Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

Arsenal vs Liverpool

  • The curtain-raiser for the 2020/21 campaign takes place at Wembley this weekend 
  • Liverpool will be keen to get off to a good start ahead of their Premier League title defense
  • Arsenal have made strides under Mikel Arteta and will look to pull off another upset

Arsenal vs Liverpool Odds

To Win and Both Teams to ScoreOdds
Liverpool+210
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Tie+390
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Arsenal+650
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Arsenal vs Liverpool Predictions and Picks

Back Liverpool to win and both teams to score. The non-competitive nature of the game, coupled with the fact it comes after a minimal amount of rest for both sets of players, means this is unlikely to be as cagey as, say, an FA Cup final between the same two teams.

Neither manager will be devastated by defeat, and Mikel Arteta and Jurgen Klopp will both prioritize performance over the result. Last season’s Premier League table showed just how far Liverpool are ahead of Arsenal, though, so it makes sense to tip them to emerge victorious in a match featuring goals at both ends.

Pick:

Liverpool to win and both teams to score +210

How to Watch Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal vs Liverpool Information
WhatArsenal vs Liverpool
WhereWembley, London, England
WhenSaturday, 29 August, 11.30 AM ET
How to WatchNBC Sports

Community Shield Comes Early This Year but Liverpool’s Quality Should Tell

Last season’s Community Shield between Liverpool and Manchester City took place on August 4, 12 weeks after the end of the Premier League season and nine weeks on from the Champions League final. The respective figures this time around are five weeks and six days. And although no Premier League team participated in this year’s Champions League final (Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur duked it out in Madrid in 2019), the quick turnaround could have an effect on Saturday’s clash at Wembley.

When there is less preparation time than normal, the weaker team is usually advantaged. It is easier to organize a defense than an offense, and that usually benefits the side that seeks to soak up pressure and hit on the counter-attack. It would be over-simplistic to say that Arsenal will win this game as a result, but it is entirely possible that Liverpool’s attack will not be firing on all cylinders. Klopp will also select this starting XI very carefully, paying close attention to the physical condition of his players and, no doubt, leaving one or two regulars out.

He may also see this as an opportunity to take a look at some of the fringe members of his squad, although do not expect Klopp to treat this game as a glorified friendly – with silverware on the line, he will be determined to win. Even if the likes of Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah begin the game on the substitutes’ bench, they will probably be introduced in the second half and could help turn the match in Liverpool’s favor. Arsenal has improved under Arteta but the Reds remain much the better team, and that simple fact should bring them victory on Saturday.

Arsenal Will Continue With a Game Plan That Served Them Well Last Term

Arsenal ended 2019/20 in the best way possible by winning the FA Cup, but they were only able to secure an eighth-place finish in the Premier League. And while late-season triumphs over Liverpool, Manchester City, and Chelsea stick in the memory, it is notable that Arteta’s side lost four of their last 10 top-flight encounters and finished just two points above Burnley in 10th. There is no doubt Arsenal have improved substantially under Arteta, but the Spaniard’s project remains a work in progress.

Those memorable successes against Liverpool (in the league) and Manchester City and Chelsea (in the FA Cup) all came when Arsenal were underdogs. Arteta is a former assistant to Pep Guardiola and clearly wants his team, in the long run, to play possession-based football, but he has shown admirable flexibility in recent months. Arsenal has not completely abandoned their principles, but in all three aforementioned games, they adapted them to give the team the best chance of winning. Speed in transition and pressure high up the pitch was particularly key in the defeats of City and Liverpool, even if the latter committed several self-inflicted mistakes in their loss at the Emirates Stadium.

The chief criticism of Unai Emery, Arteta’s successor, was his lack of a plan A. The former Sevilla boss chopped and changed systems and approaches too often, and Arsenal consequently lacked an identity. Now approaching his first full season at the helm, Arteta will be keen to avoid making the same mistake, so we could see Arsenal try and compete toe-to-toe with Liverpool here. That may well be the right thing to do in the long-term, but it could work against Arteta and his players as far as the outcome on Saturday is concerned.

Liverpool Will See This as the Start of Their Premier League Title Defense

Liverpool lost last season’s Community Shield on penalties, but it did their Premier League prospects little harm. The Reds went on to win 26 of their first 27 fixtures last term, an extraordinary run of results that suggests their narrow loss to Manchester City at Wembley did them little harm.

It would be an exaggeration to say that Saturday’s outcome will set the tone for the beginning of the Premier League season, but Klopp will certainly want to see his side playing with as much hunger and intensity as is possible after a few weeks of rest. Winning is a habit and Liverpool demonstrated the importance of momentum last season, so victory at Wembley would start them off on the right foot. Arsenal has the attacking quality to find the net, but the Reds should prove too strong overall.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.



Email: greg.lea@wsn.com