Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Predictions, Odds & Picks (August 3)

Phillies vs Yankees 2020

  • Phillies resume their season after week-long delay
  • Yankees look to stay hot, unbeaten at home
  • Battle between former Cy Young and Cy Young favorite

Phillies vs Yankees Odds

TeamRun spreadTotalMoney Line
Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 +145O 9 -118+290
New York Yankees-1.5 -175U 9 -104-360

 

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Phillies vs Yankees Predictions and Picks

The Yankees are red hot. The Phillies haven’t played in eight days. Gerrit Cole is undefeated. The Yankees have won five in a row. It feels like a trap, but it’s not.

Picks:

Yankees money line (-360)

Under 9 (-104)

Trends

Under is 5-0 in Phillies last five interleague starts.

Under is 4-0 in Yankees last four Monday games.

Over is 4-0 in Ariettas last four starts.

Yankees are 5-0 in their last five overall.

Yankees are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Phillies are 0-6 in last six road games.

Phillies are 19-44 in their last 63 games as a road underdog

Yankees are 44-12 in ther last 56 games as a home favorite

How to watch Philadelphia vs New York

Phillies vs Yankees Information
WhatPhiladelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees
WhereYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
WhenMonday, August 3, 2020, 7:05 PM EST
How to WatchNBC Sports

357 Days and Counting

Monday will be one week and one day shy of the one-year mark when Jake Arrieta last pitched. The 2015 NL Cy Young Award winner was shut down in mid-August last season after pitching through bone spurs all year. One elbow surgery later, he was supposed to make his first start last week but was Covid-19 related postponements forced him to wait an additional eight days for his first start due of the season.

Arrieta clearly wasn’t the same pitcher in 2019 that we’ve become accustomed to, going 8-8 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.474 WHIP, striking out 110 batters in 135.2 innings. Notably, it was because he had trouble with his sinker. In 2015, opponents hit .191 against his sinker while last season, other teams had a .304 batting average.

Arrieta has thrown simulated games and extended bullpens so his hope is to go 85 pitches or even more, but there’s reason to believe the Phillies will be patient with him. He says his body feels close to being in midseason form but acknowledged there’s no truly simulating a live game environment until you’re actually in it. And the way the Yankees are playing right now, they’re probably the last team you’d want to make your first start in nearly one year against.

However, according to Baseball Savant, Arrieta has had decent success against the players in the Yankees current lineup, who are hitting .242 in 64 plate appearances. Add to it that Arietta is in a contract year and the three-time All-Star has plenty of motivation for a solid start on Monday.

Judgment Day

Aaron Judge is on another planet right now. That was a figure of speech, but the Phillies will probably wish it was literally true. Judge has hit home runs in five consecutive games – the first time a Yankees player has done that in 13 years.

He hit two yesterday including a 468-foot game-winner with two outs in the eighth and now paces the major leagues with six home runs and 14 RBIs on the year. He’s just the hottest part of an extremely dangerous lineup for the Bronx Bombers and it doesn’t feel like he’s stopping anytime soon.

Cole Yet to Show His Ace Stuff

One reason we like the under is Gerrit Cole is yet to even have his best stuff this season. He looked dominant in the season opener against the Nationals, but that game was rained out after he pitched five innings and got the win. He appeared to have the stuff that night to go seven innings.

He was solid against the Orioles in his next start, pitching 6.2 innings and giving up three runs on four hits while striking out seven, but more was expected of him against a lowly lineup like Baltimore.

Even still, he’s only had eight baserunners in 11.2 innings and is going against a lineup that struggled against the Marlins in their opening series and now hasn’t played in more than a week.

However, active Phillies hitters have done pretty well against Cole in their career, batting .294 in 124 plate appearances. Granted, most of those came when he was in Pittsburgh and early Houston days before he became the ace he is today.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.