Granada vs Real Madrid - Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Real Madrid has its eye on the prize and has shown no signs that it is about to blink
  • Granada still has a chance of Europa League qualification after upturn in form
  • Back Madrid to do what it has done for weeks by winning without conceding
What Granada vs Real Madrid
Where Nuevo Estadio de Los Carmenes, Granada, Spain
When Monday, 13 July 2020, 4 PM EST
How to watch beIN SPORTS

Real Madrid is almost there. A routine 2-0 victory over Alaves on Friday night means it only requires five points from its final three games to win the La Liga title. Even that tally might not be necessary if Barcelona slips up in any of its final three matches, and Madrid also has the head-to-head advantage as an insurance policy. It would take a historic turn of events for Barcelona to beat its grand rival to the prize from here.

Stranger things have happened in soccer, of course, but the form book does not suggest that Madrid is about to throw away its position of strength (nor that Barcelona will necessarily take maximum points from its remaining contests). It has been relentless in its pursuit of glory since the restart, with a 100 per cent record across eight games.

Equally impressive has been its defensive resolve, which has seen Madrid ship just three goals in that period. This is not a common occurrence in La Liga. The last time los Blancos ended a campaign with the best defensive record was 2007/08, and it has ranked outside the top two every season since 2011/12. Madrid will surely break that stretch this term, having conceded five fewer goals than next-best Atletico Madrid after 35 rounds of matches.

Granada, for its part, still has something to play for, having entered the current gameweek just one point adrift of seventh spot. That position would bring with it a place in next season’s Europa League, and its final two encounters are against teams below it in the table. A meeting with Madrid is not what anyone wants right now, however, and a European place may consequently prove out of reach for Diego Martinez’s men.

Granada vs Real Madrid Odds

To win to nil Odds
Granada +1020
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Real Madrid +130
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Odds taken from Draft Kings.

It has become the go-to bet for Real Madrid matches, but there is no need to change a winning formula. Zinedine Zidane’s side has triumphed in each of its last five games without conceding, and it is unlikely to loosen up now that the title is within touching distance.

Granada is a capable team and it displayed plenty of attacking firepower in a 3-2 victory over Real Sociedad last time out. Breaching Madrid’s backline is an altogether tougher task, though, so backing a win and clean sheet for the visitor is the way to go here.

Madrid Has Been Unerring Since the Resumption and Zidane Deserves Credit

Given La Liga’s three-month hiatus between the middle of March and the middle of June, it is easy to forget that Madrid was in a vastly different position prior to the pause. A draw with Celta Vigo and defeats by Levante and Real Betis had dealt a blow to its title hopes that was only partially softened by a 2-0 victory over Barcelona. By the time La Liga came back last month, it was the Catalan club that was the favorite to finish on top of the pile.

Zidane deserves great credit for wresting that tag away from Madrid’s arch-rival, which has not exactly covered itself in glory in the same timeframe. But regardless of Barcelona’s shortcomings, Madrid has been flawless in its eight post-lockdown games, collecting 24 points from a possible 24 to put it on the brink of what would be only a third La Liga crown in the last 12 years.

Granada Has Endured an Inconsistent Campaign but It Could Yet End in Triumph

Since the turn of the year, Granada has been the most unpredictable team in La Liga. Just when it has looked to be getting a string of positive results together, it has slipped up. And just as it has seemed to be losing form, it has pulled a win out of the bag.

Granada has only lost back-to-back games once in 2020, and that was back in January. It has not managed to record successive victories since October, when it edged out Osasuna and Real Betis in consecutive clashes. Yet Martinez’s side has now gone three games unbeaten, offering hope that it may yet finish as one of the division’s top seven.

Madrid Will Not Let Its Position of Strength Slip Over the Next Week

Madrid will have no time for Granada’s ambitions, though. Expect another ruthlessly efficient triumph for Zidane’s team, which has an argument to be the strongest defensive unit in European soccer right now.

Madrid has played 457 minutes of La Liga action without conceding, and that tally looks set to stand at 547 by the time of the final whistle on Monday. With the La Liga title in sight, it is difficult to see los Blancos slipping up, regardless of Granada’s own desire to win.

Our Pick

Back Real Madrid to win to nil – it is simply what it has done of late, and Granada will struggle to halt the run.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]