Superspeedway races are always hard to predict.
Due to the high attrition, there is plenty of room for surprise winners.
But this becomes even clearer when looking at the actual stats.
Daytona has seen nine different winners in the last ten races at the track.
There is a total of three drivers in the field with multiple wins at the superspeedway.
Only two active drivers have a 50% or better top 10 ratio at the track.
Six drivers have been able to sweep both the Daytona 500 and the July race in the same season.
Jimmie Johnson is the only one to have done so since 1982.
In other words, any pre-race expectations could change in the space of one or two turns.
How to Watch
What: Coca-Cola Zero Sugar 400
Where: Daytona International Speedway in Daytona Beach, FL
When: Saturday, July 6th at 7:30 PM EST
How: NBC (TV) | Motor Racing Network (Web radio) | NBC Sports App
Favorites to Win the 2019 Coca-Cola Zero Sugar 400
Coming off a Daytona 500 win, Denny Hamlin is the safest pick.
The Joe Gibbs Racing will have the chance to score the rare Daytona double.
It has only happened once in nearly six decades, however.
Hamlin is the only multiple winner on the grid other than Jimmie Johnson, with three, and Kevin Harvick, with two.
Both wins came at the Daytona 500.
Despite his great record at the biggest race of the season, Hamlin has struggled in July.
The Joe Gibbs driver has only scored two top 5 and three top 10 finishes in 13 starts.
His only three DNFs at Daytona have come in the summer race as well.
In fact, #11 failed to finish both in 2017 and 2018.
But relying on his Daytona 500 record alone, Hamlin will likely be in contention.
He has won the Great American Race twice in the last four starts.
Additionally, he has only missed out on the top 4 twice in the last eight editions.
Austin Dillon leads all active drivers at Daytona with an average finish of 13.58 in 12 starts.
The superspeedway is arguably his best track, and home of one of his two career wins.
Dillon won the Daytona 500 last year in dramatic fashion, punting Aric Almirola off on the final lap.
He is also the only active driver with ten or more stats to hold a top 10 ratio of 50%.
The Richard Childress driver only has one DNF and has finished in the lead lap eight times in 12 races.
Dillon also has a solid streak of four top 10 in his last five starts in the July race.
Interestingly, Dillon has only led 18 laps at Daytona, and has only led multiple laps in the race on two occasions.
He only led the final lap in his Daytona 500 win.
Defending race winner Erik Jones has the best top 10 ratio among active drivers at Daytona.
The third-year driver has finished inside the top 10 in 60% of his starts.
On the other hand, that's a small sample, as Jones only has six races at Daytona in the Cup Series.
He finished third during this year's 500.
Jones scored his only career victory in the Cup Series during last year's summer race.
The Joe Gibbs driver finished inside the top 10 in his other start at the July race.
Now down to 18th in points, Jones will have additional motivation to win, as it would secure a playoff spot.
Outside Picks for the 2019 Coca-Cola Zero Sugar 400
Brad Keselowski is widely regarded as the best superspeedway racer in the Cup Series among active drivers.
He is a four-time winner at Talladega and is well-known for his draft skills.
Despite the solid record, the 2012 champion has only won at Daytona once in 20 career starts.
The Team Penske driver led the most laps on the way to victory lane in 2016.
Keselowski only has one other top 10 finish in the summer race aside from this win.
He only has three top 5 and four top 10 finishes at the track.
Additionally, the eight DNFs are his most at any track.
But if you feel like Keselowski could repeat his Talladega magic, this could be a solid pick.
Teammate Joey Logano, on the other hand, has been relatively consistent at Daytona.
The reigning Cup Series champion has finished sixth or better in five consecutive editions of the Daytona 500.
His record in July, however, is quite the opposite.
The Team Penske driver has only finished inside the top 10 three times in ten starts.
Three of his four DNFs at the track also came in the summer race, including one last year.
However, Logano won the Daytona 500 in 2015.
Should he be able to translate that into the July race this year, he should be among the contenders.
Kyle Busch only has one career victory at Daytona.
It happened more than a decade ago, back in the 2008 summer.
Busch only has two career wins at superspeedways in 56 starts.
He did finish second to teammate Denny Hamlin in this year's 500.
The 2015 champion also has three runner-up finishes in the July race.
While his superspeedway record isn't great, Busch has been among the front-runners at nearly every race this season.
2019 Coca-Cola Zero Sugar 400 Odds
|Driver||Coke Zero Sugar 400 Winner||Link|
|Logano, Joey||+750||Bet Now|
|Keselowski, Brad||+850||Bet Now|
|Busch, Kyle||+900||Bet Now|
|Eliott, Chase||+1100||Bet Now|
|Hamlin, Denny||+1100||Bet Now|
|Harvick, Kevin||+1200||Bet Now|
|Bowman, Alex||+1400||Bet Now|
|Truex Jr. Martin||+1400||Bet Now|
|Almirola, Aric||+1500||Bet Now|
|Bowyer, Clint||+1500||Bet Now|
|Blaney, Ryan||+1600||Bet Now|
|Busch, Kurt||+1600||Bet Now|
|Larson, Kyle||+2000||Bet Now|
|Stenhouse Jr, Ricky||+2000||Bet Now|
|Johnson, Jimmie||+2200||Bet Now|
|Jones, Erik||+2500||Bet Now|
|Dillon, Austin||+4000||Bet Now|
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