Club America vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Defensive issues have hindered any hopes of progress for Toluca in the 2020 Apertura season
  • America can count on striker Henry Martin, who has now scored in three consecutive games
  • Toluca have yet to improve since the summer exit of a key player

Club America vs Toluca Odds

Team Match Winner
Club America -121
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Tie +245
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Toluca +300
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Club America vs Toluca Predictions and Picks

Despite the occasional complications that have emerged for America this season, the team has recently shown some improvements in their latest three-game winning streak. Against a side like Toluca that have had some of the most problematic defensive moments over the last couple of months, this should be a simple one for the home team.

Pick:

America for the win -121

How to Watch Club America vs Toluca

Club America vs Toluca Information
What Club America vs Toluca
Where Estadio Azteca (Mexico City, Mexico)
When Saturday, September 12th at 8:00 PM PT
How to Watch Univision, TUDN

Heading into the Estadio Azteca this weekend are two clubs with entirely different forms over the last few weeks.

For America, there are signs of real growth and promise after clinching three consecutive victories since late August. Once a team that appeared to be on the decline in the early stages of the season, Las Aguilas have picked themselves up in their latest performances that have clinched nine points and eight goals in their last three games.

And Toluca? It’s a complete 180 when you compare them to America. Thanks to a defense that has been lackluster and feeble, Toluca is currently in a three-game losing streak in the 2020 Apertura tournament. With a colossal total of nine goals allowed during those three matches, Los Diablos Rojos are lucky to somehow still be in the playoff conversation.

Which is something that might not last long if they once again lose this weekend.

Toluca Have Too Many Liabilities In Their Backline

It’s almost astonishing to analyze Toluca’s defensive numbers. With one of the worst backlines in the league, the team has allowed a total of 19 goals over just nine matches, leaving an average of 2.1 goals scored by the opposition per game.

During trips away from home, that average becomes even worse. Toluca has allowed an eye-catching total of 14 goals in just five of their matches outside of their Estadio Nemesio Diez — leading to an average of 2.8 goals allowed in their away performances.

Those are some scary stats for Toluca fans, and keeping in mind that America are next, it’s highly probable that those averages and numbers could increase even higher.

Henry Martin Has Easily Taken Charge Of America’s Attack

Credit is due for America’s Martin. After kicking the season off with occasional appearances in the XI, the 27-year-old Mexican striker has quickly become a go-to starter thanks to his efficiency in front of the net.

With three goals in his last three games, Martin is now on a red-hot run of form for an America attack that looks revitalized. As a well-rounded player that brings plenty of physicality in the final third, America should feel more than confident with Martin taking the reins up top.

Even more important for America is the fact that Toluca has been abysmal outside of their home ground.

Toluca Are Still Recovering From The Absence Of A Key Player

What doesn’t help Toluca’s hopeless defense is the absence of veteran goalkeeper and former captain Alfredo Talavera, who was recently sent to Pumas before the season started. It was a gamble that has so far yet to pay off. Without Talavera, Toluca is now missing an irreplaceable member of their roster who is now helping carry Pumas to the top of the league table.

And in another away game without Talavera — and with the aforementioned problems in defense — it’s likely that Toluca will be left hopeless as America launch attack after attack going forward.

Keep in mind, Toluca has allowed eight goals in just their last two away games…

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Cesar Hernandez

Expert on Soccer

Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]