New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 15)
- Wild Card up for grabs
- Phillies happy to see a new team
- Battle of former Cy Young winners looking to regain their form
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Mets vs Phillies Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Total||Money Line|
|New York Mets||-1.5 +125||O 9.5 -109||-127|
|Philadelphia Phillies||+1.5 -152||U 9.5 -112||+110|
Mets vs Phillies Predictions and Picks
The Phillies are banged up and not rested, but they generally do well against teams from the NL East, teams with a losing record and when they’re at home. All of those factors are in play tonight, so we will take the Phillies money line and the over.
Betting record through 9/14/20 (28-23-1)
Trends (Entering Wednesday)
Mets are 0-4 in last four meetings in Philadelphia
Phillies are 7-2 in last nine meetings
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings in Philadelphia
Mets are 10-4 in last 14 games following an off day
Mets are 2-5 in last seven road games
Over is 6-1 in Mets last seven overall
Over is 5-1 in Mets last six road games
Over is 5-1 in Phillies last six overall
Over is 7-1 in Phillies last eight vs, National League East
Phillies are 10-2 in last 12 home games
Phillies are 9-3 in last 12 vs. a team with a losing record
How to Watch Mets vs Phillies
|Mets vs Phillies Information|
|What||New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies|
|Where||Citizen Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA|
|When||Tuesday, September 15, 2020, 7:05 PM EST|
|How to Watch||SportsNet New York, MLB.TV|
Playoff Positioning on the Line
There are many matchups of better teams on Tuesday. The White Sox play the Twins and the Dodgers play the Padres – all four of those teams have more than 30 wins.
But their playoff fates are already determined, they’ll play into October. Postseason hopes however are much more at stake when the Phillies begin a three-game set against the Mets on Tuesday. Currently, the Phillies have one of the final two playoff spots in the National League, while the Mets are one of four teams (Rockies, Brewers, and Reds) within 2.5 games of the Giants for the eighth seed.
The Mets haven’t played in the postseason since 2016 while the Phillies haven’t made the playoffs since 2011.
Phillies Ready for a New Opponent
There’s no rest for the weary in Philadelphia where the Phillies have to play their eighth game in six days.
In fact, Philadelphia doesn’t have an off day until Sept. 24 and it has 11 games in the next nine days leading up to that. In total, that will be 18 games in 14 days as the Phillies desperately try to hold onto their playoff seeding.
And while the Phillies likely would prefer a day off, they are just happy to not have to play the Marlins again. The Phillies just finished a seven-game set against their NL East foe, going 2-5 to fall to 23-23 on the year. In total, they went 3-7 against the Marlins this year yet are 20-16 against all other teams to this point.
And they’ve had more bad news than just their losing streak, having to officially move the first baseman Rhys Hoskins to the injured list after hurting his left ulnar collateral ligament. Arguably the Phillies hottest hitter will be sidelined until at least Sept. 23, if not the rest of the year. Hoskins has 10 home runs and 26 RBI on the season with an .887 OPS.
And it doesn’t stop there. Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto will miss at least the first game of the series against the Mets with a mild strain in his hip flexor. Realmuto leads the team in with 11 home runs and 30 RBIs.
Former CY Young Winners Trying to Turn Back the Clock
Rick Porcello won the American League Cy Young in 2016. Jake Arrieta won the National League Cy Young in 2015. Both have looked like shells of their former selves this year but will try to come up big for their teams on Tuesday.
Arrieta sits 3-4 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and just 28 strikeouts in 39 innings. Arrieta has just two quality starts in eight appearances this season and most recently picked up a no-decision against the Marlins, going 5.2 innings, giving up three runs on five hits, walking four, and striking out three.
Porcello hasn’t been much better. In fact, he’s been worse. Porcello is 1-4 overall, with a 6.07 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and just 36 strikeouts in 43 innings pitched. The Mets are 2-7 in his nine starts this year and 19-19 in their other 38 games.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.