Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 18)

Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers 18

  • Brewers holding onto playoff hopes
  • Royals looking to play spoiler
  • Yelich and Braun rounding into form at the right time

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Royals vs Brewers Odds

Team Run Spread Total Money Line
Kansas City Royals +1.5 -162 O 9 -109 +130
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +125 U 9 -110 -152

 

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Royals vs Brewers Predictions and Picks

The Royals have been hot but an off day on Thursday might slow that momentum. Duffy and Houser have both been known to give up runs this year and we’re counting on that. We will take the Brewers money line and the over.

Picks:

Brewers to win at -152

Over 9 -109

Betting record through 9/17/20 (30-26-1)

Trends

Royals are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter

Royals are 7-1 in their last eight overall

Royals are 4-1 in their last five games vs National League Central

Royals are 4-1 in last five road games

Royals are 20-6 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record

Royals are 2-6 in their last eight interleague road games

Royals are 2-6 in their last eight games following a day off

Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last six interleague games

Over is 4-1 in last five games vs. a right-handed starter

Under is 5-2 in Royals last seven games

Royals are 9-3 in last 12 meetings

Under is 4-1 in last five meetings

Brewers are 7-2 in last nine interleague home games vs. team with a losing record

Brewers are 4-0 in last four interleague games vs. left-handed starter

Brewers are 7-3 in last 10 home games vs. left-handed starter

Under is 4-0-2 in Brewers last six games following a win

Over is 5-0 in Brewers last five interleague games as a favorite

Over is 4-0 in Brewers last four interleague home games

Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last five overall

How to Watch Royals vs Brewers

Royals vs Brewers Information
What Kansas City Royals at Milwaukee Brewers
Where Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
When Friday, September 18, 2020, 8:10 PM EST
How to Watch Fox Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV

Brewers October Hopes Are Still Alive…but Barely

All year long the Brewers have scrapped to keep their head above water. Milwaukee has never been above .500 this year but also has never been lower than four games under. True to form, the Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10 and 10-10 in their last 20.

Still, the Brewers are only one game out of second place in the NL Central with 13 to play, which would guarantee them a spot in the postseason.

Keston Hiura and Avisail Garcia have led the way offensively this season. Hiura with 13 home runs and 32 RBI, Garcia with a .374 OBP, but overall Milwaukee’s offense has been sub-par. The Brewers are 21stt in on-base percentage (.316), 23rd in slugging percentage (.393), 24th in runs scored (210), and 27th in batting average (.225).

But the Brewers pitching staff has held up its end of the bargain, sitting eighth in the MLB in batting average against (.232) and 11th in team WHIP (1.26).

Adrian Houser, however, Friday’s starter, has struggled all year long. The 6-foot-4 27-year-old is 1-5 on the year with a 5.40 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Houser hasn’t made it beyond five innings in his last four starts, giving up 16 earned runs in 17.2 innings during that stretch.


Editor’s Picks


Royals Look to Play Spoiler

Kansas City’s playoff hopes were dashed long ago – thanks to a 14-28 start – but that doesn’t mean it can’t impact the postseason. The Royals’ next six games all come against the Brewers and Cardinals who are fighting for the playoffs.

Meanwhile, they’ve gotten red hot in their own right, winning seven of their last eight games, pitching shutouts on here of those occasions. During his streak, they took three of four from the Indians, so it’s not as if they haven’t beat teams in playoff positioning.

It will be Danny Duffy on Friday who will try to extend the Royals’ hot streak. Duffy was supposed to start against the Tigers earlier this week, but he missed the team flight, so he was pushed back to Friday. On the year, Duffy has been up and down. The southpaw is 3-3 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.22 WHIP but comes off one of his better starts of the year, throwing 5.2 shutout innings against the Indians last week.

Braun, Yelich Heating up in September

Yelich has had an un-Yelich like the season and his worst stretch potentially of the whole year was from Sept. 2-14. He went 6-for-38 with 20 strikeouts and the lowest contact percentage in baseball.

Yelich has gone 4-for-9 in the past three games with two walks and a home run and still ranks in the top six percent of the MLB in hard-hit rate.

Additionally, Braun is 11-for-30 with four home runs and 13 RBI in the month. The Brewers will need both those bats to make a true playoff push.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.