Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, Odds & Picks (August 4)

  • The most dominant pitcher thus far in 2020 toes the slab for the Indians
  • Reds try to get over .500 for first time since Opening Day
  • Can the Reds get Eugenio Suarez off the schneid

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Indians vs Reds Odds

Team Run spread Total Money Line
Cleveland Indians -1.5 -110 O 8 -110 -176
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -110 U 8 -110 +160


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Indians vs Reds Predictions and Picks

The Indians have gone under the total in eight consecutive games. Eventually, they’re going to go over. That’s not going to be against the Reds on Tuesday. Shane Bieber has won both of his starts 2-0 and the Indians have the best team ERA in the majors. Cleveland will move to 3-0 in Bieber starts.


Indians money line (-176)

Under 8 (-110)

Record through 8/3 (7-8-1)


The under is 8-0 in Cleveland’s last eight games.

The under is 7-0 in Cleveland’s last seven games vs. right-handed starter.

The under is 5-0 in Cleveland’s last five games on road vs. right-handed starter.

The Indians are 10-2 in last 12 games in Cincinnati.

The under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

How to Watch Cleveland vs Cincinnati

Indians vs Reds Information
What Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds
Where Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH
When Tuesday, August 4, 2020, 6:10 PM EST
How to Watch MLB Network

Time to Become a Belieber

Beliebers is the nickname given to Justin Bieber’s adoring fans. If he’s not careful, the true Beliebers are going to be those who follow Shane Bieber. Bieber, the new Cleveland ace, has had one of the best starts to a season of anybody in MLB history.

Bieber is 1-0 but the Indians have won both of his starts by the final score of 2-0.

He’s pitched 14 total innings, striking out 27 batters, the most two games into a season in MLB history. Bieber went six innings, striking out 14 and giving up four hits and one walk in the season opener against Kansas City. He was even better five days later against one of the best offenses in baseball, going eight innings, giving up just three hits and striking out 13 against Minnesota.

Bieber will go up against Tyler Mahle who has been fairly pedestrian for Cincinnati early on in his career. The former seventh-round pick went 3-12 with a 5.14 ERA a season ago in 25 starts, however, his walks per nine (2.4) and strikeouts per nine (9.0) were a positive sign.

In his lone start this year he went four innings, giving up two runs and six hits while walking one batter and striking out four. He can fare well against an Indians team that’s hitting .193 as a team – fourth-worst in the major leagues – but he is certainly outclassed by Bieber.

The Hot Stays Hot

The hottest hitter on the Indians is Francisco Lindor. The hottest hitter on the Reds is Nicholas Castellanos. Both of those trends held true in the series opener on Monday. Lindor went 2-for-4, hitting a solo shot in the first inning. He has a hit in five straight games and after starting the season 2-for-14, he’s gone 7-for-23.

Castellanos came off of a two-homerun performance against his former team the Detroit Tigers on Sunday, helping the Reds sweep the double-header and take momentum into the series opener.

Castellanos went yard for the third time in three games and now has a hit in each of the team’s first 10 games to open the year and paces the team in batting average (.382), OPS (1.373), home runs (5) and RBIs (12). Castellanos ranks in the top seven in each of those categories across the majors.

Earth to Eugenio

Eugenio Suarez was arguably the best story in baseball in 2019. Suarez, who was somehow not selected to an All-Star game, did finish with some MVP votes for his record-setting year. The Reds third baseman hit .271 but set a career-high with a .930 OPS thanks to a career-best 49 home runs, the most in a single season by any Venezuelan born player.

However, in 2020, Suarez has looked lost at the plate. Suarez has started the season just 3-for-35, with five walks and 12 strikeouts. He has just two extra-base hits on the season, both doubles, and his OPS is a paltry .362.

One has to believe Suarez will pick it up. He’s driven in more than 100 runs in each of the past two seasons and hit more than 25 home runs for three consecutive years. He’s likely just thinking too much, but if the Reds are going to catch the Cubs atop the NL Central, they have to get more production out of their three-hole hitter. Once he gets going, the middle of the lineup featuring Joey Votto, Suarez, Castellanos, and Mike Moustakas can be as dangerous as it gets.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.