Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Predictions, Odds & Picks (August 14)

  • Gerrit Cole looks for 20 in 2020
  • Red Sox try to end skid
  • Can Yankees extend the best record against the spread?

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Boston Red Sox vs Yankees Odds

Team Run Spread Total Money Line
Boston Red Sox +1.5 +148 O 9 -120 +310
New York Yankees -1.5 -177 U 9 EVEN -385

 

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Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions and Picks

When the Red Sox are winning games, they’re doing it by scoring runs. The Yankees have the second-best on-base percentage in baseball and are arguably the most potent offense in the sport. They’ve dominated this series and despite two of the first three meetings between these two going under, we’re expecting runs. We like the over and the Yankees to cover the spread.

Betting record through 8/13/2020: (10-11-1)

Picks:

Over 9 -120

Yankees to cover the spread -1.5 -177

Trends

The Yankees are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight home games.

The Red Sox are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games on the road

The Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 against the Red Sox

How to Watch Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Information
What Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
When Friday, August 14, 2020, 7:05 PM EST
How to Watch Watch on ESPN+ here!

Gerrit Cole-Blooded

The goal for any pitcher is to win when they get the ball every fifth day. That is of course impossible, although Gerrit Cole has been making it seem like a possibility for more than a year. The last time Cole picked up a loss in a regular-season game was May 22, 2019 – when he gave up six earned runs in five innings against the Chicago White Sox.

Since then, Gerrit Cole’s record is 19-0 in his past 26 starts, the fifth-longest streak in MLB history without suffering a defeat. Cole had a chance to pick up his 20th consecutive victory against the Rays last weekend, but gave up a two-run shot with two outs in the fifth and was pulled by manager Aaron Boone before completing the inning, thus making him ineligible for the decision.

Still, he’s been absolute lights out this season. Through four starts in pinstripes, Cole has pitched 22.1 innings with a 3.22 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 26 strikeouts.

If there’s been a downside for Cole, it’s that he hasn’t been able to go very deep into games this season. Twice he’s pitched five innings or fewer (although one of those was due to a lengthy rain delay on Opening Day) and he’s yet to make it through seven innings. For perspective, he went seven innings or deeper in 10 of his last 11 starts in 2019 including the postseason.

That should all change. He’s been allowed to throw more than 100 pitches twice this year and there shouldn’t be any reason Boone dials him back going forward.

Red Sox Look to End the Skid

In 486 games in the 2017-19 regular seasons, the Red Sox lost four or more consecutive games just seven times. Five of those were last year, so in 2017-18 in happened just twice.

Through 19 games of the 2020 season, the Red Sox have had three separate four-game losing streaks. This likely won’t be the last losing streak for Boston this season, whose starting rotation is completely depleted.

They traded David Price in the offseason, lost Chris Sale to Tommy John surgery earlier in 2020, just two weeks ago Eduardo Rodriguez was shut down for the season with a heart condition and offseason acquisition Collin McHugh opted out of the season entirely.

Boston is in the bottom five of the MLB with a team 5.23 ERA and their team WHIP of 1.55 is the lowest in all of baseball – and that was all before they gave up 17 runs to Tampa Bay on Thursday.

But It hasn’t been all bad for Boston, with an offense that has the ninth-best batting average in baseball. Mitch Moreland, Xander Bogaerts and Kevin Pillar are lead the team in various offensive categories and despite a slow start, J.D. Martinez is coming around, having hit two home runs in the past four games. If the Red Sox are to win, they’ll have to somehow outslug the Yankees.

Can Yankees Keep Their Streak(s) Alive?

The Yankees have taken 14 of the last 15 games against the Red Sox dating back to late July last season. More impressively, the Yankees have covered the spread in each of those contests.

The Yankees are 13-5 against the spread overall, with 11 of their 12 victories on the year coming by multiple runs. They are doing so even without some of their starters performing up to their standards; Gleyber Torres, Brett Gardner, and Gary Sanchez are all hitting below the Mendoza line.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.