San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 6)

  • Buehler looks to cement himself as Dodgers ace
  • Can Slam Diego continue to mash its way through the postseason?
  • Is it possible to slow this Dodgers lineup down?

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Padres vs Dodgers Odds

Team Run Spread Total Money Line
San Diego Padres +1.5 -159 O 8 +113 +140
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +132 U 8 -108 -165

 

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Padres vs Dodgers Predictions and Picks

The Padres just survived 21 of 27 innings against the Cardinals on bullpen days. That can’t last and certainly not against a team with a lineup as stacked as the Dodgers. We like the Dodgers money line and the over.

Picks:

Dodgers for the win -165

Over 8 +113

Betting record through 10/4/20 (39-38-1)

Trends

Padres are 5-1 in their last six overall

Padres are 21-5 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter

Padres are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. NL West

Padres are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games

Padres are 1-6 in their last seven divisional playoff games

Under is 5-1-1 in Padres last seven games following a win

Over is 4-1 in Padres last five vs. a team with a winning record

Over is 3-1-1 in Padres last five as an underdog

Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Los Angeles

Dodgers are 38-13 in their last 51 overall

Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 divisional playoff games

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last eight playoff games

Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last seven playoff games as a favorite

How to Watch Padres vs Dodgers

Padres vs Dodgers Information
What San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Where Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
When Tuesday, October 6, 2020, 8:38 PM EST
How to Watch FS1

Walker Buehler Tries to Continue Playoff Excellence

Walker Buehler is only 26 years old, but his postseason resume seems much beyond that. Buehler has appeared in each of the last two playoffs and has performed masterfully. In seven career starts, Buehler is 1-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.89 WHIP.

In his last four games in the playoffs, Buehler has been even more dominant, throwing 23.2 innings, giving up just three earned runs and striking out 30 batters.

That said, Buehler wasn’t quite at his best in his Wild Card appearance against Milwaukee. He lasted just four innings and gave up two earned runs while striking out eight, but still lasted long enough to help the Dodgers get the victory.

Buehler faced the Padres once this year on Aug. 3, picking up a no-decision while going five innings, giving up three runs, three hits, and three walks and striking out three.

If there’s any reason the Dodgers have the advantage – on top of the fact they’re the favorites to win the World Series – it’s because the Padres still have yet to announce a starter for Game 1.

That’s certainly the issue for the Padres as it currently stands — Dinelson Lamet and Mike Clevenger – their top two pitchers were both held out of the Wild Card series and their return is uncertain this year.

Can Dodgers Lineup Be Tamed?

The Padres are young. They’re fun. They’re energetic. All things that baseball needs and that was on display in the Wild Card series against the Cardinals. Down 6-2 in the sixth inning of game two and down 1-0 in the series, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado hit back-to-back home runs, tied the game at six and the Padres went on to steal it and take game three.

They take that momentum into their first NLDS appearance since 2006 and have the greater baseball world behind them.

The lineup is the fourth-youngest in baseball, but still produced the second-best run differential in the entire league. The Padres are one of just two teams in baseball to win four games against the Dodgers, so they don’t enter the series with any fear of the World Series favorites.

Despite its youth, the lineup is one of the deepest in baseball. Machado led the team in batting average (.304), RBI (47), OBP (.370) and hits (68) while Tatis Jr. led the team in home runs (17). Wil Meyers has power from the middle of the order, Jake Cronenworth might win Rookie of the Year, Eric Hosmer is a former World Series champion and Jurickson Profar and Trent Grisham both had WAR’s over 1.0.

Their offense is explosive and even against a stud like Buehler, they can put up numbers.

Can Dodgers Lineup Be Tamed?

The Dodgers are without question the best team in baseball. They have the best team ERA (3.02), WHIP (1.06) and batting average against (.213) and their offense is even better, leading all of baseball in runs scored (349) but that doesn’t always translate to the World Series winner.

Los Angeles has won 12 of its past 14 and scored five or more in nine of those 12 wins. Corey Seager leads the teaem in batting average (.307), RBI (41) and hits (65), AJ Pollock leads the team in home runs (16) and Chris Taylor leads the team in OBP (.366).

That’s not to mention the reigning MVP in the National League Cody Bellinger, the 2018 AL MVP and one of the top three all around players in baseball Mookie Betts, or Justin Turner who reached base 40 percent of his at bats in his 42 games played.

The lineup is loaded from top to bottom, so one can safely expect some fireworks from them.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.