Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 8)

  • Sixto Sanchez aims to keep Marlins alive
  • Atlanta pitching staff dominating the postseason
  • Who will come up with the big hit?

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Braves vs Marlins Odds

Team Run Spread Total Money Line
Atlanta Braves -1.5 +120 O 8.5 -106 -143
Miami Marlins +1.5 -143 U 8.5 -115 +123

 

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Braves vs Marlins Predictions and Picks

Sixto Sanchez has electric stuff and while the Braves pitching staff has been dominant, the lineup has been somewhat quiet, scoring two runs or fewer in two of the four games. The Marlins should keep this close, so we like Miami with the spread and the under.

Picks:

Miami with the spread +1.5 -143

Under 8.5 -115

Betting record through 10/7/20 (41-40-1)

Trends

Braves are 5-0 in their last four playoff games as a favorite

Braves are 6-1 in their last seven vs NL East

Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 overall

Braves are 6-2 in their last eight playoff games

Braves are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record

Over is 6-2-1 in Braves last nine divisional playoff games

Over is 17-7-3 in Braves last 27 vs NL East

Marlins are 5-2 in their last seven playoff games

Marlins are 4-2 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter

Marlins are 5-3 in their last eight games as an underdog

Under is 5-1 in Marlins last five games vs. a right-handed starter

Under is 8-2 in Marlins last 10 playoff games

Under is 6-2 in Marlins last eight overall

Under is 6-2 in Marlins last eight games as an underdog

How to Watch Braves vs Marlins

Braves vs Marlins Information
What Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Where Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
When Thursday, October 7, 2020, 2:08 PM EST
How to Watch FS1

Sixto Sanchez on Tab to Keep Marlins Alive

The Marlins are on the verge of their unprecedented playoff streak coming to an end. Miami is an unbelievable 7-0 in playoff series. In 1997 and 2003 they won the World Series and are on the heels of a victory in the Wild Card series over the Cubs.

However, they find themselves in as tough a hole as they’ve ever been in, down 2-0 to the Braves in the NLDS. In the 83 previous 2-0 leads in best of five series, the team ahead in the series has won 73 times (88 percent) and 49 of those times the team won in game three.

The Braves lineup isn’t exactly coming off of a great performance, scoring just two runs on three hits. Sanchez, a fireballer who threw seven pitches of 100 mph or faster – and nine more above 99.5 mph — against the Cubs, will look to tame the Braves offense once more.

Sanchez threw five scoreless innings against the Cubs, giving up four hits and two walks while striking out six.

The 22-year-old has faced the Braves twice this year with varying degrees of success. His first appearance was absolute dominance: six innings, no runs, three hits, one walk, and six strikeouts in an 8-0 win. The Braves seemed to have him figured out the second time, when he made it just three innings, giving up four runs on four hits and four walks.

Atlanta Pitching Staff on a Role

The Braves pitching staff has been brilliant this postseason, pitching three shutouts in four games while giving up just five total runs in 40 innings. It’s now youngster Kyle Wright’s turn to toe the slab for Atlanta and makes his postseason debut.

This is the first start for 2017’s fourth overall pick since Sept. 25 but when he was last pitching, he was fantastic. Wright went six innings or more in each of his last three starts, posting a 2.37 ERA while holding opponents to a .164 batting average and .263 OBP during that span.

That follows a span where he went more than four innings just once in five starts when opponents had a .442 OBP. Wright is the real deal and alongside Mike Soroka will form a formidable one-two punch for Atlanta for years to come, but there’s a real question as to if we will see rest or rust from the righty in the biggest start of his young career.

Editor’s Picks

Who Can Come up With the Big Hit?

The Braves hit two solo home runs on Wednesday which was all they needed. In all likelihood, they’ll need more than that on Thursday. But so will the Marlins, who managed just three hits in total on the day.

Who are the likely candidates for each team totally that big hit?

For Atlanta, it’s either Ronald Acuña Jr. or Freddie Freeman. Acuña Jr. remains hot, despite coming off of a hitless game on Wednesday. Freeman on the other hand has been in a slump, going 1-for-14 in the postseason and 0-for-8 against the Marlins.

On the other side, it’s Brian Anderson who’s been the Marlins best hitter. Anderson had a double and a walk on Wednesday after going 3-for-4 on Tuesday with an RBI.

The Marlins lineup is thinner without Starling Marte, but Miguel Rojas, Corey Dickerson, and Jesus Aguilar have all come up with big hits throughout the season and it wouldn’t be a surprise if they did so again on Thursday.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.