Monterrey vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Odds & Picks

Monterrey vs Tigres

  • A look at recent Clasico Regio outcomes highlight a balanced set of outcomes for both teams
  • If we’re looking for any discrepancies between the two clubs that appear to be on the same level, Monterrey’s marginally worse defense is worth noting 
  • Tigres have also had issues in the backline when it comes to closing out games

Monterrey vs Tigres Odds

TeamMatch Winner
Monterrey+130
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Tie+230
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Tigres+210
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Monterrey vs Tigres Predictions and Picks

This will be a close one. Despite the fact that Monterrey have a slight advantage in the odds, there are very little differences between these two sides in recent weeks. Although it is tempting to lean towards one side or the other, it appears as though the most ideal selection is one directly down the middle.

Pick:

The tie +230

How to Watch Monterrey vs Tigres

Monterrey vs Tigres Information
WhatMonterrey vs Tigres
WhereEstadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey, Mexico)
WheSaturday, September 26th at 10:00 PM ET
How to WatchFS1

Depending on who you ask, you might run into some Mexican soccer fans who believe that this is truly the best rivalry in Liga MX.

The Clasico Regio, a dramatic battle between crosstown rivals Monterrey and Tigres, has demanded the attention of the North American soccer scene in the 21st century. Starring two money-spending teams that have been the most prodigious in the last 10 or so years of Liga MX, these highly-anticipated matches at times feel more like an All-Star game than a meeting between two clubs.

That said, both teams haven’t exactly looked brilliant this season.

Monterrey — who are technically the current title-holders after the previous Liga MX tournament was canceled — have just four wins in 11 games so far in the 2020 Apertura. Sitting in a mid-table position, there is much left to be desired for fans who have prayed for consistently good results.

The same could be said of Tigres. Like their rivals, Tigres also have just four wins so far this season. Falling to prey to a number of late goals that have stolen points away from them, manager Ricardo “Tuca” Ferretti and his men appear to be playing as if they don’t have to truly make any real efforts until the playoffs start. Which, to be fair, is somewhat true when you consider that 12 of 18 teams will qualify.

All that said, both clubs would love to revive their mediocre seasons with a thrilling win over their fellow rival. With so much at stake, and so little in between the two in their current form, a level scoreline seems likely — especially when you consider the last few editions of this Clasico.

Recent History Shows A Fairly Even Series

In the last five meetings between the two adversaries, we’ve seen two wins for Monterrey, two wins for Tigres, and one draw. It doesn’t really get more equal than that.

Most notably, this isn’t a rivalry that tends to have one-sided results. Tense and tactically rigid, the last seven versions of the Clasico Regio all had a total of two goals or fewer per game. As dramatic as the scenes tend to play out in the stands with fans (albeit not this weekend due to the pandemic), on the field, Monterrey vs Tigres feels more like a highly-charged chess match in which neither side wants to make a mistake.

The same will be true on Saturday, and with so much to lose in a season where both teams have been average, expect the match to be incredibly tight.

Monterrey, The Slight Favorites, Are More Questionable Defensively Than Tigres

Both teams are 4-5-2 (W-T-L) and both have so far scored 17 times in their 11 games. Although the odds point to Monterrey because they are the hosts, there is one small difference we can bring up when analyzing the two clubs.

It might be grasping at straws here, but Monterrey has allowed two more goals this season than Tigres. In fact, while Tigres have shut-out teams in their last two games, Monterrey have yet to take part in a single match this season in which they have kept the opposition scoreless.

Perhaps due to the fact that they’ve collected four reds since late August, but Monterrey has had real issues with solidifying their backline.

And to be fair, Tigres can use some work as well in defense.

Tigres Are Too Vulnerable In The Final Minutes Of Matches

There’s no way of ignoring the handful of calamitous failures to secure vital wins and draws for Tigres this season. As impressive as they’ve been in their last two games, they are also a side that tends to take it far too easy in the latter stages of matches.

Four of their games since last month have featured a goal from the opposition after the 90th minute. With the mindset of a team that doesn’t have to flex their muscle too much, a strong majority of Tigres’ season has so far been defined by an inability to close out games.

Monterrey, eager to clinch at least a draw, will be keenly aware of this if they’re behind by just one goal in the 2nd half.

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Cesar Hernandez

Expert on Soccer

Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast.



Email: cesar.hernandez@wsn.com