RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Paris Saint-Germain squeezed into the semi-finals with victory over Atalanta
  • RB Leipzig upset Atletico Madrid and can do the same to the perennial French champions
  • The value in the market lies with backing the German team to triumph

RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain Odds

Team to Advance to Next Round Odds
Paris Saint-Germain -250
RB Leipzig +180


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RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain Predictions and Picks

Neither RB Leipzig nor PSG has ever reached a Champions League final before, but one of them will make it through to the showpiece to face Lyon or Bayern Munich. Many will back PSG to be the team that progresses, and it is easy to see why given the individual quality at Thomas Tuchel’s disposal.

But RB Leipzig should not be written off, and their defeat of Atletico Madrid last time out showed that they belong in the latter stages of this competition. Given the respective odds on offer, the smart money here is on Leipzig emerging triumphant.

Back, RB Leipzig to spring another surprise by progressing to the final – they are a better-coached team and their tactical flexibility could help them overcome a side with admittedly superior individuals.


RB Leipzig to advance to next round +180

How to Watch RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain

RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain Information
What RB Leipzig vs Paris Saint-Germain
Where Estadio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal
When Tuesday, 16 August, 3 PM ET
How to Watch CBS All Access

PSG Deservedly Through to the Last Four After Series of Embarrassments

Winning the Champions League has been an obsession for PSG ever since the club was taken over by Qatar Sports Investments in 2011. Finishing on top of the pile in Ligue 1 is now considered par for the course, with the club from the capital having scooped the title in seven of the last eight years. Domestic competition is not quite an irrelevance for PSG, but a clean sweep of French trophies and failure in Europe is invariably considered a disappointing campaign by the powers that be at the Parc des Princes.

Only one team can win the Champions League each season, of course, and the likes of Manchester City, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Juventus, and Barcelona also increasingly rely on continental conquests to satiate their hunger for success. But the problem for PSG in the last decade is that they have not even come close to winning the Champions League. Before this season, the French giants had not reached the semi-finals of the competition since 1995.

It looked as if that run would go on for much of their quarter-final against Atalanta, but two late goals earned PSG at 2-1 victory. It was a deserved win too, with Neymar brilliant throughout – despite some erratic finishing – and Kylian Mbappe adding an additional injection of quality upfront after entering the fray as a substitute. Yet even though PSG were the better team, they looked far from invincible against Atalanta.

RB Leipzig Will Relish Role of Underdogs as They Eye Place in the Final

RB Leipzig got the better of Atletico Madrid in their quarter-final, a result that came as a surprise to many. Atletico certainly did not do themselves justice and was punished for playing too reactively when the score was 1-1, but Leipzig was terrific and well worth their victory over the La Liga outfit.

Julian Nagelsmann is still only 33 and he will know that leading Leipzig to the final in his first season at the helm would be a further boost to his standing as one of Europe’s top managers. He will now be bidding to outfox Tuchel, a fellow German who encouraged Nagelsmann to go into coaching when he suffered a serious knee injury as a young player.

Leipzig lost Timo Werner to Chelsea before the resumption of the knockout stage, and the striker’s pace would have come in handy against PSG. Nevertheless, Leipzig still has enough to get one over on the French favorites. Their positional play is top-notch and they are comfortable out of possession, which could be essential against a PSG team that is used to controlling the ball. Their pressing, meanwhile, should help cut off the service to Neymar and Mbappe, especially as Tuchel’s current midfield lacks creativity.

Leipzig’s Collective-Focused Approach Could Overcome PSG’s Superstars

Neymar and Mbappe are the types of talents that can turn a match in an instant. Even the perfect tactical plan can be undone by individual geniuses, and there is no doubt that PSG’s star men fit that description when they are fit and firing. Mauro Icardi is the sort of deadly finisher who can be quiet for 89 minutes but tie-decidedly lethal at the optimum moment, although it must be said that he was hugely ineffectual in the victory over Atalanta.

With that in mind, it is feasible that Leipzig could turn in an admirable performance and still come unstuck. But given that the bookmakers’ odds suggest this should be a straightforward task for PSG, there is plenty of value in backing Leipzig to progress to the final, even if it requires extra time and penalties for them to do so.

Nagelsmann’s side possesses excellent balance and is supremely well organized from front to back. Containing Neymar and Mbappe will not be easy, but their positional rotations, passing patterns, and attacking dynamism should cause PSG problems. Do not write off the Germans just yet.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]