Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 26)

• Brewers fighting for their life
• Win and St. Louis is in
• Should have a pitchers duel on our hands

Brewers vs Cardinals Odds

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Brewers vs Cardinals Predictions and Picks

Both teams need a victory, and each has a pitcher who can get them one. Neither offense has been good this season and with tensions high, runs might be harder to come by. We like the under in this one.

Pick:

Under 7.5 -112

Betting record through 9/22/20 (35-32-1)

Trends

Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight overall

Brewers are 14-6 in their last 20 Saturday games

Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 road games

Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last nine games vs. a team with a winning record

Brewers are 4-8 in last 12 meetings in St. Louis

Brewers are 6-3 in the last nine meetings

Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 overall

Cardinals are 6-2 in their last eight vs. the NL Central

Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last eight

Over is 7-3-1 in Cardinals last 11 home games

Under is 14-6-3 in Cardinals last 23 vs. National League Central

How to Watch Brewers vs Cardinals

A Must Win for Milwaukee

The old saying in sports is “treat every game like it’s a must win” although we know that’s not how it actually happens. That now becomes true for Milwaukee on Saturday. The Brewers (28-30) absolutely have to win each of their final two games in order to have a chance at making the postseason.

Milwaukee and St. Louis split their double-header on Friday and Cincinnati won its game at Minnesota. Because of Friday’s other relevant results — Philadelphia loss, Milwaukee loss and Cincinnati win, Miami win – the Reds and Marlins clinched postseason spots.

So six teams are set in the NL: Braves, Marlins, Cubs, Reds, Dodgers and Padres. That leaves two remaining spots for the Phillies, Giants, Brewers and Cardinals.

The Cardinals (29-27) lead the Giants (29-29) by one game and Brewers and Phillies (each 28-30) by two games. One more win gets St. Louis in and one loss eliminates Milwaukee because the Giants are ahead of them based on tie-breaker scenarios.

So, in case there was ever a must-win game, it’s Saturday for Milwaukee.

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Win Gets St. Louis In

The magic number for St. Louis is one. One win and the Cardinals are in the postseason. Truly, that’s pretty remarkable when you think back to the beginning portion of their season when they missed 10 days in a row due to Covid-19 positive results in the organization.

If St. Louis gets to play into October, it’s because of the pitching staff. The Cardinals rank in the top 10 in many major categories including batting average against (3rd), WHIP (8th), and ERA (10th).

That made up for an offense that ranked in the bottom third of the league offensively in batting average (22nd), slugging percentage (26th) and total runs (28th).

But a timely run the last two weeks – going 7-3 in the last 10 games, which is the best 10-game stretch of the entire season – has St. Louis on the verge of its second straight postseason berth and seventh October appearance in the last 10 years.

Trusted Starters Taking the Ball

While the win-loss record looks different for the two starting pitchers, both teams trust the man with the ball in their hands on Saturday.

For St. Louis, that’s ol’ reliable Adam Wainwright. Wainwright, a three-time All-Star and three-time Cy Young Award top-three finisher is in his 15th season in St. Louis. The 39-year-old has been excellent, going 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.

He was even better than that the last time he faced Milwaukee 10 days ago, when he threw a complete game (in a double-header), going seven innings, while surrendering two runs on four hits and striking out a season-high nine batters in a 4-2 victory.

For Milwaukee, Brandon Woodruff’s 2-5 record doesn’t tell the full story. He too has been consistent, with a 3.43 ERA and 1.07 WHIP

Woodruff faced Wainwright in that double-header and also threw a complete game, giving up three earned runs in seven innings while striking out five in the loss. Woodruff has been really consistent this year, giving up three earned runs or fewer in 11 of his 12 starts, but hasn’t had any offensive help.

The Brewers have been held to three runs or fewer in 10 of his 12 contests.