NLCS Game 3: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals - Predictions, Odds and Roster Notes
While I’m not predicting a sweep, it doesn’t take too much looking inside the crystal ball to see that the Cardinals may not make it home to continue this series. Final score: Nationals 5, Cardinals 2.
How to Watch Cardinals vs Nationals
Where: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
When: Monday, October 14th at 7:38 PM EST
How (TV/Radio): National TV: TBS. Nationals TV/Radio: MASN, WJFK/106.7 FM. Cardinals TV/Radio: Fox Sports Midwest, KMOX 1120 AM.
St. Louis Cardinals
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) October 13, 2019
The Cardinals lost home-field advantage for the remainder of the NLCS after being stymied in Game 1 and 2 by the Nationals, creating a 2-0 deficit.
St. Louis has a 14% probability to win the NLCS and a 4% chance to win the World Series title according to Five Thirty-Eight.
The Cardinals have +400 odds to win the National League and +475 to take the World Series crown.
Sean Doolittle and Daniel Hudson have thrown their egos (and gloves) aside to help the team.
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) October 13, 2019
The Nationals’ pitching staff dominated the Cardinals’ hitters in Game 1 and 2, holding St. Louis to one run and four hits over the 18 combined innings.
Washington has an 86% probability to win the NLCS and a 34% chance to win the World Series title according to Five Thirty-Eight.
The Nationals have -560 odds to win the NL and are +210 to take the World Series.
Read also: Who Will Win the 2019 World Series?
St. Louis Cardinals: Jack Flaherty
Flaherty was forced to start Game 3 after having to appear in Game 5 of the NLDS.
- Flaherty went 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA in the NLDS, allowing two homers, four earned runs in 13 innings.
- The Cards’ Game 3 starter struck out 16 batters in those 13 NLDS innings.
- Flaherty did not face the Nationals this season, but on the road, the Cards’ ace posted a 3.13 ERA with 114 strikeouts in 97.2 innings.
Washington Nationals: Stephen Strasburg
Strasburg goes to the mound for his fourth postseason start this season. After throwing in relief in the NL Wild Card Game, the righty grabbed two wins in the NLDS against the Dodgers.
- Strasburg has allowed four runs in 15 innings, striking out 21 hitters and posting an ERA of 2.40.
- The Nats’ righty has a career postseason ERA of 1.32, striking out 45 hitters over 34 innings.
- Strasburg faced the Cardinals twice this season, posting a 2.31 ERA over 11.2 innings while striking out 15.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been outscored 5-1 in the first two games, but St. Louis just mustered 4 hits over the first two games against Nats’ starters Anibal Sanchez and Max Scherzer.
- 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 6 for 23 versus the Nats’ right-hander, with two doubles and no homers.
- OF Marcell Ozuna is 14 for 44 of the Nats’ Game 3 starter with three homers and nine RBI.
- OF Dexter Fowler is 3 for 11 against Strasburg with a triple and two singles.
The Nationals’ offense has been good enough to win the first two games, but Washington’s bats have been picked up by the terrific pitching as the NLCS heads to the nation’s capital.
- Flaherty has one career start against the Nationals, so most hitters on Washington’s roster has limited exposure to the Cards’ right-hander.
- SS Trea Turner is 1 for 3 against the Cards’ righty with one solo homer. Turner hit .305 at Nationals Park in 2019, with 11 of his 19 homers coming at home.
- 3B Anthony Rendon is 1 for 2 with one double versus Flaherty. Rendon hit .317 at home this season with 20 of his 34 homers coming at Nationals Park.
St. Louis Cardinals
- SP Dakota Hudson will start Game 4 of the NLCS for St. Louis.
- Manager Mike Shildt might play Jose Martinez in RF to get his bat in the anemic Cardinals lineup.
- The Cardinals chased 31.7% of pitches outside the zone in Game 1 and 2, compared to 28.4% in the regular season.
- SP Patrick Corbin is the Game 4 starter for the Nationals.
- RP Daniel Hudson returned for Game 2 after missing the opening game of the NLCS on paternity leave.
- There have been 24 seven-game series in MLB postseason history that started with the road team winning both of the first two games. In just three of those 24 series did the team losing the first two games come from behind and go on to win the series.
Game 3 Predictions – Cardinals vs Nationals
For Game 3, the odds are certainly stacked against the Cardinals as they travel to Washington to face Stephen Strasburg, who has been terrific in the postseason.
I don’t foresee the Cardinals’ bats getting this series back St. Louis as they have to win at least two of three games on the road while facing two dominant pitchers in Game 3 (Strasburg) and Game 4 (Patrick Corbin).
While I’m not predicting a sweep, it doesn’t take too much looking inside the crystal ball to see that the Cardinals may not make it home to continue this series. If the Nationals win Game 3, expect to see a lot of brooms in the crowd in Washington for Game 4.
Game 3 Prediction: Final score – Nationals 5, Cardinals 2.
NLCS Game 3: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals – Odds