2019 NASCAR Cup Series Championship - Final Predictions and Odds
After 35 races, the field is finally set for Homestead.
Martin Truex Jr. was the first qualifier, followed by Kevin Harvick and clutch Denny Hamlin.
Regular-season champion Kyle Busch qualified on points, wrapping up the Championship 4.
Let’s take a look at how the title battle could shape up during this weekend’s Ford EcoBoost 400.
Check out also: “Top 5 Picks for Homestead“.
How to Watch
What: Ford EcoBoost 400
Where: Homestead-Miami Speedway in Homestead, FL
When: Sunday, November 17th at 3:00 PM EST
How: NBC (TV) | Motor Racing Network (Web radio) | NBC Sports App
Martin Truex Jr.
2019 record: 7 wins, 14 top 5 finishes, 23 top 10 finishes
Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite heading into Homestead.
The Joe Gibbs driver has been the class of the field during the second half of the season.
Truex also had the most playoff wins, making the trip to victory lane three times this postseason.
He won the Ford EcoBoost 400 in 2017, and as a result also clinched his first Cup Series title.
Truex nearly pulled off a repeat last year, finishing second to eventual champion Joey Logano in a very close fight.
The 2017 champion also leads all drivers this year with seven wins.
Taking both his record at Homestead and overall performance over the course of the season, #19 is the best pick by a significant margin.
2019 record: 6 wins, 19 top 5 finishes, 23 top 10 finishes
In order to win the championship, a driver needs to come up clutch.
For a long time, it had been pointed out that Hamlin’s career lacked such a performance.
It finally happened last weekend at Phoenix, with #11 winning the race and securing his spot in the Championship Four.
The Joe Gibbs driver had his back against the wall following a terrible run at Texas the week before.
After collecting some near-misses throughout his career, the most notable one in 2010, it really looks like 2019 could finally be Hamlin’s year.
Despite having some ups-and-downs, #11 has been Truex’s closest pursuer, especially during the postseason.
Hamlin is the only driver with multiple wins at Homestead on the grid, which is also an advantage.
He started the championship decider from pole-position three times in the last four years.
Again, his win at Phoenix is the kind of clutch performance expected from a champion.
If Hamlin manages to pull it off again this weekend, he has a very good chance of walking away with his first Cup Series title.
At the moment, #11 looks like Truex’s closest rival.
2019 record: 4 wins, 14 top 5 finishes, 25 top 10 finishes
Kevin Harvick has definitely left behind his longest drought to start a season since joining Stewart-Haas Racing.
After going 19 races without scoring a single victory, the 2014 champion has since bounced back to win four of the last 16.
He was the second driver to secure a spot in the final round, with a dominant win at Texas.
One trend among this year’s championship contenders is that all four have an impressive record at Homestead.
It’s no different for Harvick, who has 11 consecutive top 10 finishes at the Miami oval.
The Stewart-Haas driver finished the last five races at Homestead inside the top 4, with a win in 2014.
He finished third in last year’s race, winning stage 1 and leading 59 laps.
While Harvick hasn’t looked as strong as Truex and Hamlin, he could still show up when it really matters.
One thing about The Closer is that he can never be counted out of the championship fight.
Harvick will definitely be in contention for the win during the final laps, although he should still figure behind #11 and especially #19.
2019 record: 4 wins, 16 top 5 finishes, 26 top 10 finishes
Kyle Busch was the last driver to qualify for the Championship Four, and the only one to do it on points.
The Joe Gibbs driver won the regular-season title, which gave him a good buffer along with the four-race wins and 46 bonus points.
The 2015 champion’s playoff run wasn’t particularly impressive compared to his rivals.
For the 12th time in his career, #18 failed to win a single postseason race.
Busch hasn’t been to victory lane since June, which is a fairly long drought for a championship contender.
While Rowdy usually finds a way to be in the championship picture during the final laps at Homestead, he only managed to pull it off once.
He did come close in 2017, chasing down Martin Truex Jr. until the checkered flag.
Other than that, his Homestead record has been an accurate representation of his classic postseason troubles.
While Busch can’t be crossed out of the championship picture, he looks like the fourth man in a field of four drivers.
2019 NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series – Championship Odds
The latest odds for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship are provided by bet365 NJ.
|Martin Truex Jr.||+250|