France vs Germany Euro 2020 Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

  • France are the outright favorites to win Euro 2020 following World Cup success
  • Germany are at a low ebb and will have to upset the odds to triumph this summer
  • Home advantage could help the Germans but France should start with a win

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France vs Germany Odds

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Match Result Odds
France +170
Tie +210
Germany +180

France vs Germany Pick

Our Pick
Back France to win their opening game at Euro 2020. They are a better team than Germany and Didier Deschamps has plenty of game-changing options. Home advantage will not be enough for Joachim Low’s side in this one.
The best odds for this match Odds provided by PointsBet
France Moneyline (+170) Bet Now

How to Watch France vs Germany

France vs Germany Information
Teams France vs Germany
Location Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Time Tuesday, 15 June 2021, 15.00 PM EDT
How to watch ESPN

France Are the Strongest and Most Balanced Team at Euro 2020

France are the outright favorites to win Euro 2020 – and for good reason. Theirs is the strongest squad in the competition, with an extraordinary amount of depth in virtually every area. The fact that players such as Dayot Upamecano, Nabil Fekir, Anthony Martial, Tanguy Ndombele, and Houssem Aouar – certain starters for many other teams at the tournament – shows how much talent Deschamps has to call upon.

The most eye-catching section of the side is the attack. Kylian Mbappe and Antoine Griezmann are world-class players in their own right, and until very recently they looked set to share the forward line with Olivier Giroud. Then in May came the news that Karim Benzema has been recalled to the national team for the first time in six years.

Deschamps’ decision to bring back the Real Madrid striker, who was cast aside after an alleged blackmailing offense related to a sex tape involving a teammate, is another sign of the manager’s pragmatism. It is not just goals that Benzema brings to the side. His ability to link the play and combine with teammates is arguably even better than Giroud’s, and that is the Chelsea frontman’s specialty.

But while the attack is what draws the most attention, France’s defensive strength is even more significant. That is because the likes of Belgium and England, the other favorites to win Euro 2020, do not look overly convincing at the back.

France certainly do, with Raphael Varane and Presnel Kimpembe protected by the brilliant N’Golo Kante in front of them. And while it is true that neither Benjamin Pavard nor Lucas Hernandez excels on the attacking side of the game, both full-backs are solid defensively.

Editor’s Picks:

Germany Should Never Be Written Off but This Is a Tall Order

No country has won more European Championships than Germany, who have triumphed in this competition on three occasions. No European side has won as many World Cups as die Mannschaft either, with Italy level on four tropgies apiece.

Germany thus tend to go into international tournaments with designs on the trophy, but things are a little different ahead of Euro 2020. Indeed, some Germans are even fearing a group stage exit given they have been drawn against France, Portugal and Hungary.

The reasons for pessimism are clear. Germany crashed and burned at the 2018 World Cup, exiting at the group phase after losses to Mexico and South Korea. They then finished bottom of their Nations League group, before suffering their biggest ever defeat when they lost 6-0 to Spain last year. Under pressure to make a change, the German FA was no doubt relieved when Joachim Low announced that he will step down at the end of Euro 2020, regardless of what happens over the next few weeks.

In a way, though, that decision could actually help Germany. The pressure is off to an extent, and they no longer have their long-serving coach’s future hanging over their heads. Germany have shown in the past that they should never be written off. They reached the final of the 2002 World Cup when many thought an early exit was more likely. They have also reached the semi-finals or final in each of the last three European Championships.

More importantly, they still have some excellent players to call upon. Ilkay Gundogan, Toni Kroos and Leon Goretzka form a terrific midfield trio; indeed, there is so much quality in the engine room that Joshua Kimmich will play at right-back. Thomas Muller, Serge Gnabry and Leroy Sane, the possible front three, all know each other from Bayern Munich. Mats Hummels and Antonio Rudiger are top center-backs.

France Should Get Off to a Winning Start in the Group of Death

Yet while Germany have some fine players in their ranks, they cannot match France’s coherence – and that is why les Bleus look like the better pick here, particularly at attractive odds of +170.

Whereas France have a settled side and system that was perfected at the 2018 World Cup, Low is still searching for the right formula for Germany. His side has used numerous different formations in recent times, and it is unclear exactly how they will line up on Tuesday. Tactical flexibility can be an advantage, of course, but Germany’s constant chopping and changing appears to be the result of indecision rather than adaptability.

Germany, most likely to be configured in either a 3-4-3 or 4-3-3 shape, may feel obliged to take the initiative in front of a partisan crowd in Munich, but that could actually play into France’s hands. The world champions possess fantastic speed in transition, and Mbappe in particular will relish any space in behind Germany’s full-backs or wing-backs.

France also have more goals in them, with doubts over who exactly will play up top for the Germans. For those reasons, back Deschamps’ side to get off to a winning start.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]