Forego Stakes (Saratoga) Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
If you're playing only to win, go with both my top pick Whitmore (4/1) and my top longshot Funny Guy (12/1)
Post Position and Odds – Forego Stakes
Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Forego Stakes at Saratoga!
|R Santana Jr.||J Sisterson|
|L Saez||R Moquett|
|J Lezcano||J Sisterson|
|4||FUNNY GUY||12/1 |
|J Rosario||J Terranova II|
|5||TRUE TIMBER||20/1 |
|K Carmouche||J Sisterson|
|J Ortiz||C Brown|
|7||WIN WIN WIN||20/1 |
|J Castellano||M Trombetta|
|8||FIRENZE FIRE||8/1 |
|J Alvarado||K Breen|
|9||MAJESTIC DUNHILL||30/1 |
|M Franco||G Weaver|
|10||MIND CONTROL||6/1 |
|J Velazquez||G Sacco|
|11||FORTIN HILL||9/2 |
|I Ortiz Jr.||C Brown|
Best Bets for the Forego Stakes
Here are my plays ($48 in total)
$2 Exacta box – Whitmore, Funny Guy, Mind Control and Lexitonian = $24
$2 Exacta box – Whitmore, Funny Guy, Mind Control and Everfast = $24
Funny Guy 12-1
Led by a classy former winner of the race, Saturday’s Grade 1 Forego Stakes has attracted a full field of 11 older males looking to stake their claim among the best sprinters in the land.
Trained by Ron Moquett, Whitmore has won ten stakes races in his career, and none were bigger than the 2018 edition of the Forego. The veteran sprinter, an earner of more than $3.1 million, looks as good as ever at the age of 7. Coming off a rallying second behind Volatile in the Grade 1 Vanderbilt last month at Saratoga, he is the most likely favorite on Saturday, but there are numerous other strong sprinters who should receive plenty of betting support.
Chief among his challengers include a lightly raced and talented pair from the barn of trainer, Chad Brown. Complexity, a grade 1 winner as a juvenile, and Fortin Hill, who comes in off a sharp victory at the same 7 furlong distance of the Forego, both are stepping up in class, but may well have the ability to compete at the highest level.
Adding to a very deep field for the Forego are Mind Control and Firenze Fire. Both are Grade 1 winners, and finished narrowly behind Whitmore last time in the Vanderbilt. Lexitonian, who just missed in the Grade 1 Bing Crosby at Del Mar last time, is another who figures to be among the half dozen well respected at the windows.
How to Watch the Forego Stakes
|Forego Stakes Race Information|
|What||Forego Stakes (G1)|
|When||Saturday, August 29 — 5:07 pm Eastern time|
|How to Watch||Fox Sports 1|
He clearly has not lost a step in this his sixth year on the track. The 7-year-old was up against things race set-up wise against a very talented horse in Volatile last time. All things considered, he ran a very good race to be second. For a grade 1 sprint, there is not a lot of speed in here, so he will probably need to be a little closer to the lead than he sometimes is, but he has done really well doing that in the past. The former champ of the Forego clearly likes the track at Saratoga and new rider Luis Saez has been going well of late. It’s a wide open race, but he is the one to beat.
The Chad Brown-trainee has not raced a lot since winning the Grade 1 Champagne nearly two years ago. His only start recently was a smart win going a flat mile at Belmont Park. Unfortunately, in three graded stakes tries since the Champagne victory, he was no threat down the lane. Perhaps this is a better spot for a more mature version of Complexity, as he should be on or near the lead early. Certainly a danger, this is a salty group to beat as the potential favorite.
Of the two Brown runners, this one may actually have more potential than his Grade 1 winning stablemate. The Indiana-bred has only run four times in his career with three nice wins, and a rallying second. Having said that, he has never faced anything like he will see on Saturday. In fact, the grade 1 race will be his initial attempt in stakes racing. His most recent race was at the distance and at Belmont Park. The speed figures came back impressive for his sharp win. Like his barnmate, he has the speed to contend early, although he might have to work hard from his outside post. He’s a threat, but I’m going to lay off as one of the favorites.
He hasn’t connected in his last two, but the son of Stay Thirsty has a strong nose for the wire. The multiple grade 1 winner earned both of those victories at Saratoga and at the tough 7 furlong distance. Draw a line through that performance two starts back in the slop, and he deserves to be one of the favorites on Saturday. As it is, he might be let go at some pretty attractive odds. He’s versatile, but he will need to work out a good trip from his outside post. If he’s in the thick of it mid-stretch, he’ll have a big shot to figure out a way to win.
Late last year he was beaten by just a nose by Whitmore when they finished second and third in the Phoenix (G2) at Keeneland. That came as a surprise, but though inconsistent at 3, it looks like he is putting things together of late. His win two starts back at Churchill Downs was very good, and then he ran an excellent second in a grade 1 race at Del Mar. If not for a slow break, he likely would have won the race. He has the speed to stay close early and he clearly can handle the 7 furlong trip. He’s a very dangerous runner in here.
Three starts into his new run for trainer Kelly Breen, he doesn’t seem to have lost much from a very successful career for his disgraced former trainer, Jason Servis. He came up a little short last time when he lost the battle for second behind Whitmore and Mind Control in the Vanderbilt. I’m not sure he can turn the tables on Saturday. It’s hard to fault him, considering all the good races he’s run, but of the multiple graded stakes winning sprinters in here, I like him only third best.
Last season at 3, he proved to become a very nice New York-bred, including a nice win in the Albany. This year, he looks even better. Undefeated in two starts at four, the son of Big Brown looks very ready to make the move from tough statebred racing to the big time. He’s 2-for-2 at Saratoga, and seems to really appreciate the 7 furlong distance. Because he hasn’t beaten top open company before, he should have very attractive odds. This is not an easy spot by any means, but I think he has a big shot to pull off an upset on Saturday.
Win Win Win
On the Kentucky Derby trail last year, this one made a successful surface switch to the grass last summer, but then was not seen again for nearly a year. His two starts this year are a bit indifferent, although the second was better than the first. He has back class, including a nice win in the Pasco Stakes at 7 furlongs last year, and could improve in his third start back, but this may be a horse who still hasn’t found his niche.
Second in the Preakness last year at big odds, he looks to have found a home going one turn. A few starts back he made a menacing move against strong horses in the Blame Stakes. It came against much cheaper, and he will have to run faster, but he does sport a nice win over the track and at the distance in his last start. If he can work out a nice rallying trip from his inside post, he is a live longshot.
In the past, he has turned in some strong performances to hit the board in big races, including a second and a third in the last two editions of the Cigar Mile (G1). Having said that, this is a deeper race than both of those, and his form this year does not look quite good enough to expect a big effort on Saturday.
On his best, he is a rallying sprinter capable of running very good races, but with little speed in a race that could be called his toughest ever, I’m not confident the switch from his recent turf racing is going to be very successful. This looks like an extremely tough spot for him, but if the pace is hot, he does have an outside chance to rally into the picture at big odds.
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Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
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