Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 21)
- Dodgers offense explodes behind Mookie Betts
- Snell vs Gonsolin
- Is depth the difference?
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Rays vs Dodgers Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Total||Money Line|
|Tampa Bay Rays||+1.5 -167||O 8 -112||+128|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||-1.5 +140||U 8 -109||-150|
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Rays vs Dodgers Predictions and Picks
The Rays have the proven pitcher and their backs against the wall, but it doesn’t feel like it matters. Los Angeles is streaking since taking the last three against the Padres and now feels like a freight train. We like the Dodgers, against the spread and the over for tonight.
Betting record through 10/18/20 (49-46-1)
Rays are 4-0 in their last four interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
Rays are 22-5 in last 27 when their opponent scores five runs or more in prior game
Rays are 4-1 in last five interleague games as san underdog
Rays are 16-5 in last 21 games following a loss
Rays are 1-4 in their last five overall
Rays are 12-5 in their last 17 games as an underdog
Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 overall
Over is 10-1 in Rays last 11 vs National League East
Under is 16-5 in Rays last 21 vs right-handed starter
Under is 5-2 in Rays last seven vs team with a winning record
Over is 5-0 in last five meetings
Rays are 2-6 in last eight meetings as the away team
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last four playoff games
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six interleague games vs. team with a winning record
Dodgers are 2-5 in their last seven World Series games
Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs American League East
Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last seven overall
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last five World Series games
How to Watch Rays vs Dodgers
|Rays vs Dodgers Information|
|What||Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers|
|Where||Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX|
|When||Wednesday, October 21, 2020, 8:08 PM EST|
|How to Watch||FOX|
Mookie Leads the Charge
The Dodgers offense exploded in game one behind Mookie Betts. He achieved something nobody else had achieved in 99 years since some guy named George Herman ‘Babe’ Ruth did it.
In the fifth inning up 2-0, Betts drew a walk. He stole second base. Then he stole third. And then he made it home safely on a ground ball to give the Dodgers a 3-1 lead. By the end of the inning it grew to 6–1, before ballooning to 8-1 in the sixth and that was that. Yes, on storyline is the Boston Red Sox traded both of these players in their primes, but the main point of this anecdote is Betts is really good at baseball.
Betts, who signed a 12-year, $365 million deal in the offseason, went 2-for-4 with a home run, single, walk, RBI, two stolen bases, and two runs scored as the Dodgers rolled 8-3 in game one. Betts, the 2019 American League MVP, has long been considered one of the top five players in all of baseball and it’s nights like Tuesday when he seems to be the best. For all the differences between these two teams: big market vs. small, deep lineup vs. scrappy bunch, best bullpen in baseball against one that’s decent, nothing seems to separate these teams as much as the fact that one has Betts and the other doesn’t.
Savvy Snell or Gritty Gonsolin?
The Rays all of a sudden seem to have lost their mojo. They held onto the American League pennant after going up 3-0 and then losing three straight, but this feels different. Nobody thinks they’re the better team. In that series, they were. The Rays are now down 1-0 to the team everybody has picked to win the World Series since before the pandemic. They’re 1-4 in their last five. In a way, Wednesday feels like their last gasp.
2018 American League Cy Young winner Blake Snell toes the rubber for Tampa Bay and they need him at his best. However, with Snell this season, it seems you never get him at his best. Or his worst. You know exactly what you’re going to get 99% of the time.
His last start snapped a streak of 11 consecutive games where he threw between 5.0-5.2 innings, but not in a good way. He made in just four frames against the Astros last Friday, giving up two runs and striking out four. He only threw 82 pitches – a quick hook from manager Kevin Cash when he knew he needed to use every arm at his disposal – so it’s not as if he couldn’t go longer. But he wasn’t going more than five even under normal circumstances.
Snell has to make it at least five in his World Series debut for the Rays to have a chance.
On the other side, 26-year-old Tony Gonsolin makes just his second start in October in what many would consider a rather important game. His last start didn’t go well, giving up five earned runs in 4.1 innings to the Atlanta Braves in Game 2 of the NLCS. That said, the Dodgers are playing with a different swagger than that game eight days ago, so maybe Gonsolin will be too.
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Depth the Difference?
One player for the Rays reached base more than once. Five players did so for the Dodgers. It wasn’t just Betts. It was Seager, Turner, Muncy, and Taylor too. In total, the Dodgers reached base 17 times compared to seven for the Rays. They had four extra-base hits compared to just two and while the Rays hit .400 (2-for-5) with runners in scoring position and the Dodgers hit .357 (5-for-14), they had almost three times as many opportunities.
And it could have been even worse for Tampa Bay – Los Angeles stranded nine runners. The offensive juggernaut was in full swing and the difference between these teams felt extremely apparent. Nowhere in the Rays lineup is that batter more feared than the man in the same spot in the order wearing Dodger blue.
The top four hitters for the Dodgers reached base 11-of-20 plate appearances. The top four for Tampa Bay went 1-for-15 with a walk. In a World Series, that’s going to end up in a blow out every time. Tampa Bay needs its mojo back. Maybe it’s eight-hitter Kevin Kiermaier waking up and going 2-for-3 with a bomb that sparks the bottom of this offense.
Maybe Cash can pull some strings and move the order around – outside of Brandon Lowe and Randy Arozarena, that is. Whatever needs to happen, it needs to happen now if the Rays don’t want this to turn into a rout.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.