Turkey vs Italy Euro 2020 Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Turkey vs Italy Euro 2020

  • Italy are back on the international stage after missing out on the 2018 World Cup
  • Turkey have been tipped by some as potential underdogs at Euro 2020
  • Italy are favorites but this might not be a straightforward opening game for the Azzurri

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Turkey vs Italy Odds

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Total Goals Odds
Over 2.5 +120
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Under 2.5 -163
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Turkey vs Italy Pick

Our Pick
Back over 2.5 goals in Euro 2020’s opening game. Turkey could cause Italy problems on the counter-attack, but their defensive record of late makes for concerning reading. Even though there are doubts about Italy’s options at center-forward, the Azzurri should find the net here.
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Over 2.5 Goals (+120) Bet Now

How to Watch Turkey vs Italy

Turkey vs Italy Information
Teams Turkey vs Italy
Location Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Time Friday, 11 June 2021, 15.00 PM EDT
How to watch ESPN

Italy Are Back and Keen to Make Up For Lost Time

For the first time since 1958, Italy failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup. A play-off defeat by Sweden meant the four-time world champions did not take part in Russia and were forced to watch the competition unfold back home. The Italian sports media was not at all impressed. Il Messaggero called it a “national shame”. The Corriere Della Sera lamented a “historic blunder”. This wrote La Gazzetta Dello Sport, which was the “apocalypse”.

Fast forward three years and Italy are in much better shape. At the time, the nation’s failure to reach the World Cup was largely pinned on the manager Gian Piero Ventura, but some argued that Italian soccer was in decline, pointing to the fact that seven of the players that faced Sweden in the play-off were aged 30 or over. This, it was claimed, was a sign that Italy had a dearth of young talent coming through the ranks.

In fact, the lack of fresh blood in the Italy team three years ago was primarily down to Ventura’s preference for veterans. His successor, Roberto Mancini, has succeeded in creating a younger, more modern, and more vibrant Italy team. Belgium are the only other side that qualified for Euro 2020 with a 100 percent winning record. Italy arrives at the tournament not among the first group of favorites but with enough quality to suggest they could go all the way if France, Belgium, and England do not.

Their main strength is in midfield, where a trio of Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, and Marco Verratti is one of the most technically gifted in the competition. Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Chiesa provide a genuine threat from the flanks – something Italy have not always been able to call upon – and Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci are still going strong in defense. Perhaps the only doubt is upfront, but if Ciro Immobile can recreate his club form on the international stage, Italy could go far.

Turkey Tipped as Dark Horses but Can Their Defense Hold Up?

Group A is perhaps the most open and unpredictable of the six different sections at Euro 2020. Italy are favorites to finish top, but Wales, Switzerland and Turkey all have genuine ambitions of securing a place in the knockout phase. At least one of them will fail, and there is no guarantee that the third-place finisher will be one of the four that will advance to the round of 16 alongside the group winners and runners-up.

Turkey are certainly not at Euro 2020 just to make up the numbers. They have, however, developed something of a boom-or-boost reputation over the last 20 years. Semi-finalists at the 2002 World Cup and Euro 2008, they have failed to qualify for three of the last four tournaments and crashed out in the group phase of the other – Euro 2016.

Turkey have some exciting players in their ranks. Burak Yilmaz, the experienced striker, has just fired Lille to the Ligue 1 title. Hakan Calhanouglu is a set-piece expert, Cengiz Under possesses pace to burn and Yusuf Yazici is a creative talent. There is a lot to like about this Turkey team, and they could be one of the most entertaining sides to watch at Euro 2020.

The question mark around them is at the back. Caglar Soyuncu and Merih Demiral looks like a solid center-back partnership on paper, but Turkey have looked shaky in recent months (albeit not always with that duo playing together). Italy’s attackers will certainly be buoyed by the fact Turkey have shipped three goals each to Latvia and Croatia, and two each to Serbia, Hungary, and the Netherlands in the last year.


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As Tournament Openers Go, This Could Be an Exciting Game

Curtain-raising matches at international tournaments have an unfair reputation for being cagey. Indeed, the last three examples – Brazil 3-1 Croatia at the 2014 World Cup, France 2-1 Romania at Euro 2016, and Russia 5-0 Saudi Arabia at the 2018 World Cup – do not fit that description.

There is reason for optimism that Turkey vs Italy will follow suit. The expansion of the European Championship to 24 teams has led to a dilution in quality, but Turkey are far from a minnow and will not simply pack men behind the ball and defend against Italy. They will push bodies forward on the counter-attack when the opportunity presents itself, and they could have some joy by darting down the flanks in behind Italy’s advancing full-backs.

The nominal home team will dominate the ball in Rome on Friday – partly as a means to attack but also as a way to take the sting out of Turkey’s forays forward. It remains to be seen whether Italy have enough goalscoring potential to win Euro 2020, but they should definitely find the net here. Back over 2.5 goals in total.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]