Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 16)
- Astros trio responsible for keeping the dream alive
- Can Snell get Rays to second World Series?
- Framber Valdez looks to continue the hot stretch
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Astros vs Rays Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Total||Money Line|
|Houston Astros||+1.5 -189||O 7.5 -121||+120|
|Tampa Bay Rays||-1.5 +155||U 7.5 EVEN||-134|
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Astros vs Rays Predictions and Picks
The Rays have won tight games all year long, however, the Astros have won two consecutive one-run games. The Astros have the momentum, but the Rays only had one losing streak of three games or more all season. It’s hard to see that happening now, but there’s something going on with this Astros team right now. We like the Astros money line, the Astros with the spread and the over.
Betting record through 10/15/20 (45-44-1)
Astros are 10-3 in their last 13 playoff games as an underdog
Astros are 7-16 in their last 23 games as an underdog
Rays are 7-2 in their last nine playoff games as a favorite
Rays are 6-0 in their last six Friday games
Rays are 4-2 in their last six playoff games
Rays are 26-9 in their last 35 games on grass
Under is 4-0 in Astros last four playoff games
Under is 4-0 in Astros last four vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 overall
Under is 16-5-2 in last 23 meetings between Rays and Astros
Under is 6-0 in Rays last six overall
Under is 6-0 in Rays last six American League Championship games
How to Watch Astros vs Rays
|Astros vs Rays Information|
|What||Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays|
|Where||Petco Park, San Diego, CA|
|When||Thursday, October 16, 2020, 6:07 PM EST|
|How to Watch||TBS|
Correa Blast Keeps Season Alive
The Astros seemed dead in the water. Until they salvaged game four. And then walked off in game five. Tied 3-3 in the ninth, Carlos Correa sent a 1-1 fastball more than 400 feet to right-center to keep the Astros’ season alive.
Houston has had timely hits from its entire team the past two days, but mostly from its big three: Correa, George Springer and Jose Altuve.
Correa’s walk-off was his sixth home run of the playoffs, tying the most for any shortstop in a single postseason in major league history. George Springer led off the game with a home run on the first pitch – his 19th in postseason history which moved him into a tie for fourth place all-time. Altuve – who by all accounts has had a brutal series with three defensive errors – came up clutch in game three, with a solo home run in the first and an RBI doubles with two outs in the third. He reached base three more times in game five.
The momentum has now completely shifted into Houston’s favor because its stars are leading the way.
Snell the Savior?
Blake Snell signed a big contract by Tampa Bay Rays standards. The lefty inked a 5-year, $50 million deal in March of 2019, less than six months after winning the AL Cy Young Award.
Now would be a great time for that former Cy Young winner to step up, if you’re the Rays. Snell has been good, but on Friday, they need him to be great. He’s been consistent all year. You know what you’re going to get. Five to six innings and four earned runs or fewer. He’s gone between 5.0-5.2 innings in 11 consecutive starts including each of his three postseason starts.
He started game one against the Astros, going five innings, giving up one earned run on six hits and two walks in a 2-1 win. The Rays have one of the best bullpens in the MLB, so the lack of depth into a game in sometimes by design, but the Rays need more from him on Friday. It’s time to earn that money.
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Framber Valdez’s Coming Out Party
Framber Valdez has made a name for himself the last month, suddenly emerging as the best pitcher on the Astros’ staff. He was consistent all year long, ranking in the top 25 in baseball in almost every major category. The 26-year-old went 5-3, with a 3.57 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 76 strikeouts in 70.2 innings.
However, Valdez has kicked it up a notch since mid-September, with quality starts in four out of his last five outings, including game one against the Rays. Valdez went six innings, giving up two runs on four hits while striking out eight. He’s also good at keeping the ball in the ballpark, with a 60 percent ground ball rate, however, he has given up three home runs in the past two contests. That will be something to watch on Friday.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.