Villarreal vs Valencia - Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

Villarreal vs Valencia 2020

  • Both teams are locked in a battle to qualify for next season’s Europa League
  • Villarreal still have an outside chance of the top four but cannot afford many more slip-ups
  • Villarreal’s recent form and Valencia’s away record point to a home win in this one
Claim Your $50 DFS Bonus!

Use bonus code WSN50 and get a $50 sign-up bonus!

Play Now

Use bonus code WSN50 and get a $50 sign-up bonus!

WhatVillarreal vs Valencia
WhereEl Madrigal, Villarreal, Spain
WhenSunday, 28 June 2020, 11 AM EST
How to watchbeIN SPORTS

The games continue to come thick and fast in La Liga, with each of the division’s 20 teams being forced to play 11 matches in the space of around five weeks. Such a hectic fixture list brings challenges of its own, and some sides have adapted to the turbo-charged schedule better than others.

Villarreal is among the clubs that has handled things well. It has taken 10 points from the 12 available since the restart earlier this month, beating Celta Vigo, Real Mallorca and Granada before a creditable 2-2 draw with Sevilla last time out. That four-goal thriller was the first time the Yellow Submarine has conceded since March, having previously kept three clean sheets on the bounce.

Its recent run has moved Villarreal to within five points of fourth place. Sevilla remains the favorite to join Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in next season’s edition of the Champions League, but Villarreal’s form has renewed hope among the club’s supporters that it could return to Europe’s top table in 2020/21 after a nine-year absence.

Valencia would require a near-perfect end to the campaign to overhaul the seven-point gap currently separating it from the top four. A more realistic objective is a Europa League place; as things stand Valencia is one point adrift of Real Sociedad, which occupies the final qualification spot. If it is to get over the line, Los Che must improve its disappointing away record – starting with Sunday’s trip to El Madrigal.

Villarreal vs Valencia Odds

Match resultOdds
Villarreal+115
(BET NOW)
Tie+250
(BET NOW)
Valencia+230
(BET NOW)

Odds taken from BetMGM.

If you want to find out more about BetMGM like bonuses, how to open an account, pros/cons, and more, check out our BetMGM in-depth review.

Valencia has struggled on its travels throughout the campaign. It has won only three of its 15 matches away from Mestalla, with three draws and nine defeats putting it 15th in the away table. Valencia may have the third-strongest home record in the division but its form on its own patch might not be enough to secure a top-seven finish.

It is true that the absence of supporters has reduced home advantage in many cases, but Valencia has lost 3-0 at Real Madrid and 1-0 at Eibar since the resumption. Its problems on the road could easily continue here – back an in-form Villarreal team to emerge victorious.

Villarreal Has Hit the Ground Running but Tough Fixtures Await

The break came at a good time for Villarreal, which had started to run out of steam in March. An excellent run around the turn of the year had lifted Javier Calleja’s side from 13th place to sixth, but its final three games before the season was put on hold all ended in defeat.

Yet Villarreal has now put that run behind it and climbed back into the top six. Its five goals since the campaign got back under way have been scored by five different players, something that shows the variety of attacking weapons at Calleja’s disposal. Gerard Moreno is enjoying an excellent season up top, while Santi Cazorla’s remarkable rejuvenation – his career looked to be over at Arsenal – has been a sight to behold as the veteran midfielder continues to roll back the years.

Villarreal should not get too carried away, though, particularly as its remaining fixtures look daunting. As well as fellow European contenders Getafe and Real Sociedad, the Yellow Submarine must face Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Valencia Is La Liga’s Answer to Jekyll and Hyde – and It Could Prove Costly

As we have already established, Valencia’s away record does not exactly inspire confidence. Even Espanyol, the team propping up the La Liga table, has taken more points on the road than the six-time Spanish champion, and there has been little in the way of improvement since Albert Celades replaced Marcelino in the dugout in September.

Valencia is still awaiting its first away win of 2020, having failed to triumph away from Mestalla since a 4-2 victory over Leganes in December. It has kept just one clean sheet on its travels all season, making it difficult to envisage Valencia shutting out Villarreal on Sunday.

An empty Madrigal is patently not as daunting as a full one would be, yet Valencia was dismal in its 1-0 defeat by Eibar in midweek, recording an xG of just 0.36 against a team battling against relegation.

Villarreal Could Benefit From Fresher Legs After Six Days’ Rest

Another factor to take into account here is the difference in preparation time. Villarreal last played six days ago, at home to Sevilla. Valencia, meanwhile, was in action as recently as Thursday, when it went down to Eibar.

This is significant in two ways. First, Villarreal’s players should be physically sharper and fresher, which means we can expect to see them take the initiative.

Secondly, the club’s coaching staff have had much more time to work on a strategy for this match than their counterparts at Valencia, who will have had little time to work with the players on a specific game plan. Both factors play into Villarreal’s hands.

Our Pick

Back Villarreal to win here – Valencia is a poor traveler and Calleja’s charges have found form at just the right time.

Claim Your $50 DFS Bonus!

Use bonus code WSN50 and get a $50 sign-up bonus!

Play Now

Use bonus code WSN50 and get a $50 sign-up bonus!

More International Soccer Predictions

Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks
Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks
The traditional season curtain-raiser takes place this weekend, with FA Cup holders Arsenal looking to upset Premier League champions Liverpool at Wembley …
News iconAugust 28
Author iconGreg Lea
Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Odds & Picks
Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Odds & Picks
The biggest match in European club soccer is upon us with Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain set to play out what should be an entertaining affair in Lisbon …
News iconAugust 23
Author iconGreg Lea
Sevilla vs Inter Milan Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks
Sevilla vs Inter Milan Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks
More than 12 months after the tournament got under way, the 2019/20 Europa League finally reaches its conclusion as Sevilla do battle with Inter in Germany.
News iconAugust 21
Author iconGreg Lea

More La Liga Predictions & Odds

Philippe Coutinho Handed a Barcelona Lifeline as He Looks to Get His Career Back on Track
Philippe Coutinho Handed a Barcelona Lifeline as He Looks to Get His Career Back on Track
Philippe Coutinho looks set to stay at Barcelona for another season and he will see the appointment of Ronald Koeman as a chance for a fresh start at the club.
News iconSeptember 21
Author iconGreg Lea
Diego Simeone Enters 10th Atletico Madrid Season With Perennial Underdogs Tag in Doubt
Diego Simeone Enters 10th Atletico Madrid Season With Perennial Underdogs Tag in Doubt
The Argentinian has been at the helm of Spain’s third-biggest club for the best part of a decade – a length of tenure that is very rarely seen in the modern game …
News iconSeptember 15
Author iconGreg Lea
Will Gareth Bale Come to Regret His Later Real Madrid Years?
Will Gareth Bale Come to Regret His Later Real Madrid Years?
Despite being out of favor with Zinedine Zidane, Gareth Bale looks set to remain at the Santiago Bernabeu for another season on the sidelines …
News iconSeptember 7
Author iconGreg Lea