Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 24)
- Marlins limping to the finish line
- Braves charging into playoffs
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Marlins vs Braves Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Total||Money Line|
|Miami Marlins||+1.5 -129||O 9.5 EVEN||+155|
|Atlanta Braves||-1.5 +108||U 9.5 -121||-186|
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Marlins vs Braves Predictions and Picks
The Marlins have more to play for, but are fading fast. Atlanta’s offense is dynamic and deep and rookie Ian Anderson has played well beyond his years in his first five career starts. We expect that to continue so we like the Braves money line and against the spread.
Betting record through 9/22/20 (35-29-1)
Over is 7-2-1 in Marlins last 10 road games
Under is 6-2 in Marlins last eight games vs. a right-handed starter
Over is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter
Over is 11-4-1 in Marlins last 16 vs. a team with a winning record
Marlins are 7-26 in the last 33 meetings in Atlanta
Atlanta is 43-17 in last 60 meetings
Over is 20-9-1 in Marlins last 30 vs NL East
Over is 9-3-2 in Braves last 14 games as a home favorite
Over is 16-6-4 in Braves last 26 games as a favorite
Over is 15-6-3 in Braves last 24 vs NL East
How to Watch Marlins vs Braves
|Marlins vs Braves Information|
|What||Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves|
|Where||Truist Park, Atlanta, GA|
|When||Thursday, September 24, 2020, 6:10 PM EST|
|How to Watch||Fox Sports Florida, SportSouth|
Marlins Flopping to the Finish
The Marlins making the postseason was going to be the most surprising storyline of the entire MLB season. And while it still might happen, Miami isn’t making it easy on itself.
The Marlins have dropped four consecutive games and six of their last nine to fall back to .500 and is now just half-a-game ahead of the Phillies for the second guaranteed playoff spot in the NL East, although it does have the tiebreaker over Philadelphia. But with four games remaining, Thursday against Atlanta and then three against the Yankees, Miami’s magic number remains at 3.
The only two times the Marlins made the playoffs in franchise history – 1997 and 2003 – they won the World Series.
Truthfully, that the Marlins are in playoff contention based on their overall numbers this year is pretty shocking, considering they don’t do anything all that well and have been outscored by more than 40 runs on the season – by far the most of any team in the league that’s .500 or better.
In fact, only six teams in all of baseball have been outscored by more runs.
Braves Clinch the Three-Peat
Atlanta opened the season 11-10 but after that went on an absolute tear. The Braves have gone 22-12 in their last 34 games to win their third consecutive NL East title and clinch home-field advantage in at least the opening round of the postseason.
And how were they able to do that after losing their ace of the rotation, Mike Soroka, to a torn Achilles just two weeks into the season? By becoming the best offense in baseball. Atlanta leads the majors in total runs (326) and slugging percentage (.494) and is second in team batting average (.272) and on-base percentage (.343).
However, all isn’t well in Atlanta, even after clinching the division title on Tuesday. Star pitcher Max Fried had to leave his start on Wednesday after the first inning after injuring his ankle while trying to field a bunt. Fried, who entered the game 7-0 with a 1.96 ERA and hadn’t given up a home run all year, gave up back-to-back bombs after trying to field the bunt and his “stuff” just didn’t look the same.
Battle of the Youngsters
Both Miami’s Pablo Lopez and Atlanta’s Ian Anderson have been inconsistent this season. At his best, Lopez has looked like someone who you could count on in a postseason situation. At his worst … yeesh.
Just look at the last three starts for Lopez. Lopez picked up wins in each of his last two starts, going a combined 12.1 innings, giving up just six hits, three walks, and three runs while striking out 13.
His two starts before that, he picked up two losses, going a combined 5.2 innings, giving up 12 earned runs on nine hits and six walks while striking out just eight. In all, it’s been a solid season for the 24-year-old, sitting at 5-4 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Ian Anderson has only made five starts at the big-league level but has been extremely impressive for a rookie. Atlanta’s 22-year-old is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.05 WHIP however he comes off his first career loss when he went 4.2 innings and gave up three earned runs against the Mets.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.