Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 5)

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 09

  • Don’t look now but Twins are getting hot
  • Tigers seem to be on their last life and desperately need a win
  • Crafty vet vs. young fireballer
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Tigers vs Twins Odds

TeamRun SpreadTotalMoney Line
Detroit Tigers+1.5 -110O 8.5 -110+205
Minnesota Twins-1.5 -110U 8.5 -110-233

Tigers vs Twins Predictions and Picks

There’s almost no metric that points to the Tigers winning this game. But even though they’re overmatched, they’ve been able to either win or keep every game between these two teams close this season. Despite a four-game win streak, the Twins offense is still struggling so we’re expecting a low-scoring affair. We like the under and the Tigers with the spread.

Picks:

Detroit Tigers +1.5 -110
Under 8.5 -110

Betting record through 9/4/20 (22-19-1)

Trends

Tigers are 5-2 in last seven Saturday games

Tigers are 15-42 in last 57 games as a road underdog

Under is 11-5-1 in Tigers last 17 during game 3 of a series

Under is 8-2 in last 10 meetings

Tigers are 3-11 in last 14 meetings in Minnesota

Twins are 22-7 in last 29 home games

Under is 5-0-1 during Twins’ during twins last six game 3 of a series

Under is 4-1 in Twins last five Saturday games

Under is 27-8 in Twins last 35 home games

How to Watch Tigers vs Twins

Tigers vs Twins Information
WhatDetroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
WhereTarget Field, Minneapolis, Minn.
WhenSaturday, September 5, 2020, 7:10 PM EST
How to WatchFox Sports Detroit, Fox Sports North

September Streak Has Twins Surging in Al Central

Sometimes all you need is to turn the calendar. The Twins were 0-6 in their final six contests in August, but since the calendar flipped to September, they’ve done nothing but win. The Twins are 4-0 in the final month of this strange regular season, including 2-0 yesterday when they swept a doubleheader against the Tigers and now just half-a-game out of first in the division.

The first game was a Randy Dobnak masterpiece, tossing five innings of shutout ball. Minnesota led off the game with back-to-back home runs against Matt Boyd and that’s all the offense it would need in a 2-0 win.

In the second game, Minnesota trailed 2-1 going into the final inning, before two walks and a single tied it and forced extras. The Twins scratched one across in the top half of the eighth – they were playing as the away team in their home ballpark since this was a makeup of a game that was rained out earlier this season – and then posted a zero in the bottom half to steal a 3-2 win from the Tigers.

However, even though Minnesota is winning games, not everything is going as well as they’d hoped. Three of these four wins have come when they scored three runs or fewer – that’s nice now while they’re getting the job done, but it’s not a sustainable recipe for success.

Tigers Last Gasp

The American League playoff picture seems to already be set with one month left to go. A disappointing situation to be sure since the expanded postseason was supposed to create drama down until the last day of the regular season.

The team in the ninth position – one seed outside the playoff line – is the Tigers. They were 17-16 just two days ago, holding a 4-0 lead over Milwaukee looking for their seventh straight win. But the pitching staff blew it, eventually losing 8-5 and falling to .500.

We just described how they scored two runs in 14 innings yesterday and instead of sitting at .500 or even a game or two over, they’re now two games below the .500 mark and three games out of the last wild card spot.

It was always going to be a tall task for Detroit to compete this year – they’re in the middle of a rebuild and their division has arguably three of the 10 best teams in baseball. But 33 games in, they were above .500 and there was hope. If that hope is to continue, the losing streak has to end at three.

Maeda Takes on Skubal

It’s an interesting pitching matchup, with the clear edge seeming to favor the Twins. Kenta Maeda has been everything the Twins have hoped for and more since coming over from the Dodgers in a trade: 4-1, 2.53 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

He’s gone six innings or more in five of his seven starts and has given up three runs or fewer every appearance this season. He picked up his first loss of the season last week against the Tigers when he gave up three runs on six hits while striking out eight in a 3-2 defeat.

On the other hand, Tarik Skubal makes just the fourth start of his career and has gotten better each time out. Skubal gave up four runs in two innings in his debut, one run in 2.1 innings in his second start, and then picked up the win last time out against Minnesota, going five innings and giving up just two runs.

However, this could be his toughest start yet — a major league team getting to see him for the second time in a week. How will he adjust and how will the Twins adjust? That’s going to be the key to this game.

Bet on Under 8.5 (-110)

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.