Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 6 Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 27)

• Survive and Advance
• Dodgers one win away
• Who to watch

Rays vs Dodgers Odds

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Rays vs Dodgers Predictions and Picks

The Dodgers know how to close out a series, doing so on their first opportunity in each of the first three rounds of the MLB postseason. That said, the Rays have more grit than any other team and the pitching edge in the game six matchup. We like the Rays money line and the under in this one. Bring on a game seven!

Picks:

Rays for the win +123

Under 8 -108

Betting record through 10/18/20 (51-48-1)

Trends

Rays are 5-0 in their last five after scoring two runs or less in the previous game

Rays are 6-3 in their last nine interleague games

Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 games following a loss

Rays are 11-4 in their last 15 Tuesday games

Rays are 14-6 in their last 20 games as an underdog

Rays are 5-1 in their last six interleague games vs. a right-handed starter

Rays are 3-6 in their last nine games

Over is 4-1 in the series

Over is 8-1 in last nine meetings

Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight games

Dodgers are 21-7 in last 28 interleague games

Dodgers are 6-2 in last eight games as a favorite

How to watch Rays vs Dodgers

Survive and Advance

The Rays are in survival mode on Tuesday night. Down 3-2, the Rays have to play all out on Tuesday night – meaning using every disposable weapon in their bullpen. Not leaving anything until game seven. They worry about game seven if they can figure out a way to get there.

It will be 2018 Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell toeing the rubber for the Rays. The southpaw didn’t quite last long enough in game two to pick up the win, but he put his team in a good spot, going 4.2 innings, giving up just two ouns on two hits and four walks while striking out a playoff-high nine batters. Snell threw just 88 pitches in that game – he’s thrown fewer than 90 in four of his five postseason starts.

However, there’s nothing to save his arm for now. Should he be rolling, the Rays could let him go 105 pitches or more. But as soon as it reaches the fourth inning or later, or if the Rays fall down by multiple runs, expect manager Kevin Cash to go to his dominant bullpen at any moment.

Dodgers One Win Away

The Dodgers have been so close in the past three seasons. Twice they’ve lost in the World Series, one time in a game seven. But now, they’re one victory away from hoisting the commissioner’s trophy for the first time since 1988.

It’s been a full team effort for Los Angeles in the postseason. Joc Pederson leads the team with a .382 batting average. Max Muncy has been nearly impossible to get out, leading the way with a .461 on-base percentage. Corey Seager leads in pretty much everything else including home runs (8), RBIs (19), and hits (22).

That’s not to mention Mookie Betts or Justin Turner who are both reaching base more than 35% of the time.

But if they’re going to close this one out on Tuesday, they’ll have to do it with their least proven pitcher of the postseason starters, Tony Gonsolin, who will make just the 17th start of his major league career.

Gonsolin’s season has been crazy, after not making the Opening Day roster when he tested positive for Covid-19, then being sent down to Los Angeles’s alternate training site at USC just a few weeks after his call up.

But when he did pitch, he was dominant, finishing the regular season with a 2.31 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 46.2 innings. That’s why Baseball America named him Rookie of the Year.

However, the playoffs have been a different animal for the 26-year-old, who’s given up eight earned runs in 7.1 postseason innings.

Player to Watch

For the Rays, we’re going to watch the hottest hitter not named Randy Arozarena and that’s Kevin Kiermaier. Kiermaier is 4-for-7 in the past two games with three runs scored.

He gives the Rays lineup length and while he’s known for his defense, has done a fantastic job of turning it over to the top of the lineup in recent games.

The man to watch in Dodger blue is Joc Pederson. The man known for ‘Joctober’ has been hot the last three games, going 4-for-7 with a walk, a home run, three RBIs and no strikeouts. That said, he hasn’t had much success in his career vs. left-handers, batting just .191, which makes his at-bats all the more important.