs for trainer Bob Baffert. Second, in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, last year at 10 furlongs, the son of Street Sense has won once in three starts this year and that came in the 7 furlongs Triple Bend (G2) two starts ago at Santa Anita. Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith will once again be in the saddle of the winner of better than $3.4 million in his career.

Chief among McKinzie’s competition in the 6 furlongs Bing Crosby will be the streaking 3-year-old Collusion Illusion. The son of Twirling Candy has won four of his five career starts, with his only loss coming when he was pulled up in last year’s American Pharoah Stakes (G1). He is 2-for-2 this year and is coming in off an impressive score in the Lazaro Barrera Stakes (G3) six weeks ago at Santa Anita.

As part of the Breeders’ Cup Challenge Series, the Bing Crosby will provide the winner with an automatic berth into this year’s Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) at Keeneland.

Race Analysis

McKinzie

There can be no doubt that the experienced 5-year-old is the class of the field. While he has never run this 6 furlong trip before, you can see his affinity for one-turn races in his pair of graded stakes victories going 7 panels. Still, this is a slightly different game going three-quarters of a mile, so he’ll have to get things going earlier than he ever has before. Ultimately, I believe he will be pointed for one of the shorter races when this year’s Breeders’ Cup rolls around, making this a natural testing ground. All the early speed in here should help his chances. His Met Mile wasn’t bad, despite the off the board finish, as he was reported to have shoe trouble in the race. Perhaps all the tough races and travel is starting to slow him down a bit, though. As the heavy favorite, I am going to take a shot at beating him.

Collusion Illusion

The only 3-year-old in the field, he has already proven himself as a very good sprinter. In fact, he’s never lost in four tries at sprint distances, including a pair of graded stakes victories. He’ll be making his third start of the year on Saturday, so he should be ready to fire his best shot. The question then becomes, is he good enough to handle tough older sprinters? I believe younger horses have the best chance against the older ones in shorter races like this, and I see this son of Twirling Candy as a big talent. He should be able to work out a solid trip rallying behind the early speed in here. Getting six pounds from McKinzie can’t hurt his chances either. Considering the odds, he is the top pick.

Lexitonian

The lone shipper from the Eastern half of the United States comes in off a solid win last time at Churchill Downs in a graded stakes caliber allowance race. While he has been a little inconsistent during his career, perhaps the last one is an indication that he is putting things together now as a 4-year-old. One of several that figure to attend the pace, look for him to be in with a fighting chance at the top of the Del Mar stretch. Scratched out of last weekend’s Vanderbilt at Saratoga, I am not crazy about all the travel, but on his best, he certainly could contend.

Desert Law

He’s very lightly raced the past two seasons, but when he’s on the track, he has been good. The Carla Gaines-trainee ran a strong race in the Bing Crosby last year, finishing a good second. He’s only had one race since, when he ran a good enough prep to finish third in the Thor’s Echo. This year’s edition could be tougher, but he should be ready to run.  I like him as one of the horses that can pass horses in the stretch, and I also like his previous experience over the main track at Del Mar. I consider him one of the most likely to run a strong race on Saturday.

Fashionably Fast

Well named, this gelding has matured into a very nice sprinter. Not afraid to knock heads early, he has demonstrated the heart needed to stick around late. Only the class of McKinzie, at one furlong longer than Saturday’s race, was able to put an end to a six-race winning streak. Given the cut back in distance, he may be even more of a thorn in the favorite’s chances here. Still, this is a race with plenty of early speed, and Del Mar has been a track a bit tough to do it all on the front end so far this year. I respect him, but I like a few others better.

Law Abidin Citizen

He is a hard knocking Southern California sprinter, who appears equally adept on dirt as he does on turf. Honest for sure, but he’s probably never beaten quite the quality he will see in this Grade 1 affair. On the plus side, he looks like a horse that can sit off horses, rather than needing the lead. He is always in with a chance, but, I don’t see this as the spot for him to earn his first win at Del Mar in what will be his third try.

Anyportinastorm

This will be a serious test for a horse who has competed at smaller tracks on the West Coast exclusively so far in his racing career. Having said that, he has proven to be a consistent horse, who is always involved with stakes caliber sprinters. This is a level up, though, and considering the amount of early speed in here to deal with, I imagine even a big performance is likely to fall a bit short in the final furlong.

Wildman Jack

The wildcard in the field, he will be making his first career start on the dirt in Saturday’s feature. A multiple graded stakes winner on the turf, the son of Goldencents is bred to handle the track. Don’t read much into his last race, when he trailed throughout, as I believe that was the result of a poor start. He had a sharp workout over the track, and should be ready to make his presence felt early. As longshots go, you could certainly do worse.

P R Radio Star

The good news is that he does come into the Bing Crosby off a nice win over the track. Unfortunately, that was a far different class of racehorse than he will see in here. In fact, this will be the biggest test of his career, and even with the recent win at Del Mar, it looks to be a little bit too much for him.

Heartwood

Well-traveled and an experienced sprinter, he drew the far outside post for this in the field of ten. There is some back class there, but even at his very best, it would be hard to see him winning this. He has some tactical speed, but his recent races just don’t look good enough to make a serious dent on Saturday.

Bet on: Collusion Illusion (9/2)!

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Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: brian.zipse@wsn.com