Sevilla vs Inter Milan Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

Sevilla vs Inter Milan 2020

  • Sevilla have made it through to yet another Europa League final and have serious pedigree in the competition
  • Inter are the stronger team on paper and demolished Shakhtar Donetsk last time out
  • Goals could be on the cards as both teams fight for a trophy that would define their seasons

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Sevilla vs Inter Milan Odds

Total Goals Odds
Over 2.5 +105
Under 2.5 -139


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Sevilla vs Inter Predictions and Picks

It may seem like fence-sitting to opt for the total goals market in a European final, but that is where the best value lies. Inter demonstrated their attacking prowess in the semi-finals, and while a relatively cagey start is to be expected given the high stakes, the broader evidence suggests this will be an entertaining game.

Sevilla has a considerable pedigree in this tournament, while Inter is in excellent shape and is deservedly favorites. It is nevertheless a tricky result to call, which makes more than 2.5 goals at odds better than 100 a very appealing option.

Sevilla’s results in the tournament to date point to a safety-first approach, but they may be forced to chase the game if Inter – the stronger side – take the lead.


Over 2.5 goals +105

How to Watch Sevilla vs Inter Milan

Sevilla vs Inter Milan Information
What Sevilla vs Inter
Where RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne, Germany
When Friday, 21 August, 3 PM ET
How to Watch CBS All Access

Sevilla the Underdogs but Will Take Confidence From Europa League Record

Sevilla’s record in the Europa League is remarkable. They are the most successful side in the history of a competition that stretches back as far as the early 1970s, although all five of their triumphs have come since 2006. Having won three editions in a row in 2014, 2015, and 2016, Sevilla is back in the final once more following Sunday’s 2-1 victory over Manchester United, previously the bookmakers’ favorite to lift the trophy this year.

The reason Sevilla’s sustained success is unusual concerns the nature of the Europa League. As the continent’s secondary competition, its winners often have grander ambitions for the following campaign, namely making a run deep into the Champions League – indeed, Friday’s winners will qualify for the group stage of the more prestigious tournament in 2020/21. Yet despite their desire to graduate beyond the Europa League, Sevilla are once again present in the latter stages of the competition.

They have made it to the showpiece in impressive fashion. Five wins from six saw them advance from Group A with 15 points, since when they have dispatched of Cluj, Roma, Wolverhampton Wanderers, and Manchester United. In one-legged ties against those last three opponents, Julen Lopetegui’s side conceded only one goal. This is a fiercely competitive team that will not roll over easily, even against Inter’s superior individuals.

Conte Once Again Demonstrates Credentials as One of Europe’s Best Bosses

Inter’s route to the final has been rather different; in fact, at the start of the season, they would have hoped not to be here. That is because Antonio Conte’s men began 2019/20 in the Champions League, only to drop into the Europa League after finishing third in a fiendish group featuring Barcelona and Borussia Dortmund. Inter were unfortunate not to make the knockout phase, with their results not always reflecting the strength of their performances.

Throughout his managerial career, Conte has excelled in domestic competition more than in its European equivalent. Yet any theories that he is simply not cut out for knockout soccer have been comprehensively dismantled by Inter’s performances in Europe since the turn of the year. The Nerazzurri eased to victory over Ludogorets Razgrad and Getafe to reach the last eight, where they overcame a strong Bayer Leverkusen side 2-1.

Then, on Monday night, Inter thrashed Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0, showcasing the combination of attacking menace and defensive security that suggests they would not have looked out of place in the quarter-finals of the Champions League. That result, as opposed to a narrow, single-goal victory, could influence Inter’s approach here: the comprehensive nature of their triumph over Shakhtar will likely have convinced Conte of the logic of a bold, proactive, and attacking game plan on Friday.

Inter Should Have Too Much Quality for Sevilla but the Value Lies Elsewhere

Lopetegui has done an excellent job at Sevilla this term and has already gone a long way to rebuilding a reputation that was battered by his controversial departure from the Spain national team and subsequent failure at Real Madrid. This Sevilla side is well coached and well organized, and although they did rely heavily on goalkeeper Yassine Bounou to help them past Manchester United, their displays in the knockout stage have generally been good.

Yet Sevilla faces a tough task in trying to contain an Inter frontline spearheaded by the brilliant duo of Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez, both of whom notched twice in the destruction of Shakhtar. With the intense Conte set to demand a front-foot approach in a bid to overwhelm Sevilla, it is hard to see Inter’s forward players being kept quiet for 90 minutes.

Lopetegui has attacking talents of his own to call upon, with Suso a particular threat operating from the right alongside the left-sided Lucas Ocampos and central striker Youssef En-Nesyri. Some European finals can be dull, low-scoring affairs, but this one promises to be a highly engaging encounter featuring its fair share of goals.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.

Email: [email protected]