New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds: Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes
How to Watch
Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
When: Saturday, September 21st at 4:10 PM EST
How (TV/Radio): Mets TV/Radio: SNY, WCBS 880 AM. Reds TV/Radio: Fox Sports Ohio, WLW 700 AM.
New York Mets
The Mets are clinging to a very small shot at making the NL Wild Card game as they have moved four games back of the Cubs and Brewers for the second WC berth.
The Mets have a 2.2% chance to make the postseason and a <0.1% chance to win the World Series according to baseball-reference.com.
The Mets hold 50-1 odds to win the National League title and fallen to 100-1 to win the 2019 World Series.
Despite a positive run differential that should have them close to .500, the Reds are ten games below the even line and have been incredibly unlucky this season.
Cincinnati is one of four teams in the National League that have held teams under 700 runs in 2019.
The Reds have been eliminated from postseason contention.
Game Odds Mets vs Reds
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New York Mets: Zack Wheeler (11-7, 4.09 ERA)
Wheeler has been on fire for the Mets, throwing four straight starts where he has allowed just one run per game.
- In his last appearance, Wheeler went seven innings allowing just one run in a tough-luck loss to the Dodgers.
- Over his last four starts, Wheeler has thrown 25 innings, allowed just four runs and struck out 23 batters.
- Wheeler has not allowed a home run in five of his last six starts.
Cincinnati Reds: Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.93 ERA)
DeSclafini has been one of the bright spots this season for the Reds and in his last six starts, the righty has been spectacular allowing just nine runs over his last 38 innings.
- In his last start, DeSclafini threw a gem, allowing just one run and one hit to Arizona over seven innings.
- The Reds starter has struck out 45 batters in his last 52.1 innings.
- In four of his last five outings, DeScalfini has posted a quality start for the Reds.
New York Mets
The Mets’ bats haven’t cooled down in September as the team is averaging just over five runs per contest for the month.
- C Wilson Ramos is 2 for 8 against DeScalfini in his career with one double and one RBI.
- 1B Pete Alonso is 1 for 3 versus the Reds’ righty with one strikeout in their lone career matchup.
- OF Michael Conforto is 1 for 5 with one double against DeScalfini in his career.
The Reds have struggled to score runs this season, a stark contrast to the strong offenses they’ve had in previous years. This September, they are scoring just 3.64 runs per contest, a season-low if the average holds for the remainder of the month.
- SS Freddy Galvis is 2 for 11 off Wheeler with two RBI and three strikeouts.
- 1B Joey Votto is 2 for 5 versus Wheeler with three walks and one RBI.
- 3B Eugenio Suarez is 1 for 5 with one strikeout and one RBI off the Mets’ right-hander.
New York Mets
- 1B Dominic Smith has been moved to the 60-day IL and could return in late Sept.
- RP Seth Lugo has taken the closer job from Edwin Diaz and should keep it for the remainder of the year.
- RP Robert Gsellman is out for the year with a partial lat muscle tear in his back.
- SP Alex Wood’s lower back strain has him out of the rotation and he could miss the rest of the season.
- OF Nick Senzel has a torn labrum in his shoulder and he’ll miss the rest of the year for the Reds.
- SS Freddy Galvis has knee soreness that’s forced him out of the lineup for the past several days.