Mrs. Revere Stakes (Churchill Downs) Predictions, Odds & Picks
If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Princess Grace (3/1)
Post Position and Odds – Mrs. Revere Stakes
Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Mrs. Revere Stakes at Churchill Downs!
|T Gaffalione||M Casse|
|B Hernandez Jr.||A Granitz|
|R Santana Jr.||M Maker|
|F Geroux||M Stidham|
|R Bejarano||V Oliver|
|6||PASS THE PLATE||8/1|
|J Talamo||P McGee|
|J Leparoux||I Wilkes|
Best Bets for the Mrs. Revere Stakes
Here are my plays ($60 in total)
$20 Exacta Princess Grace over Stunning Sky and Hendy Woods = $40
$10 Exacta Stunning Sky and Hendy Woods over Princess Grace = $20
Princess Grace (3/1)
Stunning Sky, fresh off a rallying victory in the Grade 3 Valley View Stakes at Keeneland, heads a competitive group of seven 3-year-old fillies set to line up for the $200,000 Mrs. Revere Stakes at Churchill Downs. The Grade 2 feature will be run at 1 1/16 miles over the Matt Winn turf course.
The Valley View win was a breakthrough performance for the daughter of Declaration of War after knocking on the door in seven consecutive stakes races, including a pair of second-place finishes at Saratoga. Trained by Mike Maker, Stunning Sky used a strong closing kick to get up late in winning her first stakes race. The likely favorite in Mrs. Revere will be facing a familiar competition on Saturday.
The top 4 finishers of the Valley View will all be back for Mrs. Revere, including the second-place finisher. Princess Grace has made only three career starts, but she came close last time in her stakes debut, only losing the lead late to Stunning Sky. Trained by Mike Stidham, the daughter of Karakontie won her first two starts on the grass at Colonial Downs and Monmouth.
Another who should find plenty of support on the odds board is Hendy Woods. She exits the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Cup, where she finished out of the money, but before that the Mark Casse-trainee had won a stakes race at Indiana Grand and finished second behind the highly regarded Sharing at Churchill Downs in the Grade 2 Edgewood.
How to Watch the Mrs. Revere Stakes
|Mrs. Revere Stakes Race Information|
|What||Mrs. Revere Stakes (Grade 2)|
|When||Saturday, November 14 — 5:36 pm Eastern time|
|How to Watch||TVG|
After seven consecutive defeats in stakes company, it was nice to see this consistent filly finally end up in the winner’s circle. She certainly had run enough good races in defeat to deserve a graded stakes victory. The grade 3 score was also her first race being ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr., who again will be in the saddle on Saturday. While she looks better than ever for her excellent turf trainer, it might be worth noting that her only previous race over the Churchill Downs turf course was nothing special. Still, her recent form points her out as a deserving favorite, but considering the lack of pace she will find in here, as opposed to what she got last time, I do believe that she is a very beatable favorite.
The daughter of a Breeders’ Cup Mile winner, this lightly raced turf filly has been awfully good in her first three starts. Displaying good tactical speed she easily dispatched of her competition in her first two career races, before stepping up nicely into graded stakes competition last time in the Valley View. She chased a fast pace in that one and surged to the front, before succumbing late to Stunning Sky. With that experience under her belt and much less pace to worry about on Saturday, she has a great chance to turn the tables. While the late runners will be hampered by a slow pace in Mrs. Revere, look for her to be willing and able to stalk and pounce. She is the top pick.
Like Princess Grace, she has enough tactical speed to be involved early in this race and despite coming off an off the board finish last time, she has proven to be a consistent performer. The winner of her last race, Harvey’s Lil Goil came back to run a big race in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf on Saturday, so the fact that Hendy Woods was beaten by her in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup by 3 ¼-lengths is not a bad result at all. Look for her to find a good stalking position early from her inside post and have every shot as the field of seven fillies turn for home.
After not showing much against strong competition running 1 5/16 at Kentucky Downs, she came right back to run a big race in the Valley View. Her strong late run got within a length of Stunning Sky and a half-length behind Princess Grace. Like Stunning Sky, though, the effort was clearly assisted by a very fast early pace. One which she will not see in Mrs. Revere. She does look to be improving late, but I still can’t be too enthused about her chances considering the lack of pace.
This daughter of More than Ready showed strong signs of life in two solid efforts at Saratoga, but if you look at the rest of her form, including a fourth-place finish last time in the Valley View, she looks to be a cut below the top contenders in here. Having said that, she’s not far off, so if everything goes right for her on Saturday, perhaps she could contend, but I do like others better
Pass the Plate
Another one who likes to make a big late run, she comes into Saturday’s test off an easy win in an allowance race at Keeneland that was taken off the turf. Before that, she was way back at Indiana Grand behind Hendy Woods. Perhaps that poor effort can be forgiven, though, as it came on a yielding turf course. In previous turf races, she had shown some nice late runs in the Regret and Tepin Stakes, both at Churchill. In fact, her three efforts over the local turf course are all quite good. I don’t think the race sets up for her, but she certainly can’t be completely dismissed either.
The only filly in the race with true speed, she will look to take this field wire to wire on Saturday. The winner of her last two races on the grass, she faced significantly weaker fields in both. In between those two front running victories was her only stakes attempt which came on Woodbine’s synthetic track, and she had an equipment problem that afternoon. It’s hard to know how well she will handle these graded stakes caliber fillies, but as a longshot, she should at least be considered given her speed.
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Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
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