Woodward Stakes (Saratoga) Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Woodward Stakes Saratoga

If you're playing only to win, go with both my top pick Tacitus (8/5) at odds of even money or better.

Post Position and Odds – Woodward Stakes

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Woodward Stakes at Saratoga!

PPHorseOddsJockeyTrainer
1MATH WIZARD10/1
BET NOW
J RosarioS Joseph Jr.
2TACITUS8/5
BET NOW
J OrtizW Mott
3MORETTI9/2
BET NOW
J LezcanoT Pletcher
4GLOBAL CAMPAIGN3/1
BET NOW
L SaezS Hough
5SPINOFF4/1
BET NOW
I Ortiz Jr.T Pletcher
6PRIORITIZE8/1
BET NOW
E CancelH J Bond

Best Bets for the Woodward Stakes

Here are my plays ($30 in total)

$20 Exacta – Tacitus over Spinoff = $20

$20 Exacta – Tacitus over Prioritize = $10

Pick:

Tacitus (8/5)

  • tick markLive streaming and instant replays
  • tick markExclusive rewards programme
  • tick markHorse races 365 days a year
  • tick mark$25 referral bonus
  • tick markPicks from horse racing experts
  • tick markLive streaming in HD

The favorite for last year’s Travers, Tacitus has three graded stakes wins to his credit, but he has yet to breakthrough in a Grade 1 event. He’ll look to rectify that situation when he tops a field of six in Saturday’s 67th running of the $500,000 Woodward at Saratoga Race Course.

Back at the 1 ¼-mile distance for the first time since Easy Goer won it way back in 1989, the Woodward should be right up the alley of the Bill Mott trained son of Tapit. Coming in off an eye-catching win in the 10-furlong Suburban (G2) on July 4, Tacitus is both well-proven at the trip and the Saratoga main track, where he finished second in the Jim Dandy and Travers last summer.

Chief among his rivals will be the speedy son of Curlin, Global Campaign. The winner of last year’s Peter Pan, the 4-year-old colt earned his first stakes victory of 2020 with a determined victory in the Monmouth Cup (G3) in his most recent start.

Trainer Todd Pletcher sends out two in the Woodward, and both should get plenty of support. The long-winded Moretti has won 3 of his last 4 races, including the 1 ¾-mile Birdstone at Saratoga weeks ago, while Spinoff exits a career-best effort while accounting for the Alydar Stakes also at Saratoga.

How to Watch the Woodward Stakes

Woodward Stakes Race Information
WhatWoodward Stakes (G1)
WhereSaratoga
WhenSaturday, September 5 — 5:30 pm Eastern time
How to WatchFox Sports 1
Purse$500,000

Race Analysis

Tacitus

After a hard-luck second in the Jim Dandy (G2) and a second-best in the Grade 1 Travers behind Code of Honor last summer, Tacitus finally looks primed to have his day in the sun at Saratoga. Since winning both the Tampa Bay Derby and the Wood Memorial early last season, the 4-year-old gray has kept the best of the company. He hasn’t often won, but he has run a number of strong races. He earned a bit of confidence when he found an easier spot in the Grade 2 Suburban two months ago, and he made the most of it, romping home by nearly 9 lengths. Saturday’s Woodward should be another level of class that he can handle. He is strictly the one to beat and the top pick.

Global Campaign

He figures to go right to the early lead in the Woodward off his game, front-running score last time at Monmouth Park. The question will then be how far he can carry his speed. He’s never run more than 10 furlongs before, although he does have the pedigree to handle the distance. He has also never before competed in Grade 1 company. He looks like a horse who wins against a bit lesser but comes up short when facing the big boys. He was no match for Tacitus at this track in last summer’s Jim Dandy, despite that one having a bad stumble at the start, and I don’t suspect he will fare better this time around when stretching out to 1 ¼-miles.

Spinoff

This one could prove to be the biggest competition to Tacitus on Saturday and a big reason why is his fondness for Saratoga. His recent win in the Alydar, in which he easily beat some decent horses, marked the second straight summer that the son of Hard Spun came to the Spa and turned in an outstanding effort. Like the top one, he has enough early speed to keep in touch early, and the closing kick to finish well, which should suit him well at the 10-furlong trip. Second in the Louisiana Derby last year, he does lack the overall class of the top pick, but a repeat of his performance over the track four weeks ago puts him in as the most likely runner-up.

Moretti

The son of Medaglia d’Oro has certainly come to hand as a 4-year-old, having finished first or second in all six starts this year. This looks to be a tough test, though. Two months ago, he took his shot at Tacitus at a mile and a quarter and was no match. Why will that change on Saturday? I really do not expect it to. His real talent seems to be staying at distances longer than the Woodward, and the fact that he comes out of a 14-furlong race last time makes me wonder about his sharpness for this grade 1 affair.

Prioritize

Of the two long shots on the board, this is the one that interests me more. He was a turf horse for the first 9 starts of his career, but the gelded son of Tizway looks to have really found a new home since the switch to dirt. In his four races after making the switch, he has rallied consistently well and looks to be coming into this one in career-best form. Last time, which was over the Saratoga surface, he rallied resolutely to get the job done over a very talented 3-year-old. Off that battle, Money Moves will run in the Kentucky Derby, and Prioritize will run here. Both are longshots with a chance.

Math Wizard

The last horse listed is the one with the biggest career victory. That came last fall when Math Wizard upset the Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby at odds of 31-1. He has not won in five subsequent starts, and in fact, competed only eight days ago while finishing fifth in the Charles Town Classic. Coming back on short rest does not bother me, but without any early speed, I have a feeling he will have a very tough time making up serious ground in a race that figures to have a moderate early pace.

Bet on Tacitus (8/5)

Get an extra $100 when you sign up with TwinSpires!

Bet Now

Get an extra $100 when you sign up with TwinSpires!

More Horse Racing Predictions & Odds

Awesome Again Stakes (Santa Anita) Predictions, Odds & Picks
Awesome Again Stakes (Santa Anita) Predictions, Odds & Picks
We break down the Awesome Again Stakes at Santa Anita. Check out betting odds, predictions, and picks for the race.
News iconSeptember 26
Author iconBrian Zipse
Woodbine Mile Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
Woodbine Mile Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
We break down the Woodbine Mile at Woodbine Racetrack. Check out betting odds, predictions, and picks for the race.
News iconSeptember 19
Author iconBrian Zipse
Belmont Oaks Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
Belmont Oaks Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
We break down the Belmont Oaks at Belmont Park. Check out betting odds, predictions, and picks for the race.
News iconSeptember 19
Author iconBrian Zipse

Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: brian.zipse@wsn.com