New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Odds & Picks

New England vs Philadelphia Union 2020

  • New England will be seeking revenge after losing to Philadelphia last month
  • Gustavo Bou should be fired up for New England’s attack and aiming to end his scoreless streak
  • Will Philadelphia’s Andre Blake have another standout performance in net?

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Odds

TeamMatch Winner
New England Revolution+115
Philadelphia Union+230


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New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Predictions and Picks

Even with a recent win for Philadelphia over their upcoming rivals, New England are the slight favorites for this week’s rematch.

The odds make sense when you consider some factors we’ll dive into later.


New England for the win +115

How to Watch New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Information
WhatNew England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
WhereGillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
WhenThursday, August 20th at 7:30 pm ET
How to WatchWatch on ESPN+ here!

After battling it out last month in the knockout round of the MLS Is Back tournament, both New England and Philadelphia will once again go head-to-head when they face-off this Thursday at Gillette Stadium.

In their round of 16 encounters on July 25th, it was the Union who came out on top with a narrow 1-0 victory. Thanks to a goal from Sergio Santos, Philadelphia claimed a significant win and a place in the quarterfinal stage of the tournament. Their good run of form continued until the semifinals when they were knocked out by the Portland Timbers.

While credit is due to Philadelphia, New England will likely feel bitter for not being able to clinch a win. When looking back, the Union needed a bit of luck and plenty to go their way in a game in which they were arguably the second-best team on the field…

New England Were The Better Side In The Previous Match

Let’s look at the stats from their previous meeting in the Round of 16 last month.

After 90 minutes, it was New England who had more shots, corners, crosses, and duels won. The final xG (expected goals) numbers also pointed to the Revolution playing better. While Philadelphia only had a 0.64, New England almost doubled that with a 1.08 rating of their own. And yet, all it took was just one moment to flip the script.

After a fantastic ball was floated into the final third, it was Santos who somehow scored the game-winner for Philadelphia off a tough angle in the 63rd minute. New England pressed on and launched more attacks forward, but couldn’t find anything past the opposing goalkeeper.

With the memory fresh in their mind, New England’s key players in the attack should be hungry for a goal.

Striker Gustavo Bou Is Due For A Goal For The Revolution

Before the MLS Is Back tournament started, there were whispers regarding Bou as a potential dark horse for the goalscoring title.

And why not? After putting up some decent numbers with nine goals in his 15 MLS appearances in 2019, it would have been understandable to back the aggressive Argentine striker as a threat in the now completed tournament in Florida.

Unfortunately, Bou ultimately struggled with finding the back of the net. In his four MLS Is Back appearances, the 30-year-old only had one goal in hand for the Revolution. Energetic and threatening with his clever passes and runs, all that was missing was just one or two more goals that would have been vital for New England.

Scoreless in his last three games, Bou is due for a goal — especially up against an opponent that halted his three shots in their previous match.

Philadelphia’s Andre Blake Factor In Net

Something important that we haven’t discussed is Blake. One of the reasons why Philadelphia was able to beat New England and go as far as they did in MLS Is Back is due to the highlight-worthy saves of the goalkeeper.

In the aforementioned 1-0 round of 16 wins over New England, Blake looked like the Man Of The Match with his five game-changing saves that helped earn a victory. Were it not for the 29-year-old Jamaican, Philadelphia would have perhaps not even have made it out of the group stage.

The big question now this week is if he can do it all over again. If there’s any chance of Philadelphia beating the odds, they’ll need Blake to once again form a wall in front of his net.

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Cesar Hernandez

Expert on Soccer

Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast.