Lyon vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks
- Bayern Munich’s stunning demolition of Barcelona cemented their position as tournament favorites
- Lyon will have no fear after pulling off two shocks to reach the semi-finals
- Despite the French side’s heroics, beating Bayern will surely prove a bridge too far
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Lyon vs Bayern Munich Odds
|Match Winner and Both Teams to Score|
|Bayern Munich||+132 |
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Lyon vs Bayern Munich Predictions and Picks
These two clubs have contrasting histories in the Champions League. Whereas Bayern Munich has won five European gongs – only three clubs have a better record – Lyon have never made it through to the final.
Few expected them to make it that far this year, but Lyon has done tremendously well to set up this semi-final against Bayern. Rudi Garcia’s side may well cause the German outfit problems and have the attacking firepower to score at least once, but it is hard to look past a Bayern victory within 90 minutes.
Back Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score – the Bundesliga champions should have too much quality for this plucky Lyon team, but do not bet against Garcia’s charges finding the back of the net.
Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score +132
How to Watch Lyon vs Bayern Munich
|Lyon vs Bayern Munich Information|
|What||Lyon vs Bayern Munich|
|Where||Estadio Jose Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal|
|When||Wednesday, 19 August, 3 PM ET|
|How to Watch||CBS All Access|
Bayern’s Evisceration of Barcelona a Warning to the Rest of Europe
Bayern was widely tipped to get the better of Barcelona in the quarter-finals, but no one anticipated the Catalan club suffering such a mauling. Bayern’s 8-2 victory was extraordinary and leaves Barcelona contemplating a structural overhaul, but the focus for Hansi Flick and his players is much more short-term. They know their sensational success against Lionel Messi and co. will ultimately count for very little if they do not go on to lift the trophy this weekend.
And although Barcelona is a much bigger club than Lyon, Bayern will not have it so easy against the French team on Wednesday. Whereas Barcelona felt compelled to try and go toe-to-toe with Flick’s men, Lyon will have no qualms about sitting deep and looking to make life difficult for their more illustrious opponents. It is, moreover, hard to envisage any other team who made it through to the later rounds of the competition conceding eight goals in a single match, even to a team as strong as Bayern.
Barcelona’s collapse was in large part psychological, and we will not see a repeat from Lyon. Having said that, the attacking prowess Bayern displayed last time out was a sight to behold, and a repeat performance in the final third will surely see Lyon overwhelmed.
Lyon Will Rely on Organized Shape and Counter-Attacking Thrust
One of the most notable aspects of that historic 8-2 quarter-final was how much faster, fitter and stronger Bayern’s players looked. Barcelona, by contrast, appeared frail and lethargic, and they were pressed into submission by their hungrier opponents (although they also shot themselves in the foot with such poor build-up play).
Not only will Lyon be more pragmatic when it comes to playing out from the back, but they also have the physical characteristics to match Bayern. Flick’s side will not be able to overpower Lyon in the manner they did Barcelona, and the French team will also hold a much more solid shape without the ball. Manchester City opted to match Lyon’s 3-5-2 shape in a bid to overcome them in the quarters, but it was the latter who looked much more assured in that particular system.
Indeed, Lyon conceded few clear-cut chances against Pep Guardiola’s side (Raheem Sterling’s astonishing late miss notwithstanding), and they will hope to similarly restrict Bayern here. As against City, they must also ensure they provide some counter-attacking thrust going the other way.
If Lyon can get enough of the ball in advanced areas, a team spearheaded by Memphis Depay and Karl Toko Ekambi, and ably supported by the excellent midfield trio of Houssem Aouar, Bruno Guimaraes and Maxence Caqueret, has the potential to trouble Bayern’s backline.
Bayern’s Balance Gives Them the Edge Over Continental Competitors
The headline takeaway from Bayern’s destruction of Barcelona was their incredible firepower, even if the eight goals owed plenty to their opponents’ ineptitude. Bayern actually looked more vulnerable than usual at the back, particularly in the opening 20 minutes when Barcelona scored one goal and created a handful more decent opportunities.
Overall, though, Bayern is extremely well balanced from front to back, with their defensive record – 12 clean sheets in 24 matches across all competitions in 2020 – up there with the best. Lyon’s speed and dynamism in forwarding areas mean another shut-out may be beyond Bayern here, but the fact Flick’s side can defend as well as attack bodes well as the club seeks its sixth European Cup.
Bayern will be taking it one game at a time, but supporters who have dared to look beyond this semi-final will fancy their team’s chances of beating either RB Leipzig or Paris Saint-Germain in the showpiece. For now, though, Bayern must bring their all-round quality to bear on Lyon, an opponent that deserves huge credit for making it this far but one which will struggle to cope with the Bavarians at full throttle.