San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Predictions, Odds & Picks (August 1)

• Rockies aim to bounce back from heartbreak
• Padres trying to party like it’s 2006
• Get ready for some runs

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Padres vs. Rockies Odds

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Padres vs. Rockies Predictions and Picks

The Padres have the good mojo going this season. They were down to their final out last night before belting two home runs and scoring four runs in the inning before barely holding onto an 8-7 victory. However, Colorado covered the spread and is now 6-0 against the number this year. That streak has to end eventually. Let’s try one more double dip.
Our pick:

Over 12.5 (-110)

Padres with the spread 1.5 (-134)

(Betting record in 2020 through 7/31: 6-6)

Trends

Over is 9-0 in these teams’ last nine meetings in Colorado

Over is 5-1-1 in Padres last seven games as a road favorite

Over is 11-2-1 in Padres last 14 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

Over is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs NL West

Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.

How to Watch San Diego at Colorado

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Mike Trout is the face of baseball. He’s still in his prime, but if there were somebody next in line for that title, it very well might be Fernando Tatis Jr.

Tatis Jr. took the major leagues by storm as a rookie in 2019, despite playing just 84 games after a back injury ended his season in mid-August. Tatis hit .317 with a .379 OBP and .969 OPS. The then-20-year-old belted 22 home runs, 13 doubles, and six triple, driving in 53 runs while finishing third in Rookie of the Year voting.

He also propelled the Padres to Friday night’s comeback victory over the Rockies. He hit an RBI single in the seventh inning to tie the game at four, then, with two outs in the ninth, he belted a solo shot to tie the game at five. The next two hitters would reach before Tommy Pham belted the game-winning three-run home run.

He’s hit two home runs and driven in nine runs through eight games, hitting better than .300 with an OPS over 1.000 in the early going.

Will the Real Kyle Freeland Please Stand up?

17-7 record, 2.85 ERA, 1.245 WHIP, 173 strikeouts in 202.1 innings and fourth-place finish in the Cy Young voting. That’s a phenomenal pitcher.

3-11 record, 6.73 ERA, 1.581 WHIP, 79 strikeouts in 104.1 innings. That’s an underwhelming pitcher.

Actually, that’s just Kyle Freeland in 2018 vs. 2019. So, which can we expect in 2020? He got off to a good start against Texas, giving up just two runs on four hits in six innings while striking out five. Freeland has made four appearances and three starts against the Padres at Coors Field and is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA.

His opponent, Joey Lucchesi gave up a career-high eight runs on Sept. 13, 2019, against the Rockies at Coors. However, before that, he’d had a lot of success against Colorado, with a 2-1 record and 2.45 ERA in seven career starts

Here’s the Story

Trevor Story continues to be the straw that stirs the Rockies’ drink, leading the team both in power and consistency from the plate. Story has a .348/.464.739 slashline with a 1.203 OPS. He has a team-high three home runs, four RBIs and five walks.

Story has reached base in each of the team’s first six games and is coming off of a 3-for-5 performance with a home run on Friday.

Colorado Staff Keeping Opponents as Cold as the Rockies

Prior to Friday night’s game, nobody was hitting the Rockies. Colorado had a 1.84 team ERA and was holding opponents to a sub-.200 batting average. It appeared that number wouldn’t get hurt too bad on Friday when they held a 5-4 lead with two outs in the ninth.

The Padres then went home run, walk, walk, home run and came away with an 8-7 victory. Prior to giving up eight runs on Friday, Colorado had given up nine runs in its first five contests of the season.