2020 Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona - Predictions and Odds

How to Watch

What: Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona

Where: Daytona International Speedway in Daytona Beach, FL

When: Thursday, February 13th at 7:00 PM EST and at 9:00 PM EST

How: FS1 (TV) | Motor Racing Network (Web radio)

Since the Daytona 500 is going to take center stage of NASCAR-related discussions until mid-February, it’s time to look at the Bluegreen Vacations Duels. Unlike the other races of the season, Daytona features a very unique qualifying format. The front row is set by a traditional timed qualifying session, with the fastest driver taking the top spot. But while the first two starting positions are already defined at the end of the session, that’s not the case for the remaining 38 spots.

The full season drivers and the hopefuls of making it to the main event are then split into two heat races. Odd placed cars at the end of the timed qualifying session take part in race #1. Even placed cars, meanwhile, take part in race #2.

Since the entry lists haven’t been decided yet, it won’t be possible to accurately predict the winners for each heat race. It’s possible, on the other hand, to take a look at some advice that might help make your pick. First, betting on the fastest car to win isn’t a very good option.

Since the front row drivers already have their starting spots set, it makes no sense to take risks during the qualifying races.

As a result, it’s not rare to see the pole-sitter drop to the back of the field and stay there, away from the pack. Getting into the mix for the race victory could result in a crash. Since drivers are required to run the same car over the week, damaging a potentially race-winning car in what is essentially a meaningless race is not worth the risk.

Unsurprisingly, the 500 pole-sitter has only won a Duel race once in the last 24 years. The results from the qualifying races won’t necessarily translate into the race, either. Since the heat races are very short, the strategy is significantly different.

While the pole-sitter isn’t exactly the best pick, a good starting spot usually translates well into the heat races. Nine of the last 12 Duels have been won by drivers starting inside the top 10.

With that being said, let’s take a look at the drivers that could end up winning one of the races.

Early Picks for the 2020 Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona

Kevin Harvick

Harvick is a two-time Duels winner and has not finished lower than seventh on track in the last ten starts. The Stewart-Haas driver won his heat race last year while leading 44 laps, and has four consecutive finishes inside the top 4.

While the 2014 champion’s Daytona 500 record hasn’t been stellar since his last win in 2010, Harvick has been great in the non-championship events. He had three top 5 and four consecutive top 10 finishes at the Busch Clash. Harvick has two wins at Daytona in championship events, and five in the non-championship races.

Joey Logano

Logano won one of the qualifying races for the first time in 2019. It capped off an impressive streak of five consecutive top 10 finishes, which includes four results inside the top 5. The Team Penske driver won the 500 in 2015 and has not finished lower than sixth at the Great American Race since then.

His record at the other non-championship race, the Clash, is even more impressive. Logano has not finished lower than sixth since joining Team Penske in 2013. The 2018 champion has one win and five top 5 finishes at the race and is currently riding a streak of four consecutive top 3 finishes.

Ryan Blaney

While Blaney has only finished higher than 20th twice in nine starts at Daytona, his record is much better in the qualifying races. The Team Penske driver has only finished lower than sixth once and won his heat race in 2018. Blaney has also done well at the Busch Clash, finishing fourth in his two starts.

While #12 has struggled to complete the full-length of the Daytona 500, he has done well in the shorter segments. Blaney has two-stage 2 wins and four top 5 finishes in stage 1, including four top 3 results. In other words, the shorter distance of the Duels should suit him well.

Chase Elliott

Elliott is a good pick even if he ends up winning the pole. In 2017, Elliott became the first driver since 1996 to win the Daytona 500 pole and a Duel race. He made it back-to-back Duel wins in 2018 and finished fifth in his heat race last year.

While the Hendrick Motorsports driver has been dominant in the qualifying races, he has failed to show up in the main event. Elliott has never finished higher than 14th, leading a total of 56 laps in eight starts. The Duels’ shorter format should favor him, however, which makes the two-time Daytona 500 pole winner one of the favorites.

Denny Hamlin

The defending Daytona 500 champion, Hamlin is also a three-time Duels winner. The Joe Gibbs driver is the man to beat in February, having won two of the last four editions of the race.

His record at Daytona also includes two Busch Clash wins. The two-time 500 winner has five top 10 finishes in his last six Duels, including two victories and four top 5 results.

Clint Bowyer

Bowyer has a very solid record at Daytona, with 12 top 10 finishes in 28 starts. While he has never won a race at the track, the Stewart-Haas driver has also shown the same consistency at the Duels.

Since joining the team in 2017, Bowyer has two-second place finishes and a fourth place in three Duels. He has finished inside the top 5 eight times in 14 qualifying races, with three second-place finishes as his best results.

Bowyer was the runner-up in last year’s Duel #2, after leading a career-best 41 laps.

2020 Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 at Daytona – Odds

The odds for Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

To see if it is legal to bet on sports in your state, go to “Where is online sports betting legal in the USA?“.

Winner DraftKings Odds
Brad Keselowski +450
Joey Logano +450
Denny Hamlin +550
Chase Elliott +650
Ryan Blaney +800
Martin Truex Jr +900
Aric Almirola +1500
Clint Bowyer +1600
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +1800
Christopher Bell +2000
Ryan Newman +2000
Austin Dillon +2500
Chris Buescher +2800
Bubba Wallace +3300
Ryan Preece +4000
John H. Nemechek +5000

2020 Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 at Daytona – Odds

The odds for Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Winner DraftKings Odds
Kyle Busch +400
Kevin Harvick +450
Kurt Busch +800
William Byron +900
Matt DiBenedetto +900
Alex Bowman +1000
Jimmie Johnson +1100
Erik Jones +1200
Kyle Larson +1200
Cole Custer +1800
Tyler Reddick +2000
Ross Chastain +2500
Ty Dillon +2500
Michael McDowell +3000
Brendan Gaughan +4000
David Ragan +4000

For more odds visit DraftKings Sportsbook, William Hill NJ, or bet365 NJ.

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