World Series Game 3: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros - Predictions and Odds
Final score - Astros 6, Nationals 1.
How to Watch – Nationals vs Astros Game 3
Where: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
When: Friday, October 25th at 8:07 PM EST
How (TV/Radio): National TV: Fox. Nationals Radio: WJFK/106.7 FM. Astros Radio: KBME 790 AM.
The Nationals are two wins away from capturing the franchise’s first-ever World Series as they took Games 1 and 2 over the Astros’ best two pitchers, Gerrit Cole, and Justin Verlander.
Washington has an 81% chance to win the World Series title according to FiveThirtyEight.
The Nationals are -286 to take the World Series after their Games 1 & 2 wins on the road in Houston.
The Astros are scrambling as they travel to Washington for three games down 2-0 after losing both opening games in dramatic fashion.
Houston has a 19% probability to win the World Series title according to Five ThirtyEight.
The Astros have seen their odds flip from the start of the seven-game series as they currently stand at +230 to take the World Series.
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Houston Astros: Zack Greinke
Greinke has not been the pitcher in the postseason that the Astros thought they were getting when they traded for the righty at the trade deadline.
- In the postseason, Greinke has thrown 14 innings, allowing ten earned runs behind five homers.
- In his last start of the postseason, the Astros’ right-hander allowed seven baserunners to reach in 4.1 innings of an 8-3 Houston win.
- In his two postseason road starts, Greinke has surrendered seven runs over eight innings with five walks and eight hits.
Nationals: Anibal Sanchez
Sanchez has thrown two very solid starts for the Nationals in the postseason, taking a no-hitter into the 8th inning in his last start in Game 1 of the NLCS.
- Sanchez hasn’t thrown since his terrific start on October 11 in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Cardinals.
- In the Game 1 NLCS win, Sanchez threw 7.2 innings, allowing just one hit while striking out five batters.
- Over the entire postseason, Sanchez has thrown 12.2 innings, allowing one run on a solo homer in his NLDS start to the Dodgers on October 6th.
— Houston Astros (@astros) October 24, 2019
Several of the Astros have had success against Anibal Sanchez in their career, a positive note as the team tries to score more than the 3.5 runs per game they’ve averaged over the start of the series.
- 2B Jose Altuve is 4 for 11 against Sanchez with one homer and four RBI.
- OF George Springer is 3 for 5 lifetime versus the Nats’ Game 3 starter with one solo homer.
- OF Michael Brantley is 9 for 30 in his career against Sanchez with a triple and one RBI.
The Nationals’ offense has been a juggernaut, outscoring the Astros 17-7 over the first two games of the series.
- 3B Anthony Rendon is just 1 for 12 versus Greinke in his career, with that lone hit coming in in the form of a two-run homer.
- 2B Asdrubal Cabrera is 16 for 37 off Greinke with two doubles and one triple in his career.
- Game 3 hero Kurt Suzuki is 7 for 24 with one double, one homer and two RBI in his career off the Astros’ righty.
- The Astros will likely go to a bullpen game in Game 4 although if the team is down 3-0, Cole could come back on three-days rest to attempt to save the season in Washington.
- Greinke will hit in the National League park, something that he’s quite good at for a pitcher with a lifetime line of .225 with nine homers. He hit three homers in 2019 before the trade to Houston.
- Alex Bregman told reporters that his batting woes were due to a flaw in his mechanics and his first-inning homer off Strasburg proved his theory might be correct.
- SP Patrick Corbin will start Game 4 for the Nationals after manager Davey Martinez named Anibal Sanchez the Game 3 starter on Wednesday.
- Only three of the previous 25 teams to fall down 2-0 have come back to win the World Series, with the last being the 1996 New York Yankees.
- Before C Kurt Suzuki’s homer in the top of the 7th of Game 2, the catcher was in a 1 for 23 slump in the postseason.
Nationals vs Astros – Game 3 Predictions
The Astros have their backs against the wall after the Nationals took the first two games with dominant stretches of offensive baseball in each of the opening two contests.
But after two shocking wins in Games 1 and 2, I expect the Nationals to come back to earth offensively and the Astros to get a bit of the fortune that has been lacking over the first two games of the series.
Look for Zack Greinke to hold the Nats in check at least for one game before Houston goes to a bullpen game as Washington rolls out Patrick Corbin for Game 4, most likely.
Game 3 Prediction: Final score – Astros 6, Nationals 1.
Game Odds – Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros