Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros - Predictions, Odds & Picks

  • Rematch of the 2017 World Series for the first time since sign stealing scandal came out
  • Walker Buehler makes his 2020 season debut
  • Battle of two of the top offenses in baseball

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Dodgers vs Astros Odds

The odds for this match are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to DraftKings and place a bet.

Team Run spread Total Money Line
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+102) O 9 (EVEN) -155
Houston Astros +1.5 (-121) U 9 (-121) +130

Dodgers vs Astros Predictions and Picks

Walker Buehler is a stud, but he’s going to have a limit on pitches and he likely won’t throw more than five innings. Valdez gave up four or more runs in four of his eight starts. Each team has to face a much better lineup than they saw in the opening series. Take the over.

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How to Watch Dodgers vs Astros

Dodgers vs Astros Event Information
Where Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
When Wednesday, July 28, 2020, 09:10 PM EST
How to Watch FS1

Dodgers vs Astros Preview

If there was one matchup people were waiting for in the 2020 season, this is probably it. The Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Dodgers, two of the three favorites to win the World Series this year, go head-to-head on Tuesday with some unfinished business to attend to.

In case you’ve been living under a rock, the Astros were punished for using technology to steal signs during the 2017 postseason en route to winning the World Series. Who did they beat in that championship series? The Dodgers. There’s certainly some bad blood and Tuesday night’s matchup will be the first chance to see that on display.

But as much as old scores need to be settled on Los Angeles’ side, these teams are both still looking for a championship this year. That’s the first priority and with a shortened season, every game is big. Tuesday’s matchup is no different.

Buehler? Buehler?

Walker Buehler makes his highly awaited 2020 debut after a stellar season in 2019. The 26-year-old went 14-4 last season, finishing with a 3.26 ERA, 1.042 WHIP, and 215 strikeouts in 182.2 innings pitched. He earned his first All-Star game appearance and finished ninth in Cy Young voting just one year after finishing third in rookie of the year voting.

Despite coming off of a phenomenal season, there are still some questions about his readiness for 2020. Buehler did face another team in the Dodgers’ three exhibition contests but instead has only thrown one simulated game, retiring each of the seven teammates he faced.

The Dodgers were particularly careful with Buehler’s build-up going into this shortened season because he had Tommy John surgery in 2015 and is the new ace of the staff, so they want to proceed with caution.

Houston, We Have a Problem

Houston just received what could be potentially the biggest blow to the team’s chances of getting back to the World Series. On Sunday, it was reported the Justin Verlander would miss the rest of the season after injuring his elbow. Verlander later came out and said it was just an arm strain and he will be re-evaluated in a few weeks.

This is relevant to Tuesday’s game because every victory the Astros can get early on in the season will help them not feel pressured to rush their ace back into the rotation.

Batter Up

Houston ranked at the top of the majors in just about every offensive statistic in 2019: batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. They’re picking up right where they left off, scoring six or more runs in each of their first four contests while starting the season an MLB-best 3-1.

On the other hand, after scoring 17 combined runs in their first two contests of the season the Dodgers went cold, scoring five total runs in their past two games including just one on Sunday. But top to bottom, these are still two of the top five most dangerous lineups in all of baseball and there’s no reason to think they won’t have their hitting shoes on come Tuesday.

The Dodgers aren’t exactly facing an ace either, in Framber Valdez. Valdez appeared in 26 games last season including eight starts, going 4-7 overall with a 5.86 ERA and 1.67 WHIP.

Only four times all of last season did the Dodgers score one or fewer runs and follow that up with a game in which they scored three or fewer runs. With an even deeper lineup than last year and coming off of an off day, one could imagine they’ll score a minimum of four runs.

Trends

The over is 3-0-2 in the Astros last five games against right-handed pitchers. The over is 12-2-1 in the last 15 games when it’s set between 9-10.5. The over is 5-0-2 in Astros last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.

 

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.