Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians Predictions, Odds & Picks (September 23)

White Sox vs Indians 23

  • AL Central still up for grabs
  • Four potential MVPs on display
  • Time for Giolito to make a statement

White Sox vs Indians Odds

TeamRun SpreadTotalMoney Line
Chicago White Sox+1.5 -157O 7 -115+140
Cleveland Indians-1.5 +133U 7 -106-167

White Sox vs Indians Predictions and Picks

The under is 9-2 when Shane Bieber starts. The Indians are 9-2 when Bieber starts. That’s good enough for us; we like the Indians money line and the under.

Picks

Indians to win -167

Under 7 -106

Betting record through 9/20/20 (33-29-1)

Trends

White Sox are 24-9 in last 33 vs AL Central

White Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 Wednesday games

White Sox are 17-9 in their last 26 road games

White Sox are 8-1 in their last nine games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less

Under is 11-3-1 in White Sox last 15 overall

Under is 5-2-1 in White Sox last eight road games

White Sox are 2-6 in last eight meetings

White Sox are 7-18 in last 25 meetings in Cleveland

Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings

Under is 5-1 in last six meetings in Cleveland

Cleveland is 4-1 in last five overall

Cleveland is 70-34 in last 104 games as a favorite

Under is 42-15-3 in Indians last 60 Wednesday games

How to Watch White Sox vs Indians

White Sox vs Indians Information
WhatChicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians
WhereProgressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WhenWednesday, September 23, 2020, 6:10 PM EST
How to WatchNBC Sports Chicago,Watch on ESPN+ here!

Division Title to Be Decided This Final Week

As it has been most of the season, the AL Central remains a three-team race between the White Sox, Indians, and Twins. Chicago leads Minnesota by half of a game and sits three games clear of the Indians.

Chicago’s lead over Cleveland was five games on Sunday, but the Indians have taken the first two games of the series to get back into contention. All three will make the playoffs – the Indians were the last of the three to clinch, which they did on Tuesday night – but all are chasing the top seed which will guarantee a home-field advantage in the first round.

The Indians play two more games against Chicago before finishing up with a series against the MLB worst Pittsburgh Pirates. Chicago finishes with a three-game set against the NL Central-leading Chicago Cubs and the Twins will play two more against the Tigers before finishing with three against the Cincinnati Reds who are desperately chasing a playoff spot in their own right.

Cleveland all but has to sweep this series if it’s going to win the division and it’s even remarkable that the Indians still have a chance after having an eight-game losing streak just last week.

AL MVP Will Be on Display

If you watch the White Sox play against the Indians on Wednesday night, you’ll be watching the AL MVP. The only question is, who will it be? Realistically there are four options: Shane Bieber, Jose Ramirez, Jose Abreu, or Tim Anderson.

Let’s start with Shane Bieber, also the overwhelming CY Young favorite in the American League. Bieber leads the majors in the record (8-1), ERA (1.74), and strikeouts (112) to go with a dominant 0.86 WHIP. He’s gone six innings or deeper in 10 of his 11 starts and given up three runs or fewer in each.

But the most important stat is the Indians are 9-2 when he starts and 22-22 when he doesn’t.

However, his teammate Jose Ramirez might just be stealing some of his MVP hype. Ramirez has been on an absolute tear in September, with 10 home runs this month but none bigger than Tuesday night, when he hit a three-run walk-off homer with the Indians down a run to clinch a postseason spot. That’s exactly what an MVP does.

Ramirez, who finished third in the MVP race in both 2017 and 2018, is having arguably the best year of his career, with 17 home runs, 44 RBI and a .979 OPS. To put his dominance into perspective, Ramirez has accounted for 19 percent (!!!) of the Indians’ total bases this season (123 of 656).

Jose Abreu hasn’t exactly been a slouch for Chicago. He too hit a home run on Tuesday and ranks in the top 10 of baseball in nearly every major offensive category including eighth in batting average (.332), second in home runs (19), first in RBI (56) and sixth in OPS (1.029). The argument for Abreu against the Indians’ players is that Bieber has only played in 11 games and Ramirez is extremely hot right now, but Abreu has been the most consistent across the season.

Then, there’s Tim Anderson. Anderson has faded a bit in this discussion, but for the majority of the year he was the batting title leader. He now sits second in that category (.353), to go with 10 home runs, 21 RBI and a .970 OPS.But to show how close this discussion is let’s look at the American League fWAR leaders: Ramirez (3.2), Bieber (2.9), Jose Abreu (2.8), Anthony Rendon (2.6) and Tim Anderson (2.5). That’s the top five.

Giolito’s Time to Shine

The White Sox lead in the AL Central has crumbled after a 2-5 stretch the past week. That’s when a true ace steps up to the challenge and answers the bell.

Giolito has proven his “stuff” is as good as anybody’s – see his no-hitter against the Pirates earlier this year. The righty is 4-3 overall with a 3.53 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 86 strikeouts. Chicago is 7-4 in his 11 starts but he’s put them in a position to win every game since the season opener.

Giolito has given up three runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts and gone six or more seven times. There’s no bigger time for him or this White Sox team than against the soon-to-be Cy Young Award winner and the team that’s chasing you in the division the final week of the season.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.