Juarez vs Club America Prediction, Odds & Picks
- Striker Dario Lezcano is in a scintillating form for Juarez in recent matches
- America’s defensive numbers lag behind the ones from Juarez
- Away from home, America tends to be a bit more mercurial with their results
Juarez vs Club America Odds
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Juarez vs Club America Predictions and Picks
Despite the fact that America is superior in nearly every aspect of their roster and staff, Juarez has much more to fight for on Friday. Sitting at the last playoff-worthy position in 12th, Juarez’s place in the postseason is tenuous at best.
They’ll need some breathing room from the two teams that are within two points of their tally, and up against an opponent like America that can afford to go on cruise control, there’s strong reason to believe that Juarez can earn an upset here.
Take a chance on a Juarez side that desperately needs points.
Juarez for the win (+220)
How to Watch Juarez vs Club America
|Juarez vs Club America Information|
|What||Juarez vs Club America|
|Where||Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez|
|When||Friday, November 6th at 10:30 PM ET|
|How to Watch||TUDN|
At the risk of overlooking what’s on the field, and instead, simply looking at the league table, one immediately thinks of Liga MX’s latest playoff structure when analyzing Juarez vs America.
As opposed to previous seasons in which the top eight teams would qualify for the playoffs, this season, 12 teams are now invited to the party. Here’s how it works. While spots #1-#4 will immediately qualify for the quarterfinals, #5-#12 will take part in single-elimination games that will leave four clubs for the next round.
Looking ahead to this final weekend of the regular season, America will be charging in as the #2 seed while Juarez will be going in at #12. With a place guaranteed amongst the top four, America can essentially take the weekend off and even field a number of backups, if desired. Ahead of a challenging sprint through the playoffs, one wouldn’t blame manager Miguel “Piojo” Herrera if he were to take his foot off the gas this Friday.
Juarez can’t afford such luxuries. A loss, or perhaps even a draw, could be enough to knock them out of the playoff race in the final week of the regular season. With their backs against the wall, Juarez should be more than eager and motivated to clinch three points.
The Dario Lezcano Factor For Juarez
It’s easy to forget how incredible Lezcano has been for Juarez. Through a potent mixture of power and technical know-how, the aggressive Paraguayan striker has helped carry his middling squad with his nine goals in 14 games.
Most impressively, he’s currently on a three-game scoring streak that recently pushed Juarez to a commendable 1-1 draw with Tigres and a 1-0 win over Queretaro. Coupled with a backline that has so far exceeded expectations, Juarez are a scrappy side that have stolen the occasional win or draw thanks to Lezcano’s efforts up top.
And by the way, do you know what happened the last time the 30-year-old faced America? That match in early 2020 eventually finished with not only a goal from Lezcano, but also a 3-1 win for Juarez.
America’s Weakness: Their Backline
This is a common theme that has yet to die down for America.
If we’re looking at goals allowed so far this season, the Mexico City giants currently have the seventh-worst tally with 21 allowed (Juarez, by the way, have only allowed 18).
That’s not good, especially for a team that is expected to make a deep run once the playoffs kick-off. Their attack has compensated for these issues in the past, but with a place in the top four already guaranteed, it’s fair to wonder how much motivation there will be for members of the frontline who perhaps won’t be compelled to overexert themselves – that is, assuming Herrera decides to play his starters.
Often caught in high-scoring shootouts – and also sometimes caught in a couple of defeats to minnows – the question isn’t if America will allow a goal, it’s when.
America Have Also Shown A Number Of Problems In Away Games
For America’s away games, there is a strange footballing case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde.
Capable of losing 4-1 to vastly inferior opponents and also earning eye-catching 3-2 wins, Las Aguilas have regularly been unpredictable when it comes to their matches outside of the Estadio Azteca. While they boast the second-best home record in the league, away from the comfortable confines of their grounds, America ranks eighth with three wins in seven games.
Sure, one could make the argument that their capricious nature could also guide them to another high-scoring victory, but after considering some of the aforementioned variables, America might not escape Juarez with even a point in hand.
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Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast.
Email: [email protected]